Tagged: Cubs

Predictions Sure To Go Wrong 10.0 

The 2024 MLB season has begun. Little is certain in baseball, even a few weeks into the season. While we are super late getting our predictions posted this year, we nevertheless feel strongly that even with a small sample size we will continue our tradition of being terrible at predicting the future. Despite a decade of failure we continue on. Here are our predictions for the 2024 MLB season. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
Orioles Camden CrushersYankeesOriolesBmoreOrioles
Blue Jays (5)God’s Waiting Room (5)Orioles (5)Blue Jays (5)Yankees (4)Yankees (5)
RaysFree HealthcareJaysYankees (6)Tampa Bay (5)Blue Jays (6)
YankeesAaron’s BoondoggleRaysRaysTorontoRays
Red SoxWe all went Red SoxRedSuxRed SoxRed SuxRed Sox

It will be a dreadful season at Fenway. Meanwhile in Baltimore, the future is arriving. The young, and hyped, Orioles could make a deep run if their young stars live up to expectations. The Yankees, Blue Jays, and Rays could have terrific or horrific seasons. Both are possible. The American League East is not the juggernaut it once was. 

Can the Orioles youth live you to the hype? (Mitch Stringer- USA TODAY Sports)

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsTwinsClevelandTwins
TigersTwinkies (6)ChiSox (6)GuardiansTwinkiesGuardians
GuardiansBridge StatuesTigersTigersRoyalsWhite Sox
White SoxKate’s ReplacementsGuardiansRoyalsTigersTigers
RoyalsTony the TigersRoyalsWhite SoxWhite SuxRoyals

The American League Central remains the weakest division in baseball. Top to bottom there is not a single team capable of making a deep run in October. Minnesota should walk away with the division, but are they really a good team? The only surprise could be Detroit, where the improving Tigers could make a run at relevancy…maybe. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersWalker: TexasRangersAstrosRangersRangers
Astros (4)Trashtros (4)Astros (4)Rangers (4)Astros (6)Astros (4)
Mariners (6)Seamen of the PoopdeckMarinersMarinersMarinersMariners
AngelsRendon’s RascalsAngelsAthleticsAngelsAngels
ElephantsVegasPatheticsAngelsAthleticsAthletics

The Rangers and Astros will fight it out for the division and Wild Card. The Mariners need everything to go right to play meaningful baseball in September. The Angels should be thankful for the Athletics, otherwise they would finish last. The Oakland/Sacramento/Vegas A’s are a mess. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBraves BravesBravesBraves
Phillies (5)Phollies (4)Phillies (5)Phillies (5)Philly (5)Phillies (5)
MarlinsFish (6)MarlinsMetsFishMarlins
MetsAmazinsMetsMarlinsMetsMets
NationalsGnats (will face relegation)NationalsNationalsNatsNationals

The Phillies are a very good team, but the Braves are a great team. The division once again runs through Atlanta. Philadelphia will position itself for the Wild Card. The Marlins and Mets need to have a special season if they want their fans to watch beyond the All Star Break. This is the last year of the Nationals’ Cherry Blossom jerseys. 

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesBrewersCubsReds
Cardinals (6)Red BirdsReds (6)CubsReds (6)Cardinals (6)
CubsHot Dog RaceCardinalsRedsBrewersCubs
BrewersBuccosCubsCardinalsCardinalsBrewers
PiratesWrigleyvilleBrewersPiratesPiratesPirates

The Cardinals look to bounce back from one of the worst, and surprising, seasons in franchise history. The Reds have a great young line up, but do they have the pitching? We picked the Cubs to finish literally everywhere, so your guess is as good as ours. The Brewers are on the way down. Are the Pirates finally on the way up? 

The Reds have the bats to compete. (www.bleacherreport.com)

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GullysDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers
Diamondbacks (4)Nope Ropes (5)Dodgers (4)Diamondbacks (4)Giants (4)Diamondbacks (4)
GiantsBig macsGiantsPadres (6)DBacksGiants
PadresAngre thePadresGiantsPadresPadres
RockiesCoorsRockiesRockiesRockiesRockies

The Dodgers should roll through the division, again. Arizona is hoping last season was not a fluke, but the start of sustained success. The Giants might hang around for a while before fading, but the real story is further south. Is this the year that San Diego finally plays up to their contracts or will this era of Padres baseball be loathed for their inability to compete? Just a friendly reminder, the Rockies are a Major League Baseball team. 

Postseason 

The Regular Season is chaotic, but the Postseason is unpredictable. The best team does not always win the World Series. Instead, teams look to get hot at the right moment. October is treacherous. The secret is simply, finding a way to win. The best players and teams do not always win, but will they in 2024? 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsYankeesClevelandTwins
MarinersTwinkiesChiSoxTwinsAstrosYankees
Blue JaysTrashtrosAstrosBlue JaysYankeesAstros
AstrosGod’s Walking RoomOriolesRangersTampa BayWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesPadresCubsReds
CardinalsFishRedsBrewersRedsCubs
DiamondbacksPholliesPhilliesPhilliesGiantsPhillies
PhilliesNope RopesDodgersDiamondbacksPhilliesDiamondbacks

The Wild Card is a guessing game. The Astros could dominate the season and still be in the Wild Card. The Yankees, Phillies, and Diamondbacks might be a touch below the great teams, but that separation could force them to fight through the Wild Card. Unexpected teams can find themselves looking to continue their run through the Wild Card. This is what makes the Wild Card round the most chaotic and entertaining of the Postseason. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
AstrosSouthsideRangersRangersBmoreAstros
OriolesCamden CrushersAstrosOriolesAstrosOrioles
RangersTrashtrosYankeesYankeesRangersYankees
MarinersWalker: TexasTwinsAstrosYankeesRangers

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GulleysBravesPhilliesDodgersDodgers
PhilliesNope RopesPhilliesDodgersGiantsPhillies
BravesBravosDiamondbacksPadresBravesBraves
RedsFishPiratesBravesRedsDiamondbacks

Is this the year the Astros begin to fade away or will their run of success continue? Texas attempts to win back to back World Series titles, but it is no easy task. The Orioles are on the rise, but can they play deep into October or will they have to wait until next year? The Dodgers and Braves are on a collision course yet again. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
OriolesSouthsideYankeesYankeesBmoreOrioles
RangersTrashtrosRangersOriolesYankeesRangers

Experience matters in big games. Keeping calm allows teams to play their best in high stress situations. The Rangers have been through the fight before. Veteran leadership and poise keeps the noise down. Baltimore is coming. The Orioles have a bright future ahead, but their youth can only take them so far this season. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBravesBravesBravesBraves
DodgersNope RopesDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers

If ever there was a guarantee in baseball it is that the National League runs through the Braves and Dodgers. The other 13 teams must beat one or both of these talented and dominant teams if they want to win the National League pennant. The Diamondbacks played spoiler last season, can they do it again or will a new spoiler arise? 

