Tagged: nationals

Predictions Sure To Go Wrong 10.0 

The 2024 MLB season has begun. Little is certain in baseball, even a few weeks into the season. While we are super late getting our predictions posted this year, we nevertheless feel strongly that even with a small sample size we will continue our tradition of being terrible at predicting the future. Despite a decade of failure we continue on. Here are our predictions for the 2024 MLB season. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
Orioles Camden CrushersYankeesOriolesBmoreOrioles
Blue Jays (5)God’s Waiting Room (5)Orioles (5)Blue Jays (5)Yankees (4)Yankees (5)
RaysFree HealthcareJaysYankees (6)Tampa Bay (5)Blue Jays (6)
YankeesAaron’s BoondoggleRaysRaysTorontoRays
Red SoxWe all went Red SoxRedSuxRed SoxRed SuxRed Sox

It will be a dreadful season at Fenway. Meanwhile in Baltimore, the future is arriving. The young, and hyped, Orioles could make a deep run if their young stars live up to expectations. The Yankees, Blue Jays, and Rays could have terrific or horrific seasons. Both are possible. The American League East is not the juggernaut it once was. 

Can the Orioles youth live you to the hype? (Mitch Stringer- USA TODAY Sports)

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsTwinsClevelandTwins
TigersTwinkies (6)ChiSox (6)GuardiansTwinkiesGuardians
GuardiansBridge StatuesTigersTigersRoyalsWhite Sox
White SoxKate’s ReplacementsGuardiansRoyalsTigersTigers
RoyalsTony the TigersRoyalsWhite SoxWhite SuxRoyals

The American League Central remains the weakest division in baseball. Top to bottom there is not a single team capable of making a deep run in October. Minnesota should walk away with the division, but are they really a good team? The only surprise could be Detroit, where the improving Tigers could make a run at relevancy…maybe. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersWalker: TexasRangersAstrosRangersRangers
Astros (4)Trashtros (4)Astros (4)Rangers (4)Astros (6)Astros (4)
Mariners (6)Seamen of the PoopdeckMarinersMarinersMarinersMariners
AngelsRendon’s RascalsAngelsAthleticsAngelsAngels
ElephantsVegasPatheticsAngelsAthleticsAthletics

The Rangers and Astros will fight it out for the division and Wild Card. The Mariners need everything to go right to play meaningful baseball in September. The Angels should be thankful for the Athletics, otherwise they would finish last. The Oakland/Sacramento/Vegas A’s are a mess. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBraves BravesBravesBraves
Phillies (5)Phollies (4)Phillies (5)Phillies (5)Philly (5)Phillies (5)
MarlinsFish (6)MarlinsMetsFishMarlins
MetsAmazinsMetsMarlinsMetsMets
NationalsGnats (will face relegation)NationalsNationalsNatsNationals

The Phillies are a very good team, but the Braves are a great team. The division once again runs through Atlanta. Philadelphia will position itself for the Wild Card. The Marlins and Mets need to have a special season if they want their fans to watch beyond the All Star Break. This is the last year of the Nationals’ Cherry Blossom jerseys. 

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesBrewersCubsReds
Cardinals (6)Red BirdsReds (6)CubsReds (6)Cardinals (6)
CubsHot Dog RaceCardinalsRedsBrewersCubs
BrewersBuccosCubsCardinalsCardinalsBrewers
PiratesWrigleyvilleBrewersPiratesPiratesPirates

The Cardinals look to bounce back from one of the worst, and surprising, seasons in franchise history. The Reds have a great young line up, but do they have the pitching? We picked the Cubs to finish literally everywhere, so your guess is as good as ours. The Brewers are on the way down. Are the Pirates finally on the way up? 

The Reds have the bats to compete. (www.bleacherreport.com)

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GullysDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers
Diamondbacks (4)Nope Ropes (5)Dodgers (4)Diamondbacks (4)Giants (4)Diamondbacks (4)
GiantsBig macsGiantsPadres (6)DBacksGiants
PadresAngre thePadresGiantsPadresPadres
RockiesCoorsRockiesRockiesRockiesRockies

The Dodgers should roll through the division, again. Arizona is hoping last season was not a fluke, but the start of sustained success. The Giants might hang around for a while before fading, but the real story is further south. Is this the year that San Diego finally plays up to their contracts or will this era of Padres baseball be loathed for their inability to compete? Just a friendly reminder, the Rockies are a Major League Baseball team. 

Postseason 

The Regular Season is chaotic, but the Postseason is unpredictable. The best team does not always win the World Series. Instead, teams look to get hot at the right moment. October is treacherous. The secret is simply, finding a way to win. The best players and teams do not always win, but will they in 2024? 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsYankeesClevelandTwins
MarinersTwinkiesChiSoxTwinsAstrosYankees
Blue JaysTrashtrosAstrosBlue JaysYankeesAstros
AstrosGod’s Walking RoomOriolesRangersTampa BayWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesPadresCubsReds
CardinalsFishRedsBrewersRedsCubs
DiamondbacksPholliesPhilliesPhilliesGiantsPhillies
PhilliesNope RopesDodgersDiamondbacksPhilliesDiamondbacks

The Wild Card is a guessing game. The Astros could dominate the season and still be in the Wild Card. The Yankees, Phillies, and Diamondbacks might be a touch below the great teams, but that separation could force them to fight through the Wild Card. Unexpected teams can find themselves looking to continue their run through the Wild Card. This is what makes the Wild Card round the most chaotic and entertaining of the Postseason. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
AstrosSouthsideRangersRangersBmoreAstros
OriolesCamden CrushersAstrosOriolesAstrosOrioles
RangersTrashtrosYankeesYankeesRangersYankees
MarinersWalker: TexasTwinsAstrosYankeesRangers

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GulleysBravesPhilliesDodgersDodgers
PhilliesNope RopesPhilliesDodgersGiantsPhillies
BravesBravosDiamondbacksPadresBravesBraves
RedsFishPiratesBravesRedsDiamondbacks

Is this the year the Astros begin to fade away or will their run of success continue? Texas attempts to win back to back World Series titles, but it is no easy task. The Orioles are on the rise, but can they play deep into October or will they have to wait until next year? The Dodgers and Braves are on a collision course yet again. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
OriolesSouthsideYankeesYankeesBmoreOrioles
RangersTrashtrosRangersOriolesYankeesRangers

Experience matters in big games. Keeping calm allows teams to play their best in high stress situations. The Rangers have been through the fight before. Veteran leadership and poise keeps the noise down. Baltimore is coming. The Orioles have a bright future ahead, but their youth can only take them so far this season. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBravesBravesBravesBraves
DodgersNope RopesDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers

If ever there was a guarantee in baseball it is that the National League runs through the Braves and Dodgers. The other 13 teams must beat one or both of these talented and dominant teams if they want to win the National League pennant. The Diamondbacks played spoiler last season, can they do it again or will a new spoiler arise? 

The Braves look to win another World Series in 2024. (Rich Schultz/ Getty Images)

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersSouthsideYankeesOriolesBravesBraves
BravesBravosBravesDodgersYankeesRangers

The Braves and Rangers have the talent and experience to make it through the chaos of the Postseason. Both teams are filled with stars and role players that contribute to their team’s success. However, there can only be one World Series champion. 

Congratulations to the Atlanta Braves for winning their fifth World Series Championship. History says the Fall Classic will not follow our predictions, but time will tell. 

Happy Baseball.

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

Missing #4- Kid Elberfeld

You can dedicate your life to baseball and have a dramatic impact on people and the game. However, this does not mean you are destined for Cooperstown. Norman Arthur Elberfeld grew up in Cincinnati, cheering for the Reds and made a name for himself on local diamonds. The Tabasco Kid, or Kid, played primarily Shortstop for 14 seasons with six teams: Philadelphia Phillies (1898), Cincinnati Reds (1899), Detroit Tigers (1901-1903), New York Highlanders (1903-1909), Washington Nationals (1910-1911), and Brooklyn Dodgers (1914). He spent the 1908 season as the Player-Manager for the New York Highlanders, guiding them to a 27-71 record, .276 WL%. Elberfeld was a much better Major League player than manager. 

Elberfeld appeared on the 1936 Hall of Fame ballot. This came after a career in which he played in 1,292 Games, scored 647 Runs, collected 1,235 Hits, including 169 Doubles, 56 Triples, 10 Home Runs, 535 RBI, 213 Stolen Bases, drew 427 Walks, 166 Strikeouts, posted a .271 BA, .355 OBP, .339 SLG, .694 OPS, and 106 OPS+. Elberfeld turned Hit By the Pitch into an art form. His 165 Hit By Pitches still ranks 19th all time. 

Defensively, Elberfeld played in 1,265 Games, made 1,196 Starts, 1,135 Complete Games, 10,835 Innings, had 6,993 Chances, made 2,681 Putouts, with 3,774 Assists, committed 538 Errors, .923 FLD%, 5.36 RF/9, and 5.10 RF/G. He was fearless, never shying away from confrontation. Elberfeld wore a whalebone shin guard after being spiked multiple times while turning Double Plays. His aggression towards opposing players and umpires, leading to multiple injuries, fights, and suspensions. 

Kid Elberfeld was ruthless in his pursuit of winning. (George Grantham Bain Collection- Library of Congress)

The best season of Elberfeld’s career came with the 1901 Detroit Tigers. He played in 121 Games, scored 76 Runs, collected 133 Hits, including 21 Doubles, 11 Triples, 3 Home Runs, 76 RBI, 23 Stolen Bases, drew 57 Walks, 18 Strikeouts, with a .308 BA, .397 OBP, .428 SLG, .825 OPS, and 125 OPS+. Elberfeld posted career bests in Triples, Home Runs, RBI, BA, SLG, and OPS. Despite the great start, Elberfeld failed to build a Hall of Fame career. 

The game continues to change so it is only appropriate to compare Elberfeld to his contemporaries who were elected to Cooperstown. There are 26 Hall of Fame Shortstops, of which six played during the Dead Ball Era. The average Dead Ball Era Shortstop played 19 seasons, 2,078 career Games, scored 1,253 Runs, collected 2,286 Hits, including 369 Doubles, 143 Triples, 47 Home Runs, 1,131 RBI, 463 Stolen Bases, drew 633 Walks, 499 Strikeouts, with a .290 BA, .350 OBP, .388 SLG, .738 OPS, 113 OPS+, and 69.4 WAR. These Shortstops played their way into the Hall of Fame. Kid Elberfeld did not. He was only better by having 333 fewer Strikeouts and a .005 higher OBP. It is not a close comparison.  

Kid Elberfeld was a true baseball man, spending time as a coach, scout, mentor, and teacher. He was good for the game, but not a Hall of Famer. On the 1936 ballot, Elberfeld received 1 vote, 0.4%. He was tied for the 39th most votes on the ballot. He would appear on the Hall of Fame ballot five times, peaking with 0.8% in both 1938 and 1945. The Hall of Fame voters got it right. Kid Elberfeld does not deserve to be enshrined in Cooperstown. Sometimes the value of an honor is shown through those not receiving it. 

DJ

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 9.0 

What a shock! Few foresaw the Rangers defeating the Diamondbacks in the 2023 World Series. We certainly did not. Despite trying to predict the outcome of the last nine MLB seasons, we continue to know nothing. We were incredibly bad in 2023. The season was filled with great stories and terrible collapses. The Mets were the Mets and baseball was its usual unpredictable self. We may have been terrible at predicting the season, but how bad was it? 

Really bad. Our scoring system is designed to clearly show who is the best at predicting the baseball season before the first pitch is thrown. Points are scored in the following ways: a correct prediction of a team’s final divisional standings in the Regular Season is one point, two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. We were far from perfect. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)Orioles
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)Rays
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRaysBlue Jays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOriolesYankees
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed SoxRed Sox

Our predictions got off to a rough start. Jesse was the only one to have multiple correct predictions with the Rays in second and Blue Jays in third. Derek, Bernie, Kevin, Jason, and The Winning Run all knew it would be a bad season in Boston. John missed completely. Not a great start, but hope springs eternal.

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)Twins
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)Tigers
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)Guardians
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigersWhite Sox
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyalsRoyals

Again we knew who would be bad. The Royals never inspired us. Jason knew the White Sox would be only slightly better than last place. Bernie found the Guardians finishing third. He was the only one to have more than a single correct pick. John was now 0 for 2 divisions. A second straight division of bad predictions did not inspire confidence in the rest of our picks. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)Astros
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)MarinersRangers
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngelsMariners
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangersAngels
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAthleticsAthletics 

Finally we got on track. Derek for some reason decided the Astros were not going to win the division again. He was the only one. Everyone knew the poor A’s would be eliminated on Opening Day. Kevin and Jason had the end of the Ohtani era with the Angels again finishing fourth and out of October. Jesse had the Mariners falling back after a great 2022 season to third place. John had the Rangers finishing just behind the Astros. Everyone except Derek got back on track. How would we do in the National League? 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)Braves
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)Phillies
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhilliesMarlins
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlinsMets
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationalsNationals 

Maybe it was our fandom, or just logic, but the Braves were the easy choice in the National League East. The Nationals were equally easy to finish in the basement. In between was more challenging. The Mets out Mets themselves to finish fourth. Kevin got the first perfect divisional prediction. Bernie whiffed because he had too much confidence in the Nationals. 

The Mets failed on so many levels in 2023 (John Bazemore/ Associated Press)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)Brewers
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)Cubs
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubsReds
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsRedsPirates
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesCardinals

The National League Central was a mystery. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run all whiffed. Derek had the Pirates in fourth, while John and Kevin had the Cubs in second. We did not predict the disaster that was the Cardinals, as everyone had them winning the division. The Reds also surprised us with their third place finish. Brutal. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)Dodgers
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)Diamondbacks
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiantsPadres
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacksGiants
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockiesRockies

The Dodgers in first and Rockies last were easy. The Diamondbacks surprised everyone with their surge to the National League Pennant. The slide that cost Gabe Kapler his job was easy to see coming. The Padres tried and failed to contend. Kevin only mixed up the Padres and Diamondbacks. Bernie whiffed again, striking out on the entire National League. Making predictions is hard, as we proved yet again. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Kevin- 13
  2. Jesse- 10
  3. Jason- 9
  4. Derek- 8
  5. John- 8
  6. The Winning Run- 8
  7. Bernie- 5

At the end of the Regular Season only Kevin was halfway decent. It had been a long miserable Summer for everyone else. Bernie missed the Senior Circuit, but he was only three points behind Derek, John, and The Winning Run. Could things turn around for the better in October or were we doomed by our bad predictions? 