The Braves look to win another World Series in 2024. (Rich Schultz/ Getty Images)

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersSouthsideYankeesOriolesBravesBraves
BravesBravosBravesDodgersYankeesRangers

The Braves and Rangers have the talent and experience to make it through the chaos of the Postseason. Both teams are filled with stars and role players that contribute to their team’s success. However, there can only be one World Series champion. 

Congratulations to the Atlanta Braves for winning their fifth World Series Championship. History says the Fall Classic will not follow our predictions, but time will tell. 

Happy Baseball.

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 9.0 

What a shock! Few foresaw the Rangers defeating the Diamondbacks in the 2023 World Series. We certainly did not. Despite trying to predict the outcome of the last nine MLB seasons, we continue to know nothing. We were incredibly bad in 2023. The season was filled with great stories and terrible collapses. The Mets were the Mets and baseball was its usual unpredictable self. We may have been terrible at predicting the season, but how bad was it? 

Really bad. Our scoring system is designed to clearly show who is the best at predicting the baseball season before the first pitch is thrown. Points are scored in the following ways: a correct prediction of a team’s final divisional standings in the Regular Season is one point, two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. We were far from perfect. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)Orioles
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)Rays
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRaysBlue Jays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOriolesYankees
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed SoxRed Sox

Our predictions got off to a rough start. Jesse was the only one to have multiple correct predictions with the Rays in second and Blue Jays in third. Derek, Bernie, Kevin, Jason, and The Winning Run all knew it would be a bad season in Boston. John missed completely. Not a great start, but hope springs eternal.

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)Twins
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)Tigers
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)Guardians
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigersWhite Sox
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyalsRoyals

Again we knew who would be bad. The Royals never inspired us. Jason knew the White Sox would be only slightly better than last place. Bernie found the Guardians finishing third. He was the only one to have more than a single correct pick. John was now 0 for 2 divisions. A second straight division of bad predictions did not inspire confidence in the rest of our picks. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)Astros
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)MarinersRangers
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngelsMariners
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangersAngels
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAthleticsAthletics 

Finally we got on track. Derek for some reason decided the Astros were not going to win the division again. He was the only one. Everyone knew the poor A’s would be eliminated on Opening Day. Kevin and Jason had the end of the Ohtani era with the Angels again finishing fourth and out of October. Jesse had the Mariners falling back after a great 2022 season to third place. John had the Rangers finishing just behind the Astros. Everyone except Derek got back on track. How would we do in the National League? 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)Braves
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)Phillies
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhilliesMarlins
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlinsMets
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationalsNationals 

Maybe it was our fandom, or just logic, but the Braves were the easy choice in the National League East. The Nationals were equally easy to finish in the basement. In between was more challenging. The Mets out Mets themselves to finish fourth. Kevin got the first perfect divisional prediction. Bernie whiffed because he had too much confidence in the Nationals. 

The Mets failed on so many levels in 2023 (John Bazemore/ Associated Press)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)Brewers
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)Cubs
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubsReds
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsRedsPirates
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesCardinals

The National League Central was a mystery. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run all whiffed. Derek had the Pirates in fourth, while John and Kevin had the Cubs in second. We did not predict the disaster that was the Cardinals, as everyone had them winning the division. The Reds also surprised us with their third place finish. Brutal. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)Dodgers
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)Diamondbacks
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiantsPadres
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacksGiants
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockiesRockies

The Dodgers in first and Rockies last were easy. The Diamondbacks surprised everyone with their surge to the National League Pennant. The slide that cost Gabe Kapler his job was easy to see coming. The Padres tried and failed to contend. Kevin only mixed up the Padres and Diamondbacks. Bernie whiffed again, striking out on the entire National League. Making predictions is hard, as we proved yet again. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Kevin- 13
  2. Jesse- 10
  3. Jason- 9
  4. Derek- 8
  5. John- 8
  6. The Winning Run- 8
  7. Bernie- 5

At the end of the Regular Season only Kevin was halfway decent. It had been a long miserable Summer for everyone else. Bernie missed the Senior Circuit, but he was only three points behind Derek, John, and The Winning Run. Could things turn around for the better in October or were we doomed by our bad predictions? 

Postseason 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardiansTwins
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwinsBlue Jays
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue JaysRangers
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite SoxRays

John found his groove in the Wild Card. He had the Twins, Blue Jays, and Rangers. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run had two correct picks each in the Wild Card. Kevin’s good luck hit hard times, while Derek continued to show how little he knows about the future of baseball. This was a bad time to make bad predictions. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgersDiamondbacks
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMetsBrewers
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadresPhillies
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewersMarlins

Kevin reversed his fortunes with two correct picks. Everyone else had either the Phillies or Brewers. Bernie finally had a correct National League prediction. While it was good to have at least one correct prediction, it was not great that the majority of our picks were terrible. 

Standings after the Wild Card

  1. Kevin- 17
  2. Jesse- 16
  3. John- 16
  4. Jason- 15
  5. The Winning Run- 14
  6. Bernie- 11
  7. Derek- 10

The Wild Card round helped John and Bernie rebound from the Regular Season. Bernie was out of the basement. Derek was terrible as he took Bernie’s place. Kevin saw his lead shrink. The Wild Card created chaos, as predicted. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue JaysTwins
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankeesRangers
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardiansOrioles

The Astros were the easy pick, even Derek had Houston playing in the Divisional Series. Jesse also had the Twins, giving him points over everyone else. Otherwise our predictions were living in a fantasy land. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinalsDiamondbacks
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadresDodgers
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBravesPhillies
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgersBraves

The Braves and Dodgers were easy picks. The National League ran through them. Only Bernie missed Los Angeles. Jesse with the Phillies and Kevin with the Diamondbacks had a third team in the Divisional Series. Jesse was making moves while the rest of us languished. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Jesse- 36
  2. Kevin- 33
  3. John- 28
  4. Jason- 27
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Jesse launched past Kevin. Derek and Bernie were duking it out for last place. None of us were doing well. Our predictions were trash. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankeesRangers
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstrosAstros

The Astros kept marching towards the World Series. Jesse, John, Jason, and The Winning Run knew this. Derek, Bernie, and Kevin did not get the memo. Derek and Bernie continued fighting in the cellar. Kevin’s whiff hurt his title chances. Besides Houston, we had no clue on the American League. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBravesDiamondbacks
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadresPhillies

We were terrible at the American League. We were clueless about the Senior Circuit. The Mets and Padres Regular Season failures haunted us. Both the Braves and Dodgers failed to live up to October expectations. What were we thinking? 

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Kevin plummeted down the rankings. Derek and Bernie readied for a futility throw down. Jesse’s lead looked hard to beat, but the Fall Classic awaited us. Kevin, Jason, and John were within striking distance if Jesse faltered. 

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBravesRangers
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstrosDiamondbacks

We suck. None of us predicted either World Series team. A big swing and miss. There would be no last second change in the standings. Try as we might, we know nothing about the future of baseball. 

Final Standings

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Congratulations Jesse, you are the best among us at predicting the 2023 MLB season. We were all terrible, but you were slightly less terrible. Maybe in 2024 we will be better…doubtful. 

DJ

Rookie of the Year

Teams are successful when they develop talent, not simply purchase free agents. The George Steinbrenner Yankees were often accused of buying championships, but they did develop talent. Success is turning draft picks and international signings into Major League players. The Rookie of the Year Award recognizes the best first year player in each league. Created in 1947, there was a single Award for the first two seasons, but since 1949 each league has a winner. While it is an individual award, the Rookie of the Year Award should also be viewed as an organizational award. If a franchise is consistently producing quality Major League caliber players they will eventually have one worthy of the award. The Diamondbacks are the last of the 30 Major League teams to have a Rookie of the Year. It took 25 years for Arizona to achieve. While it may have taken longer than expected for a player like Corbin Carroll to arrive, Arizona has finally completed the task. 

The inaugural Rookie of the Year Award was presented to Jackie Robinson after the most difficult rookie season in Major League history. Al Dark of the Boston Braves won in 1948. In 1949, Roy Sievers of the St. Louis Browns won the first American League Rookie of the Year Award. In more than 75 years since its creation, the Dodgers reigned supreme at producing elite rookies. The Dodgers have won a record 18 times, four in Brooklyn and 14 in Los Angeles. The Yankees are second with nine. 

The expectation was the Expansion teams would be among the last to have a Rookie of the Year. When expansion’s first wave came in 1961, only the Cubs and Pirates had yet to win the Rookie of the Year. However, the Cubs won their first Rookie of the Year in 1961 with the future Hall of Famer Billy Williams. This left Pittsburgh as the last non-expansion team without the award. Surely the Pirates could produce an elite rookie at some point. Instead, 12 of the 14 Expansion teams developed a Rookie of the Year before Pittsburgh. Finally, in 2004 Jason Bay put together a rookie campaign deemed worthy, giving the Pirates their first Rookie of the Year. Only the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks had yet to win the award in 2004. Both franchises began play in 1998. The Pirates lack of success is just another disappointment in an ever growing list. 

Corbin Carroll is the Diamondbacks first Rookie of the Year. Arizona was the last remaining team without a Rookie of the Year winner. (Rob Leiter/ MLB Photos)

Simply winning the Rookie of the Year Award does not guarantee success beyond that first season in the Majors. Every player has the best season of their career, and for some it is that first season. There are others, who build upon their initial success. They finish their careers among the greatest ever. There are 19 players who won the Rookie of the Year Award and then had a Hall of Fame career

  1. Jackie Robinson- Brooklyn Dodgers, 1947
  2. Willie Mays- New York Giants, 1951
  3. Frank Robinson- Cincinnati Reds, 1956
  4. Luis Aparicio- Chicago White Sox, 1956
  5. Orlando Cepeda- San Francisco Giants, 1958
  6. Willie McCovey- San Francisco Giants, 1959
  7. Billy Williams- Chicago Cubs, 1961
  8. Tony Oliva- Minnesota Twins, 1964
  9. Tom Seaver- New York Mets, 1967
  10. Rod Carew- Minnesota Twins, 1967
  11. Johnny Bench- Cincinnati Reds, 1968
  12. Carlton Fisk- Boston Red Sox, 1972
  13. Andre Dawson- Montreal Expos, 1977
  14. Eddie Murray- Baltimore Orioles, 1977
  15. Cal Ripken Jr.- Baltimore Orioles, 1982
  16. Jeff Bagwell- Houston Astros, 1991
  17. Mike Piazza- Los Angeles Dodgers, 1993
  18. Derek Jeter- New York Yankees, 1996
  19. Scott Rolen- Philadelphia Phillies, 1997

In addition to these 19 Hall of Famers, there are five more players who will join them in Cooperstown when they are eligible. There will certainly be more, but these five are all but guaranteed to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame.  

  1. Albert Pujols- St. Louis Cardinals, 2001
  2. Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle Mariners, 2001
  3. Justin Verlander- Detroit Tigers, 2006
  4. Bryce Harper- Washington Nationals, 2012
  5. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels, 2012

The Rookie of the Year Award celebrates the best new talent in the Majors each season. The players selected each season are not guaranteed a long and successful career, nor are they doomed to mediocrity. One great season does not define a player, but it can gain them recognition. Teams are tasked with developing the players and their success is reflected in winning the Rookie of the Year Award. It is nearly impossible to win multiple seasons in a row, but a team should consistently produce good, young players. Occasionally one should win the award. The Dodgers have figured out how to do just that, and the Pirates have not. All 30 MLB teams have now had a Rookie of the Year winner. Who adds to their list next season?  

DJ

Managerial Merry Go Round

Every offseason is filled with the managerial merry go round. Teams look for new leadership in the dugout for one reason or another. This offseason is especially busy as eight teams will have someone new filling out the lineup card on Opening Day in 2024. Over a quarter of teams in MLB changed leadership is obviously a lot. 

In the past, managers have been given more time to show what they can do. When they were not successful, they were relieved of their duties after proving they were not right for the job. Ownership is no longer willing to wait, baseball is transitioning to a what have you done for me lately philosophy. Teams who want to win are not content with long rebuilds. The time to win is now. It is not better or worse to have a short leash with managers, it is just different. It is better to move on quickly when it becomes clear the wrong person was hired, but it also does not allow managers to reap the benefits of a rebuild. It is a mixed bag, but steady leadership is never a bad thing. 

Two of the managerial openings were not shocking. The retirements of Dusty Baker and Terry Francona. Baker has dedicated his life to baseball. The grind takes a toll on people and he felt it was time to step off the diamond. Francona has had health issues the last few years. If you do not have your health, nothing else matters. The Astros search took them to their Bench Coach Joe Espada. The Guardians hired Stephen Vogt, who retired from playing in 2022 and spent last season as the Mariners Bullpen Coach. Houston and Cleveland look to continue their success moving forward, and their need for new managers was due to life happening, not the scoreboard. 

Craig Counsell’s sudden departure from Milwaukee caught everyone by surprise. (Stacy Revere/ Getty Images)

The Mets looked unstoppable on paper in Spring Training. Then the season started and it all went wrong. The Mets finished in fourth place, six games under .500, and 29 Games Behind the Braves. Buck Showalter was fired and replaced by Yankees Bench Coach Carlos Mendoza. Can he bring winning back to Queens? Another marque team looking to return to their winning ways got their new manager in a surprising twist. Long time Brewers Manager Craig Counsell was suddenly hired by the division rival Cubs. The move came with the largest annual salary for a manager, $8 million per season. The move meant David Ross was suddenly unemployed and Milwaukee was scrambling to replace Counsell. The Brewers named their Bench Coach Pat Murphy, who coached Counsell in college, as their new manager. 