Postseason 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardiansTwins
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwinsBlue Jays
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue JaysRangers
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite SoxRays

John found his groove in the Wild Card. He had the Twins, Blue Jays, and Rangers. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run had two correct picks each in the Wild Card. Kevin’s good luck hit hard times, while Derek continued to show how little he knows about the future of baseball. This was a bad time to make bad predictions. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgersDiamondbacks
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMetsBrewers
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadresPhillies
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewersMarlins

Kevin reversed his fortunes with two correct picks. Everyone else had either the Phillies or Brewers. Bernie finally had a correct National League prediction. While it was good to have at least one correct prediction, it was not great that the majority of our picks were terrible. 

Standings after the Wild Card

  1. Kevin- 17
  2. Jesse- 16
  3. John- 16
  4. Jason- 15
  5. The Winning Run- 14
  6. Bernie- 11
  7. Derek- 10

The Wild Card round helped John and Bernie rebound from the Regular Season. Bernie was out of the basement. Derek was terrible as he took Bernie’s place. Kevin saw his lead shrink. The Wild Card created chaos, as predicted. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue JaysTwins
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankeesRangers
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardiansOrioles

The Astros were the easy pick, even Derek had Houston playing in the Divisional Series. Jesse also had the Twins, giving him points over everyone else. Otherwise our predictions were living in a fantasy land. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinalsDiamondbacks
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadresDodgers
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBravesPhillies
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgersBraves

The Braves and Dodgers were easy picks. The National League ran through them. Only Bernie missed Los Angeles. Jesse with the Phillies and Kevin with the Diamondbacks had a third team in the Divisional Series. Jesse was making moves while the rest of us languished. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Jesse- 36
  2. Kevin- 33
  3. John- 28
  4. Jason- 27
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Jesse launched past Kevin. Derek and Bernie were duking it out for last place. None of us were doing well. Our predictions were trash. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankeesRangers
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstrosAstros

The Astros kept marching towards the World Series. Jesse, John, Jason, and The Winning Run knew this. Derek, Bernie, and Kevin did not get the memo. Derek and Bernie continued fighting in the cellar. Kevin’s whiff hurt his title chances. Besides Houston, we had no clue on the American League. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBravesDiamondbacks
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadresPhillies

We were terrible at the American League. We were clueless about the Senior Circuit. The Mets and Padres Regular Season failures haunted us. Both the Braves and Dodgers failed to live up to October expectations. What were we thinking? 

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Kevin plummeted down the rankings. Derek and Bernie readied for a futility throw down. Jesse’s lead looked hard to beat, but the Fall Classic awaited us. Kevin, Jason, and John were within striking distance if Jesse faltered. 

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBravesRangers
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstrosDiamondbacks

We suck. None of us predicted either World Series team. A big swing and miss. There would be no last second change in the standings. Try as we might, we know nothing about the future of baseball. 

Final Standings

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Congratulations Jesse, you are the best among us at predicting the 2023 MLB season. We were all terrible, but you were slightly less terrible. Maybe in 2024 we will be better…doubtful. 

DJ

Rookie of the Year

Teams are successful when they develop talent, not simply purchase free agents. The George Steinbrenner Yankees were often accused of buying championships, but they did develop talent. Success is turning draft picks and international signings into Major League players. The Rookie of the Year Award recognizes the best first year player in each league. Created in 1947, there was a single Award for the first two seasons, but since 1949 each league has a winner. While it is an individual award, the Rookie of the Year Award should also be viewed as an organizational award. If a franchise is consistently producing quality Major League caliber players they will eventually have one worthy of the award. The Diamondbacks are the last of the 30 Major League teams to have a Rookie of the Year. It took 25 years for Arizona to achieve. While it may have taken longer than expected for a player like Corbin Carroll to arrive, Arizona has finally completed the task. 

The inaugural Rookie of the Year Award was presented to Jackie Robinson after the most difficult rookie season in Major League history. Al Dark of the Boston Braves won in 1948. In 1949, Roy Sievers of the St. Louis Browns won the first American League Rookie of the Year Award. In more than 75 years since its creation, the Dodgers reigned supreme at producing elite rookies. The Dodgers have won a record 18 times, four in Brooklyn and 14 in Los Angeles. The Yankees are second with nine. 

The expectation was the Expansion teams would be among the last to have a Rookie of the Year. When expansion’s first wave came in 1961, only the Cubs and Pirates had yet to win the Rookie of the Year. However, the Cubs won their first Rookie of the Year in 1961 with the future Hall of Famer Billy Williams. This left Pittsburgh as the last non-expansion team without the award. Surely the Pirates could produce an elite rookie at some point. Instead, 12 of the 14 Expansion teams developed a Rookie of the Year before Pittsburgh. Finally, in 2004 Jason Bay put together a rookie campaign deemed worthy, giving the Pirates their first Rookie of the Year. Only the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks had yet to win the award in 2004. Both franchises began play in 1998. The Pirates lack of success is just another disappointment in an ever growing list. 

Corbin Carroll is the Diamondbacks first Rookie of the Year. Arizona was the last remaining team without a Rookie of the Year winner. (Rob Leiter/ MLB Photos)

Simply winning the Rookie of the Year Award does not guarantee success beyond that first season in the Majors. Every player has the best season of their career, and for some it is that first season. There are others, who build upon their initial success. They finish their careers among the greatest ever. There are 19 players who won the Rookie of the Year Award and then had a Hall of Fame career

  1. Jackie Robinson- Brooklyn Dodgers, 1947
  2. Willie Mays- New York Giants, 1951
  3. Frank Robinson- Cincinnati Reds, 1956
  4. Luis Aparicio- Chicago White Sox, 1956
  5. Orlando Cepeda- San Francisco Giants, 1958
  6. Willie McCovey- San Francisco Giants, 1959
  7. Billy Williams- Chicago Cubs, 1961
  8. Tony Oliva- Minnesota Twins, 1964
  9. Tom Seaver- New York Mets, 1967
  10. Rod Carew- Minnesota Twins, 1967
  11. Johnny Bench- Cincinnati Reds, 1968
  12. Carlton Fisk- Boston Red Sox, 1972
  13. Andre Dawson- Montreal Expos, 1977
  14. Eddie Murray- Baltimore Orioles, 1977
  15. Cal Ripken Jr.- Baltimore Orioles, 1982
  16. Jeff Bagwell- Houston Astros, 1991
  17. Mike Piazza- Los Angeles Dodgers, 1993
  18. Derek Jeter- New York Yankees, 1996
  19. Scott Rolen- Philadelphia Phillies, 1997

In addition to these 19 Hall of Famers, there are five more players who will join them in Cooperstown when they are eligible. There will certainly be more, but these five are all but guaranteed to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame.  

  1. Albert Pujols- St. Louis Cardinals, 2001
  2. Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle Mariners, 2001
  3. Justin Verlander- Detroit Tigers, 2006
  4. Bryce Harper- Washington Nationals, 2012
  5. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels, 2012

The Rookie of the Year Award celebrates the best new talent in the Majors each season. The players selected each season are not guaranteed a long and successful career, nor are they doomed to mediocrity. One great season does not define a player, but it can gain them recognition. Teams are tasked with developing the players and their success is reflected in winning the Rookie of the Year Award. It is nearly impossible to win multiple seasons in a row, but a team should consistently produce good, young players. Occasionally one should win the award. The Dodgers have figured out how to do just that, and the Pirates have not. All 30 MLB teams have now had a Rookie of the Year winner. Who adds to their list next season?  

DJ

World Series of Chaos

We have our World Series matchup, Texas Rangers against Arizona Diamondbacks.