In a similar move, Padres Manager Bob Melvin left San Diego for the division rival Giants. The relationship between Melvin and Padres General Manager A.J. Preller was bad. After a disappointing season for the Padres, with high payroll and even higher expectations, like the Mets, Melvin knew it was time for a change. The escape up the coast to the Bay Area was made possible by the firing of Gabe Kapler after only one trip to the Postseason in his four seasons managing in San Francisco. The Padres turned to Mike Schildt to guide San Diego to October. The managerial opening for the Angels is the most critical for baseball. This is not a dig at Phil Nevin, for whom the Angels declined their 2024 option, but the organization as a whole has failed. Los Angeles continues to waste prime seasons for Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, if he returns. The best players in baseball should be showcased in October, instead Trout is in Philadelphia watching the Eagles and Ohtani is doing commercials for one of his endorsements. Hopefully the hiring of Ron Washington rights the Angels ship. Washington was terrific in Texas, guiding the team to two American League pennants. He is beloved in Atlanta. A baseball man through and through, Washington’s success in Los Angeles can only mean good things for baseball. 

If Ron Washington can turn the Angels into a winner, all of baseball will benefit. (Jae C. Hong/ AP)

Teams want to win and win now. Call it dysfunction, bad hiring, or an unwillingness to be patient, but teams are not wasting seasons wondering if they hired the right manager. Baseball is a business and part of that business is putting a winning team on the field. This high turnover is a sign teams are trying to win, even if the turmoil extends into the front office. Looking at you White Sox and Marlins. Sustained dysfunction is a killer for any franchise. Even when everything and everyone works together, creating a winning baseball team is extremely difficult. 

The 2023 season had some spectacularly disappointing teams. Perhaps some of the most disappointing of all time. Many of those teams are making changes this Winter. Time will tell if these changes create winners, or if the manager is the first of many changes. Around and around we go. 

DJ

United States of Baseball- Texas

Don’t mess with Texas on the diamond. The Lone Star State has produced 1,143 Major League players. The greatest pitcher born in Texas is Greg Maddux. His 106.56 career WAR is the 6th highest for a state or territory pitching leader. The greatest position player from the Lone Star State is Tris Speaker. His 134.20 career WAR is the 5th highest for a state or territory leader. Texas has a combined 240.76 WAR, ranking the Lone Star State 4th among all states and territories in the United States of Baseball. 

Power pitchers like Nolan Ryan strike fear in the hearts of batters. Every at bat could end with a baseball fired through their bodies. This fear is obvious. The fear of Greg Maddux was less so. He did not look like an elite athlete, yet throughout his career opposing batters knew they had little chance against him. Greg Maddux was born in San Angelo, Texas but moved around because his father served in the military. The Chicago Cubs selected Maddux in the 2nd round of the 1984 MLB Draft. He chose to sign instead of attending the University of Arizona. Maddux played 23 seasons with four teams: Chicago Cubs (1986-1992, 2004-2006), Atlanta Braves (1993-2003), Los Angeles Dodgers (2006, 2008), and San Diego Padres (2007-2008). He pitched in 744 career Games, made 740 Starts, Finished 3 Games, threw 109 Complete Games, including 35 Shutouts, Pitched 5,008.1 Innings, allowed 4,726 Hits, 1,981 Runs, 1,756 Earned Runs, 353 Home Runs, 999 Walks, 3,371 Strikeouts, posted a 355-227 record, with a 3.16 ERA, 1.143 WHIP, and 132 ERA+. Maddux was the first pitcher to ever win the Cy Young Award four consecutive seasons, 1992 to 1995. He was an eight time All Star. Maddux won 18 Gold Gloves, the most by any player, in 19 seasons from 1990 to 2002 and 2004 to 2008. The 2003 National League Gold Glove went to Braves teammate Mike Hampton. Maddux won 15 games every season between 1988 and 2004. This consistency helped him collect 355 Wins, which are the eight most ever and the second most by a pitcher since 1930, trailing Hall of Famer and Braves legend Warren Spahn. Maddux made the fourth most starts all time, has the eighth highest WAR for a pitcher, and is 10th in strikeouts. He is one of only 10 players to have their number retired by multiple teams, as the Braves and Cubs both retired his #31. Maddux was elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame in 2014 with 97.2% of the vote in his first year of eligibility. There was never a doubt about his enshrinement in Cooperstown. 

Greg Maddux was always thinking ahead. (Doug Pensinger)

How do you select the best season of a player’s career when they had so many? Maddux’s best individual season, among many, came with the 1995 Braves. He pitched in 28 Games, made 28 Starts, threw 10 Complete Games, including 3 Shutouts, Pitched 209.2 Innings, allowed 147 Hits, 39 Runs, 38 Earned Runs, 8 Home Runs, 23 Walks, 181 Strikeouts, posted a 19-2 record, with a 1.63 ERA, 0.811 WHIP, and 260 ERA+. He led the National League in Wins, Win %, ERA, Complete Games, Shutouts, Innings Pitched, WHIP, and ERA+. Maddux won his 6th consecutive Gold Glove, was an All Star, finished third for the MVP, and won his fourth consecutive Cy Young Award. This was not a one season wonder. Maddux’s 1994 season was equally ridiculous, despite being cut short by the Player’s Strike. In 1994, Maddux pitched in 25 Games, made 25 Starts, threw 10 Complete Games, including 3 Shutouts, Pitched 202 Innings, allowed 150 Hits, 44 Runs, 35 Earned Runs, 4 Home Runs, 31 Walks, 156 Strikeouts, posted a 16-6 record, with a 1.56 ERA, 0.896 WHIP, and 271 ERA+. He led the National League in Wins, ERA, Complete Games, Shutouts, Innings Pitched, WHIP, and ERA+. He won the Gold Glove, was an All Star, finished fifth for the MVP, and won the Cy Young Award. Both shortened seasons were masterpieces. His combined numbers for 1994 and 1995 were 53 Games Pitched, 53 Starts, 20 Complete Games, including 6 Shutouts, 411.2 Innings Pitched, 297 Hits allowed, 83 Runs, 73 Earned Runs, 12 Home Runs, 54 Walks, 337 Strikeouts, posted a 35-8 record, with a 1.60 ERA, 0.853 WHIP, and 265 ERA+. This two season stretch is among the greatest runs in baseball history. Maddux did not have a blazing fastball to overpower hitters, rather he conquered them with his mind. 

Maddux’s dominance in the Regular Season did not always carry over into the Postseason, although he had plenty of October highlights. He played in 23 Postseason Series, including three World Series with the Braves. Maddux won his World Series ring with the 1995 Braves. He pitched in 35 Postseason Games, made 30 Starts, Finished 2 Games, threw 2 Complete Games, had 1 Save, Pitched 198 Innings, allowed 195 Hits, 97 Runs, 72 Earned Runs, 14 Home Runs, 51 Walks, 125 Strikeouts, posted a 11-14 record, 3.27 ERA, and 1.242 WHIP. Maddux was more than respectable in October, but baseball can be fickle. 

Sometimes change creates success. Tris Speaker was a better baseball player than horseman. He twice broke his right arm after being thrown from a bronco. The natural righty then taught himself to hit and throw as a lefty. This led him to Cooperstown. The Hubbard, Texas native patrolled Centerfield for 22 seasons with four teams: Boston Americans/ Red Sox (1907-1915), Cleveland Indians (1916-1926), Washington Senators (1927), and Philadelphia Athletics (1928). Speaker played in 2,789 career Games, scored 1,882 Runs, collected 3,514 Hits, including 792 Doubles, 222 Triples, 117 Home Runs, 1,531 RBI, 436 Stolen Bases, drew 1,381 Walks, 393 Strikeouts, posted a .345 BA, .428 OBP, .500 SLG, .928 OPS, and 158 OPS+. He was the 1912 American League MVP with Boston. He was traded to Cleveland after the 1915 season due to issues with teammates and refusing to take a pay cut from $18,000 to $9,000. The Red Sox felt the troubles with Speaker were not worth his talent. He responded by winning the 1916 American League Batting Title. Speaker remains the career leader in Doubles, having led the Junior Circuit nine times in Doubles, is fifth all time in Hits, sixth in Triples and BA, and ninth in WAR. Defensively, Speaker led the American League in Double Plays six times and Putouts seven times. He owns the American League record for most Outfield Assists in a season with 35, twice. Speaker served as Cleveland’s Player-Manager from 1919 to 1926. His teams posted a 617-529 record, .543 Win%. Less than a decade after retiring, Speaker was elected to the Hall of Fame in 1937, the second class, with 82.1% of the vote. After his Hall of Fame career, Speaker stayed close to baseball, serving as an announcer, manager, coach, and scout. He was instrumental in helping Larry Doby transition from Second Base to Centerfield. 

Tris Speaker was a hitting machine. (National Baseball Hall of Fame)

The best season of Speaker’s Hall of Fame career came with the 1912 Red Sox. He played in 153 Games, scored 136 Runs, collected 222 Hits, 53 Doubles, 12 Triples, 10 Home Runs, 90 RBI, 52 Stolen Bases, 82 Walks, 36 Strikeouts, with a .383 BA, .464 OBP, .567 SLG, 1.031 OPS, and 190 OPS+. He led the American League in Doubles, Home Runs, and OBP. Speaker set career bests in Hits, Stolen Bases, and OPS+. His terrorizing opposing pitchers included three different 20 game hitting streaks. He was unstoppable with the bat. 

Speaker played in three World Series. He was instrumental with the Red Sox winning the Fall Classic in 1912 and 1915, and Cleveland in 1920. Speaker played in 20 World Series games, scored 12 Runs, collected 22 Hits, including 3 Doubles, 4 Triples, 3 RBI, 1 Stolen Base, 11 Walks, 4 Strikeouts, while posting a .306 BA, .398 OBP, .458 SLG, and .856 OPS. He always played a leading role in success.

The success of Texas in the Majors is evident in Cooperstown. There are 17 Hall of Famers who were born in Texas: Ernie Banks, Andy Cooper, Bill Foster, Rube Foster (Executive), Rogers Hornsby, Biz Mackey, Greg Maddux, Eddie Mathews, Joe Morgan, Frank Robinson, Nolan Ryan, Louis Santop, Hilton Smith, Tris Speaker, Willie Wells, Joe Williams, and Ross Youngs. There are surely more to come. Leaving Texas, the United States of Baseball leads to the warmth of the Caribbean. The U.S. Virgin Islands are next. 

DJ

Missing #2- Johnny Kling

These are the saddest of possible words:

“Tinker to Evers to Chance.”

Trio of bear cubs, and fleeter than birds,

Tinker and Evers and Chance.

Ruthlessly pricking our gonfalon bubble,

Making a Giant hit into a double—

Words that are heavy with nothing but trouble:

“Tinker to Evers to Chance.”

-Baseball’s Sad Lexicon

The dynasty on the Northside of Chicago in the early 1900’s is recounted in Franklin Pierce Adams’ poem immortalizing Joe Tinker, Johnny Evers, and Frank Chance. Defense was king during the Dead Ball Era. Turning a Double Play and having a solid defensive catcher were critical to a team’s success. The Cubs had both and played in four World Series between 1906 and 1910, winning twice in 1907 and 1908. So why has one of the main cogs in the Cubs dynasty never reached Cooperstown? 

Johnny Kling was different. He was a clean living man, who viewed baseball as his job, not his entire life. He won the 1907 World Pocket Billiards Championship. Kling also built a successful real estate business away from the diamond and owned the Kansas City Blues of the American Association from 1933-1937. He focused on the financial side of baseball, concerned only with the color green. He desegregated the ballpark, which was also home to the Kansas City Monarchs, to increase ticket sales for both teams. Kling eventually sold the Blues to Yankees owner, Colonel Jacob Ruppert

On the diamond, Kling excelled despite his small size. He played 13 seasons with three teams: Chicago Orphans/ Cubs (1900-1908, 1910-1911), Boston Rustlers/ Braves (1911-1912), and Cincinnati Reds (1913). Kling played in 1,261 career Games, scored 475 Runs, collected 1,154 Hits, including 181 Doubles, 61 Triples, 20 Home Runs, 514 RBI, with 124 Stolen Bases, 281 Walks, 327 Strikeouts, posting a .272 BA, .319 OBP, .357 SLG, .676 OPS, 100 OPS+, and 29.1 WAR. In August 1902 Kling set the MLB record for consecutive Hits with 12, a record tied a half a century later by Walt Dropo. He did the impossible in the 1907 World Series when he held Ty Cobb without a Stolen Base

Johnny Kling was a key member of the Cubs dynasty. (Getty Images)

Defensively, Kling played in 1,169 career Games, made 1,124 Starts, played 1,063 Complete Games, caught 10,096 Innings, had 7,238 Chances, made 5,474 Putouts, with 1,554 Assists, 210 Errors, turned 127 Double Plays, posted a .971 FLD%, 6.27 RF/9, 6.01 RF/G, 48% Caught Stealing %, and 13.7 dWAR. Between 1902 and 1908, he led the National League in Putouts six times, Fielding Percentage twice, and Assists and Double Plays once. Kling produced a solid Major League career with his bat and glove, but was it worthy of Cooperstown? 

When determining if a player is worthy of the Hall of Fame, it is best to compare them against those who played their position that are already inducted into Cooperstown. Kling’s comparison is against his fellow catchers, specifically those who played in his era. The modern game has changed dramatically. The offensive explosion since the end of the Dead Ball Era makes comparing numbers across eras unfair. The three Dead Ball Era catchers in the Hall of Fame are Buck Ewing, Roger Bresnahan, and Ray Schalk. They averaged 18 seasons, 1,508 Games played, 797 Runs scored, 1,407 Hits, 222 Doubles, 99 Triples, 36 Home Runs, 669 RBI, 248 Stolen Bases, 581 Walks, 352 Strikeouts, .278 BA, .359 OBP, .383 SLG, .742 OPS, and 113 OPS+. The two categories Kling fared better in than these Hall of Famers are Strikeouts, 25 fewer, and dWAR, 2.2 more. Every other category he was noticeably behind Ewing, Bresnahan, and Schalk. He played 5 fewer seasons, 247 fewer Games, 322 fewer Runs scored, 253 fewer Hits, 41 fewer Doubles, 38 fewer Triples, 16 fewer Home Runs, 155 fewer RBI, 124 fewer Stolen Bases, 300 fewer Walks, .006 lower BA, .040 lower OBP, .026 lower SLG, .066 lower OPS, 13 less OPS+, and 12.0 less WAR. Kling’s statistics are those of the Hall of Good, not the Hall of Fame.