This is the first Fall Classic matchup between these two franchises. The Rangers are making their third trip to the World Series. They lost back to back World Series in 2010 and 2011. Texas has yet to reach the mountain top. The Diamondbacks are making their second appearance. They won a thriller in Game 7 against the Yankees in 2001. Will north Texas finally win it all or will the desert take home a second Commissioner’s Trophy? 

Bruce Bochy has spent 26 seasons as a Major League manager. He has a 2,093-2,101 record, a .499 Win%. Bochy passed Walter Alston earlier this season to move into tenth place all-time in wins. Bochy, Bucky Harris, and Connie Mack are the only three managers with a losing record in the top ten. Four victories in the World Series would tie Bochy with Dusty Baker with 57 Postseason wins, the fourth most ever. He has done well as the winningest, and only, French born manager ever. This is the third team Bochy has led to the World Series. He won the National League Pennant with the Padres in 1998 and led the Giants to three World Series titles in five years between 2010 and 2014. Can he win his fourth title in his first season with the Rangers? 

Torey Lovullo is in his seventh season as a Major League manager. He has a 495-537 record, a .480 Win%. Lovullo has the 142nd most career victories as a Major League Manager. He took over the Diamondbacks in 2017 after they finished with just 69 wins in 2016. Arizona immediately responded with a 93 win season and a trip to the Division Series, where they were swept by the Dodgers. The front office has stayed the course with Lovullo, as the Diamondbacks have finished an average of 26 behind the National League West division winner in the last six seasons. The only thing that matters now is the Diamondbacks are hot at the right time. 

One of the least probable World Series is upon us. (www.si.com)

Tommy Lasorda. He is the difference between Bruce Bochy and Torey Lovullo. Bochy has 1,598 more victories than Lovullo. Lasorda posted 1,599 wins in his Hall of Fame managerial career. This difference typifies how crazy baseball can be. Bochy is on his way to Cooperstown. Lovullo is already the winningest manager in Arizona history and could be on his way to the Diamondbacks Hall of Fame with four more victories. Baseball does not care about your history, only what you can do today. 

How will this World Series unfold? History says it will be chaos. The last three Fall Classics have gone six games. The last World Series Game 7 was 2019 when the Nationals triumphed over the Astros. The last World Series sweep was 2012 as the Giants swept the Tigers. Who has the advantage this October? Honestly no one knows, because the last ten World Series are an even split with the American and National League each winning five times. 

Enjoy the end of the baseball season. The cold of Winter is coming. Another baseball season is drawing to a close. The unpredictability of the game has led us to this World Series, Rangers vs Diamondbacks. Every season is a free for all. This year is no different. The Mets and Padres are proof you cannot buy your way into the Postseason. The League Championship Series were some of the best baseball has to offer. Hopefully it continues into November. 

DJ

Predictions Sure to Go Wrong 9.0

It is once again time for our feeble attempt at predicting the future. What will happen during the 2023 MLB season? No one knows for sure, but we offer our best guesses. If history is any guide our predictions will be horribly wrong. Wrong during the Regular Season and wrong during the Postseason. One thing we are certain of is our friend Jason is giving his predictions for the first time. Time will tell if he is any better at predicting the future than the rest of us. We like to think we have a basic understanding of baseball and the Major Leagues, but ultimately we are human and humans are biased thus we make mistakes. Our track record is poor, so trust our predictions at your own risk. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOrioles
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed Sox

The American League East could be a four team race. The Blue Jays and Yankees are the division favorites, but it is hard to sleep on the Rays. Tampa Bay always seems to be better than they appear. The Orioles have built a solid young team that is ready to compete with the rest of the division. Baltimore might need another year of seasoning before they threaten the Postseason, but they will begin seeing the results of their rebuild. The Red Sox will have a long Summer. Adding players like Justin Turner, do not win divisions. Boston may hang around for a while, but tickets should be cheap at Fenway by August. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigers
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyals

Could the American League Central finally not be the worst division in baseball. None of the teams are in the World Series conversation, but several have real hopes for October. The White Sox improved by getting a new manager. Byron Buxton’s health is key in Minnesota after the Twins got Carlos Correa back after his well traveled off season. The Guardians have built a solid team around Jose Ramirez. The Tigers are trending in the right direction, but their season is focused on sending Miguel Cabrera into retirement. The Royals…well they get to play baseball too. 

Carlos Correa came back to Minnesota after an offseason of traveling the baseball world. (David Berding/ Getty Images)

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)Mariners
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngels
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangers
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAtheltics

Will the Astros finally stop winning? Doubtful. They lost Justin Verlander, but added Jose Abreu. The Mariners are back and still a great team, they should challenge Houston. Surely the Angels will put together a winning season that makes Shohei Ohtani pause before leaving in free agency. What a waste if the Angels are terrible again with Mike Trout and Ohtani healthy. The Rangers added Jacob deGrom. They have the big name pieces, now they just need to come together. What a sad way for the Athletics to spend their final season in Oakland. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhillies
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationals

The Braves have built another dynasty. The division is theirs for the taking despite the Mets spending more money on free agents than all the gold at Fort Knox. The Mets will be great, but will they be Amazin? The Phillies caught fire at the right time last season to make an unexpected run to the World Series, they are unlikely to catch lightning in a bottle twice. The Marlins are improving, but like their other good young cores, how long will these players stay in Miami? Marlins fans are waiting for the trades to begin. The Nationals fell hard after their World Series victory and have yet to show signs of life. Washington is in for a long rebuild. 

The New York Mets paid a king’s ransom in the hope of building a World Series winning team. (Jason Vinlove/ Getty Images)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubs
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsReds
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

The Nationals League Central is a two team race. The Cardinals never slump and even with Yadier Molina retiring they got better. The Brewers continue to play some of the best baseball in the Majors, but can they overcome St. Louis and win the division? A lot has to go right for Milwaukee to avoid the Wild Card. The Cubs have a lot of good pieces, but they are not contenders. Maybe they play .500 baseball but they need more pieces before they dream of October again. The Reds and Pirates are rebuilding. They have a few young players already in the Majors and a ton of prospects in the Minors. The team that does the best job developing that talent will be the first to return to relevance.  

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiants
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacks
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockies

The Padres try and try, but they have been unable to knock off the Dodgers. This season is no different. The Padres will be very good, but the Dodgers will be great. The Giants are trying to contend again, but they missed in free agency and the mountain is just too high to climb. The Diamondbacks have a solid core around which they should become a contender in a few seasons. Arizona needs Corbin Carroll to play up to his contract. The Rockies are a mess. Technically they are rebuilding, but what have they done to get better?

Postseason

Just get into the Postseason. If you can make it to October anything can happen. The Phillies last season are a great example. They nearly turned a disastrous season into a championship winning one. The Postseason is even more unpredictable than the Regular Season. 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardians
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwins
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue Jays
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgers
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMets
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadres
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewers

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue Jays
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankees
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardians

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinals
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadres
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBraves
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgers

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankees
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstros

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBraves
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadres

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBraves
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstros
Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves are on a path to the World Series. (Michael Reaves/ Getty Images)

Congratulations to the World Series Champion Atlanta Braves!

Time will tell if we are correct. There is plenty that can go right and wrong for a team between now and October. No matter what happens, baseball fans are in for another great season. Happy Baseball!

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, KB, & JL

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 8.0

Surprising no one, we were wrong. We were wrong last year and the year before that and the year before that. It is almost certain we will be wrong this year and next year. Trying to be positive, we are consistent. The 2022 season was unpredictable, as we will demonstrate below. 

Looking back at our predictions before the 2022 season, if you made it to the Postseason, you had a chance. You can run up the score in October. The Regular Season is one point for a correct prediction of each team’s final divisional standing. The scoring system changes in the Postseason: two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. 

A scoring system is necessary to determine who made the best predictions. No one was close to perfection, we were the opposite of perfect. So let’s look back at what did not happen in the 2022 season.  

American League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysPoutine Commandos *YankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesRaysBlue Jays
YankeesEvil EmpireSoxYankeesRed SoxYankeesRays
Red SoxThe Team With the Truest FansRaysRed SuxBlue JaysRed SoxOrioles
OriolesBean Town BrosOriolesOriolesOriolesOriolesRed Sox

Derek, Kevin, Bernie, and the Winning Run all swung and missed on the American League East. Not a great start. No one guessed the Rays would finish in the middle of the pack. The most competitive division in baseball was unpredictable. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
White SoxDaniel TigersSoxWhite SoxWhite SoxWhite SoxGuardians
TigersSpidersTwinsTigersTigersTigersWhite Sox
TwinsSouth SideTigersTwinsTwinsTwinsTwins
RoyalsMonarchsOf The GalaxyGuardiansGuardiansGuardiansTigers
GuardiansTwinkiesRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyals

Jesse whiffed on the American League Central. The Twins and the Royals were easy choices for the rest of us. We thought the White Sox would roll and the Guardians would flounder. Wrong. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
MarinersTrouts *AstrosAstrosAngelsAstrosAstros
AstrosTrashtrosHalosAngelsMarinersAngelsMariners
AngelsElephantsRangersMarinesAstrosMarinersAngels
RangersCaptain AhabsKrakenRangersRangersRangersRangers
AthleticsDangersLas VegasAthleticsAthleticsA’sAthletics

Jesse missed on back to back divisions. Derek knew what the bottom of the American League West would look like. Houston and Oakland were easy picks. Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani deserve better. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BravesBravos *ReigningPhilliesBravesBravesBraves
PhilliesAmazinsPhilliesBravesMetsPhilliesMets
MetsFishMetsMarlinsPhilliesMetsPhillies
MarlinsPholliesMarlinsMetsMarlinsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationals

Bernie had the first perfect division. Everyone but Kevin was on their game for the National League East. The Nationals had a clean sweep for the basement and we knew the Mets were never destined for first place.

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BrewersLittle Red MachineMillerBrewersCardinalsBrewersCardinals
CardinalsEt Tu Brew Crew?CardsCardinalsBrewersCardinalsBrewers
RedsBuccosReds?RedsCubsRedsCubs
CubsHarry Caray’sCubsCubsRedsCubsReds
PiratesThe only one I know is VottoRoster spotPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

Is there a sadder division in baseball than the National League Central. Three teams are actively rebuilding. It was a two team race from Opening Day. Despite the lack of quality baseball Bernie had another perfect prediction. Derek, John, Kevin, and The Winning Run only predicted last place. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
DodgersMcDoubles *DodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgers
GiantsBiggunsPadresGiantsPadresPadresPadres
PadresL7 WeeniesGiantsPadresGiantsGiantsGiants
RockiesJohn DenversDiamondsRockiesRockiesRockiesDiamondbacks
DiamondbacksWhy bother showing upSadnessDiamondbacksDiamondbacksDiamondbacksRockies

Bernie mixed up the Rockies and the Diamondbacks, otherwise he would have had a perfect National League. John rebounded for his own perfect division. Jesse hit nothing but air. The Dodgers were the easy top pick, then it was a lot of disappointment. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Bernie- 18
  2. John- 14
  3. The Winning Run- 12
  4. Derek- 9
  5. Kevin- 8
  6. Jesse- 7

After the Regular Season, Bernie held a solid four point lead over John. Jesse prayed to Saint Ruth for October to be kinder to him than the Regular Season. It was still anybody’s race.

The Phillies came out of nowhere to reach October. (Tim Nwachukwu/ Getty Images)

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
AL Wild Card 1YankeesDaniel TigersChisoxWhite SoxWhite SoxRaysMariners
Blue JaysTrashtrosBoSoxTigersTigersAngelsBlue Jays
AL Wild Card 2RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesTigersGuardians
AstrosEvil EmpireTwinsYankeesMarinersAstrosRays

Only Derek foresaw the American League Wild Card with the Rays and Blue Jays. However, everyone got points to begin the Postseason. The Yankees were high on our predictions and they were a disappointment. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NL Wild Card 1BravesLittle Red MachineCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesPhillies
CardinalsEt Tu Brew CrewPadresPadresGiantsPadresCardinals
NL Wild Card 2PhilliesBiggunsBrewersGiantsMetsCardinalsPadres
GiantsL7 WeeniesPhilliesBravesPadresPhilliesMets

John, Bernie, and the Winning Run were nearly perfect in the National League Wild Card. The Padres and Giants were quite popular, but with very different outcomes. 

Standing after the Wild Card

  1. Bernie- 26
  2. John- 22
  3. The Winning Run- 20
  4. Derek- 17
  5. Kevin- 12
  6. Jesse- 11

Bernie maintained his four point lead over John. Derek crept closer to The Winning Run. Jesse and Kevin were off to a slow start. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALDS 1Blue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
MarinersTrashtrosJaysRaysTigersRaysGuardians
ALDS 2RaysTroutsAstrosWhite SoxAngelsWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamChisoxAstrosYankeesAstrosMariners

Only John predicted more than one team correctly in the American League Divisional Series. The Yankees and Astros were popular, although New York did better than our predictions by not using the Wild Card to reach the ALDS. The White Sox disappointing season was on display in our predictions. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLDS 1BrewersBravosDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
BravesBiggunsBrewersGiantsPadresCardinalsBraves
NLDS 2DodgersMcDoublesBravesPhilliesBravesBrewersPadres
GiantsEt Tu Brew CrewCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesDodgers

Everyone had at least two correct predictions, as Bernie’s tear through the National League continued with three correct predictions. The Braves and Dodgers did not disappoint in the National League Divisional Series. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Bernie- 42
  2. John- 38
  3. The Winning Run- 32
  4. Derek- 29
  5. Kevin- 24
  6. Jesse- 23

Bernie’s four point lead continued to hold. Derek and The Winning Run were fighting for third place. Meanwhile Jesse and Kevin were battling for last place. Two rounds left, but plenty of points were still available. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALCSBlue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesRaysRaysWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamAstrosWhite SoxAngelsRaysYankees

John was perfect in the American League Championship Series with the Yankees and Astros. Everyone else completely missed. Bernie kissed his four point lead goodbye. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLCSBrewersBravosBravesDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
GiantsMcDoublesDodgersPhilliesCardinalsBravesPadres

Jesse and Kevin came to life with one correct prediction in the National League Championship Series. John could not repeat his magic. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run struck out.

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Bernie’s four point lead was now a 12 point deficit. Kevin and The Winning Run were tied for third with Jesse just one point behind. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run were all done after missing on both Championship Series. It was not good for these three. 

We did not think the Astros would make the World Series, much less win it. (Jerome Miron- USA TODAY Sports)

World Series

World SeriesDerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysBravosYankeesDodgersDodgersWhite SoxAstros
BrewersSteve Irwin Hates This TeamBravesRaysAngelsDodgersPhillies
Blue JaysBravosYankees in 7Dodgers in 6AngelsWhite SoxAstros

None of us saw the Astros or Phillies in the World Series coming. We had 12 chances to get one team right and whiffed all 12 times. At least the majority of our World Series teams made the Postseason. We are bad at predicting baseball, but 2022 was especially horrific. 