Kling received 8 votes on the 1936 Hall of Fame ballot, 3.5%. He had the 28th highest vote total on the inaugural ballot and the second highest to never be enshrined. He spent 8 years on the Hall of Fame ballot, peaking with 10% in 1937.  

Johnny Kling built a solid career, but was it Hall of Fame worthy? No. He was a key contributor to a Cubs dynasty, but dynasties are not solely built on Hall of Famers. The Hall of Fame voters were right to exclude Kling from Cooperstown, but his contributions to the game should never be forgotten. 

DJ

The Final Chapter

October baseball gets all of the attention, but September is just as exciting. Teams are playing for their chance in October. Some fan bases have waited a decade to root for their team in the Fall. Others expect to play as the weather turns chilly every season. The Reds could shock their own fan base and make it back to the Postseason. The Mariners too have caught fire and appear heading for October. The Braves and Dodgers are running away with their divisions and appear on a collision course in the NLCS. The Brewers and Cubs are doing their best to claim their National League Central crown. The Orioles and Rays are fighting it out in the American League East while the Yankees sink further into the depths. The American League East and West are fighting among themselves to determine which division will have three teams reach the Postseason. The Blue Jays and Red Sox are not going away, neither are the Rangers and Astros. 

It has been a season to forget in the Bronx and Queens, but could New York play Postseason spoiler? (Sarah Stier/ Getty Images)

The races for the divisions and the Wild Card are far from over. Even teams who are out of it can play spoiler. Could the last place Yankees sink the Postseason hopes of the hated Red Sox? Could the Athletics prevent the Astros from returning to October? Anything is possible. Even the best teams in baseball lose 40 games every season. There is still another month of baseball and the craziness of this season is not over yet. Some teams took a gamble at the trade deadline and it is time to see if it will pay off. The more teams fighting for October the better. More fans stay engaged with the game as the Regular Season winds down. 

October baseball is great, but September baseball is just as exciting. The Postseason begins a month early for several teams. The pressure will continually grow as the days get shorter and the scorching heat finally breaks. The best is yet to come.  

DJ

Predictions Sure to Go Wrong 9.0

It is once again time for our feeble attempt at predicting the future. What will happen during the 2023 MLB season? No one knows for sure, but we offer our best guesses. If history is any guide our predictions will be horribly wrong. Wrong during the Regular Season and wrong during the Postseason. One thing we are certain of is our friend Jason is giving his predictions for the first time. Time will tell if he is any better at predicting the future than the rest of us. We like to think we have a basic understanding of baseball and the Major Leagues, but ultimately we are human and humans are biased thus we make mistakes. Our track record is poor, so trust our predictions at your own risk. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOrioles
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed Sox

The American League East could be a four team race. The Blue Jays and Yankees are the division favorites, but it is hard to sleep on the Rays. Tampa Bay always seems to be better than they appear. The Orioles have built a solid young team that is ready to compete with the rest of the division. Baltimore might need another year of seasoning before they threaten the Postseason, but they will begin seeing the results of their rebuild. The Red Sox will have a long Summer. Adding players like Justin Turner, do not win divisions. Boston may hang around for a while, but tickets should be cheap at Fenway by August. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigers
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyals

Could the American League Central finally not be the worst division in baseball. None of the teams are in the World Series conversation, but several have real hopes for October. The White Sox improved by getting a new manager. Byron Buxton’s health is key in Minnesota after the Twins got Carlos Correa back after his well traveled off season. The Guardians have built a solid team around Jose Ramirez. The Tigers are trending in the right direction, but their season is focused on sending Miguel Cabrera into retirement. The Royals…well they get to play baseball too. 

Carlos Correa came back to Minnesota after an offseason of traveling the baseball world. (David Berding/ Getty Images)

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)Mariners
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngels
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangers
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAtheltics

Will the Astros finally stop winning? Doubtful. They lost Justin Verlander, but added Jose Abreu. The Mariners are back and still a great team, they should challenge Houston. Surely the Angels will put together a winning season that makes Shohei Ohtani pause before leaving in free agency. What a waste if the Angels are terrible again with Mike Trout and Ohtani healthy. The Rangers added Jacob deGrom. They have the big name pieces, now they just need to come together. What a sad way for the Athletics to spend their final season in Oakland. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhillies
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationals

The Braves have built another dynasty. The division is theirs for the taking despite the Mets spending more money on free agents than all the gold at Fort Knox. The Mets will be great, but will they be Amazin? The Phillies caught fire at the right time last season to make an unexpected run to the World Series, they are unlikely to catch lightning in a bottle twice. The Marlins are improving, but like their other good young cores, how long will these players stay in Miami? Marlins fans are waiting for the trades to begin. The Nationals fell hard after their World Series victory and have yet to show signs of life. Washington is in for a long rebuild. 

The New York Mets paid a king’s ransom in the hope of building a World Series winning team. (Jason Vinlove/ Getty Images)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubs
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsReds
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

The Nationals League Central is a two team race. The Cardinals never slump and even with Yadier Molina retiring they got better. The Brewers continue to play some of the best baseball in the Majors, but can they overcome St. Louis and win the division? A lot has to go right for Milwaukee to avoid the Wild Card. The Cubs have a lot of good pieces, but they are not contenders. Maybe they play .500 baseball but they need more pieces before they dream of October again. The Reds and Pirates are rebuilding. They have a few young players already in the Majors and a ton of prospects in the Minors. The team that does the best job developing that talent will be the first to return to relevance.  

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiants
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacks
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockies

The Padres try and try, but they have been unable to knock off the Dodgers. This season is no different. The Padres will be very good, but the Dodgers will be great. The Giants are trying to contend again, but they missed in free agency and the mountain is just too high to climb. The Diamondbacks have a solid core around which they should become a contender in a few seasons. Arizona needs Corbin Carroll to play up to his contract. The Rockies are a mess. Technically they are rebuilding, but what have they done to get better?

Postseason

Just get into the Postseason. If you can make it to October anything can happen. The Phillies last season are a great example. They nearly turned a disastrous season into a championship winning one. The Postseason is even more unpredictable than the Regular Season. 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardians
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwins
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue Jays
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgers
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMets
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadres
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewers

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue Jays
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankees
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardians

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinals
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadres
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBraves
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgers

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankees
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstros

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBraves
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadres

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBraves
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstros
Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves are on a path to the World Series. (Michael Reaves/ Getty Images)

Congratulations to the World Series Champion Atlanta Braves!

Time will tell if we are correct. There is plenty that can go right and wrong for a team between now and October. No matter what happens, baseball fans are in for another great season. Happy Baseball!

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, KB, & JL

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 8.0

Surprising no one, we were wrong. We were wrong last year and the year before that and the year before that. It is almost certain we will be wrong this year and next year. Trying to be positive, we are consistent. The 2022 season was unpredictable, as we will demonstrate below. 

Looking back at our predictions before the 2022 season, if you made it to the Postseason, you had a chance. You can run up the score in October. The Regular Season is one point for a correct prediction of each team’s final divisional standing. The scoring system changes in the Postseason: two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. 

A scoring system is necessary to determine who made the best predictions. No one was close to perfection, we were the opposite of perfect. So let’s look back at what did not happen in the 2022 season.  

American League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysPoutine Commandos *YankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesRaysBlue Jays
YankeesEvil EmpireSoxYankeesRed SoxYankeesRays
Red SoxThe Team With the Truest FansRaysRed SuxBlue JaysRed SoxOrioles
OriolesBean Town BrosOriolesOriolesOriolesOriolesRed Sox

Derek, Kevin, Bernie, and the Winning Run all swung and missed on the American League East. Not a great start. No one guessed the Rays would finish in the middle of the pack. The most competitive division in baseball was unpredictable. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
White SoxDaniel TigersSoxWhite SoxWhite SoxWhite SoxGuardians
TigersSpidersTwinsTigersTigersTigersWhite Sox
TwinsSouth SideTigersTwinsTwinsTwinsTwins
RoyalsMonarchsOf The GalaxyGuardiansGuardiansGuardiansTigers
GuardiansTwinkiesRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyals

Jesse whiffed on the American League Central. The Twins and the Royals were easy choices for the rest of us. We thought the White Sox would roll and the Guardians would flounder. Wrong. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
MarinersTrouts *AstrosAstrosAngelsAstrosAstros
AstrosTrashtrosHalosAngelsMarinersAngelsMariners
AngelsElephantsRangersMarinesAstrosMarinersAngels
RangersCaptain AhabsKrakenRangersRangersRangersRangers
AthleticsDangersLas VegasAthleticsAthleticsA’sAthletics

Jesse missed on back to back divisions. Derek knew what the bottom of the American League West would look like. Houston and Oakland were easy picks. Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani deserve better. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BravesBravos *ReigningPhilliesBravesBravesBraves
PhilliesAmazinsPhilliesBravesMetsPhilliesMets
MetsFishMetsMarlinsPhilliesMetsPhillies
MarlinsPholliesMarlinsMetsMarlinsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationals

Bernie had the first perfect division. Everyone but Kevin was on their game for the National League East. The Nationals had a clean sweep for the basement and we knew the Mets were never destined for first place.

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BrewersLittle Red MachineMillerBrewersCardinalsBrewersCardinals
CardinalsEt Tu Brew Crew?CardsCardinalsBrewersCardinalsBrewers
RedsBuccosReds?RedsCubsRedsCubs
CubsHarry Caray’sCubsCubsRedsCubsReds
PiratesThe only one I know is VottoRoster spotPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

Is there a sadder division in baseball than the National League Central. Three teams are actively rebuilding. It was a two team race from Opening Day. Despite the lack of quality baseball Bernie had another perfect prediction. Derek, John, Kevin, and The Winning Run only predicted last place. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
DodgersMcDoubles *DodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgers
GiantsBiggunsPadresGiantsPadresPadresPadres
PadresL7 WeeniesGiantsPadresGiantsGiantsGiants
RockiesJohn DenversDiamondsRockiesRockiesRockiesDiamondbacks
DiamondbacksWhy bother showing upSadnessDiamondbacksDiamondbacksDiamondbacksRockies

Bernie mixed up the Rockies and the Diamondbacks, otherwise he would have had a perfect National League. John rebounded for his own perfect division. Jesse hit nothing but air. The Dodgers were the easy top pick, then it was a lot of disappointment. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Bernie- 18
  2. John- 14
  3. The Winning Run- 12
  4. Derek- 9
  5. Kevin- 8
  6. Jesse- 7

After the Regular Season, Bernie held a solid four point lead over John. Jesse prayed to Saint Ruth for October to be kinder to him than the Regular Season. It was still anybody’s race.

The Phillies came out of nowhere to reach October. (Tim Nwachukwu/ Getty Images)

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
AL Wild Card 1YankeesDaniel TigersChisoxWhite SoxWhite SoxRaysMariners
Blue JaysTrashtrosBoSoxTigersTigersAngelsBlue Jays
AL Wild Card 2RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesTigersGuardians
AstrosEvil EmpireTwinsYankeesMarinersAstrosRays

Only Derek foresaw the American League Wild Card with the Rays and Blue Jays. However, everyone got points to begin the Postseason. The Yankees were high on our predictions and they were a disappointment. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NL Wild Card 1BravesLittle Red MachineCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesPhillies
CardinalsEt Tu Brew CrewPadresPadresGiantsPadresCardinals
NL Wild Card 2PhilliesBiggunsBrewersGiantsMetsCardinalsPadres
GiantsL7 WeeniesPhilliesBravesPadresPhilliesMets

John, Bernie, and the Winning Run were nearly perfect in the National League Wild Card. The Padres and Giants were quite popular, but with very different outcomes. 

Standing after the Wild Card

  1. Bernie- 26
  2. John- 22
  3. The Winning Run- 20
  4. Derek- 17
  5. Kevin- 12
  6. Jesse- 11

Bernie maintained his four point lead over John. Derek crept closer to The Winning Run. Jesse and Kevin were off to a slow start. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALDS 1Blue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
MarinersTrashtrosJaysRaysTigersRaysGuardians
ALDS 2RaysTroutsAstrosWhite SoxAngelsWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamChisoxAstrosYankeesAstrosMariners

Only John predicted more than one team correctly in the American League Divisional Series. The Yankees and Astros were popular, although New York did better than our predictions by not using the Wild Card to reach the ALDS. The White Sox disappointing season was on display in our predictions. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLDS 1BrewersBravosDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
BravesBiggunsBrewersGiantsPadresCardinalsBraves
NLDS 2DodgersMcDoublesBravesPhilliesBravesBrewersPadres
GiantsEt Tu Brew CrewCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesDodgers

Everyone had at least two correct predictions, as Bernie’s tear through the National League continued with three correct predictions. The Braves and Dodgers did not disappoint in the National League Divisional Series. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Bernie- 42
  2. John- 38
  3. The Winning Run- 32
  4. Derek- 29
  5. Kevin- 24
  6. Jesse- 23

Bernie’s four point lead continued to hold. Derek and The Winning Run were fighting for third place. Meanwhile Jesse and Kevin were battling for last place. Two rounds left, but plenty of points were still available. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALCSBlue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesRaysRaysWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamAstrosWhite SoxAngelsRaysYankees

John was perfect in the American League Championship Series with the Yankees and Astros. Everyone else completely missed. Bernie kissed his four point lead goodbye. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLCSBrewersBravosBravesDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
GiantsMcDoublesDodgersPhilliesCardinalsBravesPadres

Jesse and Kevin came to life with one correct prediction in the National League Championship Series. John could not repeat his magic. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run struck out.