Standings after the World Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Congratulations John. You were the best predictor of us all, at least for the 2022 season. 

The man at the top our of predictions this year loves his Yankees even in the Texas heat. (The Winning Run/DJ)

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

Begin Again

Spring Training is here. The World Baseball Classic is quickly approaching. The MLB regular season is not far behind. Simply knowing professional baseball has returned makes the waning weeks of Winter a little less awful. There are no games on TV or radio yet, just daily reports about who looked good during a workout. Who pulled this or tweaked that. Hope springs eternal. All 30 teams and their fan bases are excited for the upcoming season, whether they are contending for a championship or watching young prospects reach the Major Leagues. Nothing has gone wrong yet. No injuries. No players suddenly in decline. No losing streak. Everything is possible in the Spring.

The beginning of the season is a fairy tale. Teams and their fans should be realistic about what lays ahead. The odds are not great for an Oakland Athletics vs Pittsburgh Pirates World Series. Neither is expected to contend, but there could be positive steps towards a return to relevancy. Playing for something, even to finish at .500, is a months long task with ebbs and flows with plenty of drama. Great teams make bad plays and bad teams make great plays. Baseball is harsh for everyone, yet everyone loves it. 

Baseball is back in all its glory. (www.nbcsports.com)

Baseball is a slow game. Like planting seeds, the growth does not happen overnight. Daily discipline can yield terrific results. It is not a guarantee, but it gives a team or player a chance for success. Signing high priced free agents does not make the Postseason a certainty, but it can create an atmosphere to build into a Postseason team. Jayson Werth once signed with the lonely Nationals and Washington began to contend. Talent follows talent. The same may be true in Texas.  

No one knows what is ahead. There will be drama, excitement, heartbreak, and hilarity. Only uncertainty is certain. In other sports the outcome of the season comes down to a few select teams even before the first game of the season is played. Baseball is different. Superstars like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and Jacob deGrom guarantee excitement, but not wins or championships. This is what makes baseball great, the ability for a collection of nobodies to become somebodies, if only for a season. 

Happy Spring Training.

DJ

Dusty’s Reward

He finally reached the top. Dusty Baker is a World Series winning manager. He is the oldest manager to ever win the Fall Classic. Regardless of how long he continues managing, Baker has punched his ticket to Cooperstown. The World Series victory by the Astros is the culmination of a lifetime devoted to the game.

Plenty of great managers go into coaching because they had to learn everything they could to keep their playing career alive. Dusty Baker is not among them. He played 19 seasons in the Majors for the Atlanta Braves (1968-1975), Los Angeles Dodgers (1976-1983), San Francisco Giants (1984), and Oakland Athletics (1985-1986). While his career numbers do not point to immortality, Baker was a very good player. In 2,039 career Games, he scored 964 Runs, collected 1,981 Hits, 320 Doubles, 23 Triples, 242 Home Runs, 1,013 RBI, 137 Stolen Bases, drew 762 Walks, 926 Strikeouts, with a .278 BA, .347 OBP, .432 SLG, .779 OPS, and 116 OPS+. Baker was a two time All Star, won a Gold Glove in Leftfield, and a two time Silver Slugger. Even in October he shined, winning the 1977 National League Championship Series MVP and helping the Dodgers win the 1981 World Series. Perhaps Baker’s biggest moment as a player happened while he waited. He was on deck when Henry Aaron hit his 715th Home Run to surpass Babe Ruth as the all time home run king. Baker continued witnessing history after his playing career.

Dusty Baker has spent his life loving baseball loving baseball and it loved him back this October. (Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports)

After a year away from the game, Baker was brought back to baseball in an effort to have more minorities hired. This effort had gained momentum in the aftermath of the racist comments by Dodgers General Manager Al Campanis. Baker’s old teammate, Aaron, helped lead the charge. After serving as a coach for the Giants, Baker’s managerial career began when he took over in San Francisco in 1993. He has managed five teams in his 25 seasons as a manager: San Francisco Giants (1993-2002), Chicago Cubs (2003-2006), Cincinnati Reds (2008-2013), Washington Nationals (2016-2017), and Houston Astros (2020-present). To say Baker is underrated as a manager is accurate. He is the first manager to ever lead five teams to division titles, winning a total of nine division titles. His 2,093 wins are the ninth most all time and the most for a manager not in the Hall of Fame. Only his tenure with the Cubs resulted in an overall losing record, as Chicago was four games below .500 under Baker. No team under his tutelage has ever lost 100 games. He has guided his teams to a winning season 16 times. Baker has an overall .538 winning percentage which is higher than Joe Torre and Tony LaRussa. He was named the National League Manager of the Year with the Giants in 1993, 1997, and 2000. Baker is the ninth manager to win the pennant in both leagues, winning the National League pennant with the 2002 Giants and the American League pennant with the 2021 and 2022 Astros. The 2022 World Series victory only adds to his long list of achievements. 

The list of accomplishments in Dusty Baker’s career are numerous. He is a baseball lifer. He has seen it all. He played alongside Henry Aaron as he broke the most important record in American sports. He managed Barry Bonds as he took the single season, and career, home run records to new heights. He brought success to two of the most historic teams in baseball in the Cubs and Reds. He was successful in Washington despite never receiving the respect he deserved as the Nationals moved on after back to back seasons with at least 95 victories. Dusty Baker used the dignity and respect he had built over a lifetime to move Houston forward after their 2017 cheating scandal. Baseball, especially Commissioner Rob Manfred, let the Astros skate by with minimal punishment. Fans around baseball continue to actively hate the Astros. While Fox tried to white wash history during the World Series, fans were not having it. You can root for Houston to fail, but ultimately you can feel some sense of happiness from their success because it means Dusty Baker won a World Series. A lifetime of service to the game and baseball loved him back with a World Series title. 

Bravo Dusty. Enjoy the celebration. 

DJ

30 for 30 Memories by the Game

One year ago we finished the 30 MLB Games in 30 days road trip. There are a lifetime of memories from that month on the road. I could fill a library and still leave things out. Instead of the full catalog, below are some memories from each of the 30 games. The memories are not all from the games, some happened before or after the games. 

Game #1- St. Louis Cardinals

After the game was over we began walking down the walkway to exit the stadium from our cheap seats. We were not in a hurry, our hotel was just across the Mississippi River. Traffic however would make the 10 mile drive take over two hours. As we walked the stadium paramedics came by on their cart. As they turned around the switch back one of the paramedics dropped their adult beverage. It went everywhere. Good to know the paramedics were going to be hung over in the morning. 

All smiles and full of energy before Game 1 in St. Louis. (The Winning Run/ DJ)

Game #2- Cincinnati Reds

The Reds were in the process of blowing a lead against the Brewers. The Cincinnati faithful were occupying themselves with the Wave. The man behind us began complaining, telling his wife, and anyone else within earshot, that the Reds were blowing the lead because the fans were doing the Wave. It was a curse. They needed to stop or the Reds would lose. His wife told him the Wave was fine. He continued his diatribe. Finally she had had enough and told him if he continued they were going home. He stopped, but about three minutes and a few more Milwaukee hits later, he could take no more. The rant resumed. True to her word, his wife made him leave. True to his word the Reds blew the lead and lost the game. 

Game #3- Philadelphia Phillies

The first real test of the road trip was the drive from Cincinnati to Philadelphia. The nine hour drive for the Sunday day game meant driving several hours before the sun came up. Getting out of bed and on the road when three was the first number on the clock was a critical moment. Were we serious about this? After hours in the darkness across Ohio, we were greeted by fog in Pennsylvania. Once the fog finally lifted, the City of Brotherly Love gave us a traffic jam. Our energy was not impacted by the early start. It was the beginning of a month with little sleep because of baseball.

Game #4- Washington Nationals

The Nationals absolutely destroyed the Marlins. The game was over long before the final out. Through the powers of the internet we joined some of the original Nationals season ticket holders in their seats. We were quickly taught the chant they led every time Washington scored. 

N-A-T-S NATS NATS NATS WOOO!!!!

Nothing better than a good natured chant when the crowd is into the game. However, the difficulty came from Washington winning 18-1. After a while, all the chanting makes even the biggest baseball fan tired. Totally worth it though. 

Game #5- Atlanta Braves

We stayed with my parents and went to the game with Jesse, John, and my college roommates. The game between the Braves and Padres was nothing spectacular. Freddie Freeman hit a monster home run to seal the game for Atlanta. A home cooked meal and familiar surroundings were great, even just five days into the trip. 

Familiar faces, like my college roommates were critical to keeping us sane during the road trip. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #6- Tampa Bay Rays

One of my goals for the trip was to get into America’s four major bodies of water: the Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and the Great Lakes. The Gulf of Mexico was up first. After the noon game, which turned out to be kids summer camp day, I found a park on the drive to Miami for a quick dip. This was Kevin’s first trip to Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. We walked across the burning sand and into the water. As expected it was like bath water. This was a shock to Kevin. He grew up in New York and lived in California, so to him ocean water is cold. The primal, soul crushing noise he let out still makes me laugh a year later. 

Game #7- Miami Marlins

Kevin wanted Cuban food in Miami. We went to El Rey de las Fritas. Whenever I travel, eating local food is an important part of the journey. Walking in, it was quickly clear we were the only non native Spanish speakers in the restaurant. After trying, and butchering, our order in Spanish we were served the best meal I have had in a long time. Everything was delicious. Our Spanish was terrible, but we tried. Lots of smiling, pointing, and broken Spanish goes a long way. 

El Rey de las Fritas was the best meal of the trip. Eat local. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #8- Houston Astros

Miami to Houston is a long drive. We called and told the hotel valet in Miami to get the car at 2 AM. He didn’t believe us. When we got downstairs he took his sweet time getting Donkey, our rental car, costing us a half an hour. Making it to Houston meant we stopped only for gas. Hour after hour of driving before finally reaching the Florida-Alabama line, where Kevin declared he would never return to the Sunshine State. We were on track to reach Houston in time, but hit traffic within sight of the Houston skyline. 1,200 miles and we missed first pitch because of a slow, mandatory valet and Houston traffic. We tried. 

Game #9- Kansas City Royals

Driving through Oklahoma we saw field after field of cows. It was lunchtime so a hamburger was the obvious choice. We stopped at a local chain and ordered two sack fulls, five burgers per bag. Five regular hamburgers and five cheese burgers. It was some of the worst food of our lives. The bread was stale and the meat was crunchy. Yes, crunchy. They were so bad we only managed to choke down four of the ten burgers. They were horrific, which made no sense after driving by so many cows. 

Kauffman Stadium is underrated. We got better seats thanks to family connections. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #10- Minnesota Twins

No Mike Trout. Injuries kept us from seeing the multi-time MVP, so we had to settle for Shohei Ohtani. While he was not pitching, we did get to see him demolish a baseball, sending it on a line over the high wall in Right Field. Even from our seats in the upper deck, the demolition was jaw dropping. It is one thing to see a special player on TV, it is another to see them in person. 

Game #11- Chicago Cubs

Sitting in the Bleachers at Wrigley is a must. Much like sitting near the Bleacher Creatures at old Yankee Stadium, it gives you a feel for how the die hard fans live and die. The Cubs won on a walk off Single by Javier Baez. He taunted Amir Garrett as he strolled to First Base. Wrigley erupted as the Friendly Confines began another rendition of Go Cubs Go. Kevin’s hatred for in-stadium sing alongs softened a touch with Go Cubs Go. However the song length quickly returned things to normal. Walk off wins are the best.

Baseball is better with friends. Someone new to talk to was always a welcome change. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #12- Cleveland Indians

The opportunity to do the 30 in 30 was not without hesitation, specifically missing out on time with my daughter. 30 days is a long time in the life of a child. Fortunately my wife was willing to meet us as we drove from Chicago to Cleveland for a few hours of fun at the playground plus ice cream. This meetup simultaneously reinvigorated and hurt me as once again I left because of baseball. Pushing a swing, sliding down a slide, and sharing an ice cream are the best things in life. 

Game #13- Baltimore Orioles

Camden Yards is one of the most beautiful ballparks in baseball. Unfortunately we went on a week night to watch the Orioles play the Marlins. Both teams were bad. The incredibly small crowd meant the ballpark lacked the energy so many have described in Baltimore. The announced crowd was a lie, there could not have been more than 2,000 people at the game. You could hear the players and umpires talking. The lackluster crowd necessitates a return trip to Baltimore for another Orioles game to experience the real Camden Yards. 

A return trip to Camden Yards is required now that the Orioles are winning again. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #14- Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park is a special place to watch a baseball game. However the game we saw between the Red Sox and Blue Jays was anything but special. Toronto brutalized Boston as a light rain fell for most of the game. The crowd was quickly taken out of the game. The nail in the Red Sox’s coffin was a monster Home Run by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The ball seemed to be rising as it soared over the Green Monster and into the Boston night. It remains one of the hardest hit baseballs I have ever seen. 

Fenway Park is always magical, regardless of the play on the field. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #15- Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh and PNC Park was the very first baseball road trip Kevin, Bernie, and I did together. The ballpark is aging, but remains one of the most beautiful in all of baseball. After missing out on the Pirates Hawaiian Shirt giveaway we walked to our seats. It was crowded, as the Pirates were hosting the Phillies. We kept walking past insanely long concession lines. The Pirates had not anticipated the crowd and the lack of workers created hours long lines. We moved from the crowded cheap seats behind home plate to the Left Field corner. Several guys near our new seats went to get beer for themselves and girlfriends in the Third Inning. They returned in the Seventh empty handed. They had waited in line the entire time only to miss out as beer sales ended before reaching the front of the line. I felt bad for the workers. 

Game #16- New York Mets

Citi Field is one of my favorites. Did the Mets build a second stadium under LaGuardia’s flight path? Yes, but they built a cathedral. Kevin and I met in graduate school in New Jersey and spent years around New York. A trip back to the city was a relief. It was a trip down memory lane, plus we were able to meet up with friends. New people to talk to and share stories with. Two days back in familiar territory and without driving was invigorating. 

Game #17- New York Yankees

The real MVP of the Yankees was not Aaron Judge, Anthony Rizzo, or anyone wearing pinstripes. It was a cat. A cat on the field to be exact. Kevin’s curse on his beloved Yankees continues, as they lose every time he goes to a game when they play the Orioles. The game was dragging when suddenly our hero appeared. Running away from security like every streaker’s dreams. The cat bolted under and around security, up the outfield wall, and everywhere in between. The thunderous chants of “MVP, MVP, MVP” for our hero quickly turned to boos as security ushered the cat off the field. The cat was the real MVP as the Bronx Bombers lost again. 

Game #18- Detroit Tigers

Drinking a beer at a baseball game is a great way to enjoy America’s Pastime. Drinking several is expensive and can cause your mouth to run faster than your brain. A perfect example occurred in Detroit. Sitting behind the bullpens beyond the Leftfield wall we could enjoy the game and appreciate the pitching abilities of the relievers. A fellow fan clearly had too many and began heckling Boston’s Alex Verdugo. Nothing dirty or inappropriate. Then he went after Joe Jimenez as he warmed up because he was too drunk to realize Jimenez is a Tiger. His buddies finally took him home after he yelled, “Verdugo, you’ve got the butt of a teenage boy.” Sometimes even drunk frat guys know when to call it a night. 

Baseball is better with family. My brother-in-law met us in Detroit and took my camping gear home. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #19- Milwaukee Brewers

Miller Park, it will forever be Miller Park to me, feels like watching a baseball game in a greenhouse. The roof was open, but not the windows. It was not a particularly hot day, but do not tell this to the locals. The locals constantly complained about the heat as they cooked in the sun, it was in the mid 80s. They also complained about the walk up music. Casual racism about Dominican players walking to bat to Spanish music. “This music sucks. You know who would be better? Led Zeppelin”. Players can walk up to anything they want while you pay to see them play.

Game #20- Chicago White Sox

In Boston Kevin and I had stopped in an Irish Pub to grab food before the game. We were the only two people not in suits, with several people in tuxedos and formalwear. Fastford to Chicago. Kevin, Bernie, and I go to a place called The Game Room. We made an assumption based on the name. We were wrong. Kevin and I again found ourselves wildly underdressed and surrounded by suits in a classy place with a less than classy name. We all have special skills. 

Game #21- Colorado Rockies

Those poor Marlins. We once again watched their dismantling, this time by the Rockies. The only real highlight was once again watching Miami’s best pitcher take the mound. Sandy Leon, the backup catcher who had saved the bullpen by pitching in the blow out in Washington, came on to save the bullpen again. We watched the same position player pitch twice. 

Even the sprinklers could not dampen the electricity in the ballpark when Sandy Leon was on the mound. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #22- Los Angeles Dodgers

There was a landslide on Interstate 70 west of Denver. Routing around the landslide on another Interstate would have added hours. Hours we did not have to reach Dodger Stadium from Denver on time. We decided the fastest route was to take the detour through the back mountain roads of Colorado. We had to drive it immediately after the game because the time crunch did not allow for sleep and then drive in the daylight. I drove first. Bernie was supposed to stay awake with me. It was Kevin’s turn to sleep. A late night and ridiculously early morning start in Chicago meant Bernie soon fell asleep. I told Kevin I would wake him when I started the detour. I forget as I drove the darkest roads of my life. It was a New Moon with no street lights or paint on the road. Nothing but rock on one side and a black void on the other. Kevin eventually woke up and screamed “SLOW THE F#%* DOWN”. I was driving 12 MPH. Kevin could not go back to sleep after his mild heart attack. 

Game #23- Oakland Athletics

After a ground out to end the Top of the First, Matt Olson tossed the ball to Matt Chapman who showed off his throwing arm. I was watching the game while Bernie focused on his lunch and Kevin his phone. I saw the ball leave Chapman’s hand and I knew it was destined for the upper deck. We were the only one’s around. The ball was heading to our left and I immediately took off after it. I sprinted for the baseball as it came to rest in the next section over. I grabbed it and hoisted it high above my head, celebrating like a little kid. Finally, after a lifetime and a summer dedicated to baseball, I finally had the holy grail, a game used baseball direct from the field of play.

I finally have a game used baseball thanks to Matt Chapman’s throw from the field to the cheap seats. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #24- San Diego Padres

Petco Park is constantly named as one of the most beautiful ballparks in baseball. It is hard to argue against its beauty, but it would have taken a Perfect Game for Kevin to care. The Yankees were trying to implode and it was killing him. Instead of savoring one last game with our Marlins he sat watching the Yankees bullpen blow lead after lead on his phone. I captured the moment with a picture, which is one of my favorites of the entire trip. 

Kevin’s love for his Yankees was no match for the Padres. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #25- Toronto Blue Jays

The simplest of things make for the best memories. The Blue Jays and Angels were playing a Doubleheader and we did not have tickets to the first game. This required a trip to the Box Office where we received the only physical tickets of the trip. I did not expect a physical ticket, but the simple ticket brought a smile to my face. 

Game #26- Los Angeles Angels

The Baseball gods smiled upon us. We were meant to see the Blue Jays play in Buffalo on July 30th. However, while driving to Game 2 in Cincinnati, the Blue Jays announced their return to Toronto on…July 30th. The border was not open to American tourists until the middle of August. There was no way to see the Blue Jays play in Toronto. A global pandemic is why we did not see all 30 stadiums on this trip. However the baseball gods did rain out a Blue Jays vs Angels game in Dunedin earlier in the season. That game was made up on the day we were in Anaheim, August 10th. The teams took turns being the home team, thus we saw all 30 MLB teams as the home team during the trip. Close enough.

Game #27- Seattle Mariners

The people in front of us showed up wearing Mariners jerseys of players who had failed PED tests. One of them failed worse than his Robinson Cano jersey. Vape Bro decided to start puffing away in his seat and the usher quickly shut him down. Vape Bro started again and received both a no nonsense tongue lashing and an official written warning on a piece of red paper. Vape Bro was not happy with this reprimand. Fast forward about two hours and Vape Bro returns to his seat complaining. He apparently dropped his $100 vape on the stairs and it fell behind a fence. He asked the same usher from earlier to retrieve it for him. The usher said no. Vape Bro was despondent as we tried to not laugh in his face. 

 

The art work is on point in Seattle. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #28- San Francisco Giants

Kevin found one sing along he enjoyed. In San Francisco during a pitching change they played Party in the USA. The entire ballpark exploded into song. It was one of the most entertaining moments of the trip. Singing, dancing, happiness all around. We looked it up later that night, wondering if this was the West Coast version of Sweet Caroline. It is not. It seems to have been a completely random dance party, which only makes it better.

Game #29- Arizona Diamondbacks

After the Diamondbacks hit the final walk off of the road trip we began our overnight drive to Texas. Arizona was having Friday night fireworks, which kept most of the other fans in their seats, allowing us to make a quick get away. Almost as soon as we pulled out of the parking deck it began raining. A rainstorm in the desert, just as we expected. However as we drove east it began raining harder and harder. It was some of the hardest rain I can remember. The downpour continued uninterrupted from Phoenix to El Paso, where we met the rising run.

Game #30- Texas Rangers

We reached the metroplex of Dallas and Fort Worth a few hours before the 30th game began. Kevin and Bernie wanted to go to the hotel to rest, I knew if I did there was a very real possibility I would pass out. So I dropped myself off at the ballpark and walked around for a while. Jesse had set it up for me to get into the ballpark early through his connections with Rangers pitcher Brett Martin. While I waited I decided to grab something to eat. I was texting back and forth with Jesse when he asked what gate I was near. I sent him a selfie from the restaurant. A few moments later I hear, “Hey buddy!”. I look up and it is Jesse, John, and Jason. They flew in to surprise us for the final game. I had absolutely no idea they were coming. I was speechless. It was awesome. I am so glad I did not go to rest at the hotel. We did not get into the ballpark early due to the Texas Rangers Hall of Fame induction ceremony, but the surprise was even better. Kevin and Bernie got their own surprise when they showed up. 

Surprise visitors joined us in Texas for the final game. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Baseball and travel create memories. It took a year to plan the 30 in 30 road trip. Was it always easy? No. Were there moments when I questioned what we were doing? Yes. Would I do it again? In a heartbeat. 

DJ