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Bernie’s four point lead was now a 12 point deficit. Kevin and The Winning Run were tied for third with Jesse just one point behind. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run were all done after missing on both Championship Series. It was not good for these three. 

We did not think the Astros would make the World Series, much less win it. (Jerome Miron- USA TODAY Sports)

World Series

World SeriesDerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysBravosYankeesDodgersDodgersWhite SoxAstros
BrewersSteve Irwin Hates This TeamBravesRaysAngelsDodgersPhillies
Blue JaysBravosYankees in 7Dodgers in 6AngelsWhite SoxAstros

None of us saw the Astros or Phillies in the World Series coming. We had 12 chances to get one team right and whiffed all 12 times. At least the majority of our World Series teams made the Postseason. We are bad at predicting baseball, but 2022 was especially horrific. 

Standings after the World Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Congratulations John. You were the best predictor of us all, at least for the 2022 season. 

The man at the top our of predictions this year loves his Yankees even in the Texas heat. (The Winning Run/DJ)

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

United States of Baseball- South Carolina

The relaxed pace of life in South Carolina mirrors baseball’s leisurely pace. The Palmetto State has sent 241 players to the Major Leagues. South Carolina is a hub for Minor League Baseball with five professional teams spread across the state. The greatest pitcher born in South Carolina is Bobo Newsom. His 51.25 career WAR is the 28th highest for a state or territory pitching leader. The greatest position player from the Palmetto State is Willie Randolph. His 65.90 is the 30th highest for a state or territory position player leader. Combined, South Carolina has 117.15 WAR, the 31st highest in the United States of Baseball. 

Bobo Newsom had more terms in Washington than President Franklin Roosevelt, so the joke went. Louis Norman “Bobo” Newsom was born in Hartsville. The Right Hander pitched for nine teams during his 20 season career: Brooklyn Robins/ Dodgers (1929-1930, 1942-1943), Chicago Cubs (1932), St. Louis Browns (1934-1935, 1938-1939, 1943), Washington Senators (1935-1937, 1942, 1943, 1946-1947, 1952), Boston Red Sox (1937), Detroit Tigers (1939-1941), Philadelphia Athletics (1944-1946, 1952-1953), New York Yankees (1947), and New York Giants (1948). The journeyman often sought his release so he could negotiate new contracts with other teams. Seeking his release and being traded five times meant Newsom’s longest stint with any team was two and a half seasons. 

Baseball history is filled with superstitious players. Newsom was among the most superstitious. He would not pitch if there was paper on the dirt mound. Newsom meticulously picked up every tiny piece of paper, often left by the opposing team, before pitching. Opponents felt this could get Newsom out of rhythm and give them a chance. Newsom pitched in 600 career Games, made 483 Starts, Finished 71 Games, threw 246 Complete Games, including 31 Shutouts, 3,759.1 Innings Pitched, allowed 3,769 Hits, 1,908 Runs, 1,664 Earned Runs, 206 Home Runs, 1,732 Walks, 2,082 Strikeouts, posted a 211-222 record, with a 3.98 ERA, 1.463 WHIP, and 107 ERA+. He was a four time All Star. Newsom won the 1947 World Series with the Yankees. He pitched a 9 inning No Hitter against the Red Sox on September 18, 1934, but lost 2-1 after surrendering a game winning Single in the 10th. Newsom is one of two pitchers, Jack Powell, to win 200 games and post a career losing record. 

Bobo Newsom served more time in Washington than most politicians. (www.baseballhall.org)

The best season of Newsom’s career came with the 1940 Detroit Tigers. He pitched in 36 Games, made 34 Starts, Finished 1 Game, threw 20 Complete Games, including 3 Shutouts, 264 Innings Pitched, allowed 235 Hits, 110 Runs, 83 Earned Runs, 19 Home Runs, 100 Walks, 164 Strikeouts, posted a 21-5 record, with a 2.83 ERA, 1.269 WHIP, and 168 ERA+. Newsom led the Junior Circuit in ERA+. Detroit won the American League Pennant by a single game over Cleveland before losing the World Series to the Cincinnati Reds in seven games. 

Newsom pitched in the Fall Classic twice, 1940 with the Tigers and 1947 with the Yankees. He pitched in 5 World Series Games, made 4 Starts, threw 3 Complete Games, including 1 Shutout, 28.1 Innings Pitched, allowed 24 Hits, 9 Runs, 9 Earned Runs, 0 Home Runs, 6 Walks, 17 Strikeouts, posted a 2-2 record, with a 2.86 ERA, and 1.059 WHIP. Winning the 1947 World Series was a reward for a long career on bad teams. Newsom was an odd but solid Major League pitcher. 

Willie Randolph never gets the respect he deserves from New York fans. The Holy Hill native grew up in Brownsville Brooklyn before escaping poverty to reach the Majors. Randolph was drafted by the Pittsburgh Pirates in the 7th round of the 1972 Draft. He moved quickly through the Minor Leagues to reach Pittsburgh in 1975. The Pirates played their young Second Baseman sparingly in his lone season at Three Rivers Stadium. He was traded to the Yankees with Ken Brett and Dock Ellis for Doc Medich in December 1975. Randolph played for six teams during his 18 seasons career: Pittsburgh Pirates (1975), New York Yankees (1976-1988), Los Angeles Dodgers (1989-1990), Oakland Athletics (1990), Milwaukee Brewers (1991), and New York Mets (1992). 

After changing teams Willie Randolph had a long and productive career. He played in 2,202 career Games, scored 1,239 Runs, collected 2,210 Hits, 316 Doubles, 65 Triples, 54 Home Runs, 687 RBI, 271 Stolen Bases, 1,243 Walks, 675 Strikeouts, with a .276 BA, .373 OBP, .351 SLG, .724 OPS, and 104 OPS+. He won a Silver Slugger and was a six time All Star. 

Willie Randolph has done it all on a baseball diamond in new York. (T.G. Higgins/ Getty Images)

Randolph’s best season came with the 1980 Yankees. He played in 138 Games, scored 99 Runs, collected 151 Hits, 23 Doubles, 7 Triples, 7 Home Runs, 46 RBI, 30 Stolen Bases, drew 119 Walks, 45 Strikeouts, posted a .294 BA, .427 OBP, .407 SLG, .834 OPS, and 133 OPS+. He led the American League in Walks. Randolph set a career high in Runs scored and tied his career highs in Home Runs, Walks, OBP, OPS, and OPS+. He was an All Star, won a Silver Slugger, and finished 15th for the American League MVP. 

Randolph made it to the Fall Classic four times, but only the 1977 Yankees came away victorious. In 47 Postseason Games, he scored 19 Runs, collected 36 Hits, 6 Doubles, 1 Triple, 4 Home Runs, 14 RBI, 3 Stolen Bases, drew 20 Walks, 15 Strikeouts, with a .222 BA, .304 OBP, .346 SLG, and .650 OPS. On defense, Randolph never committed a Postseason error. He played on several good teams, but never found much success with the bat in October. 

After a year in the Front Office, Randolph returned to the field as a coach for the Yankees and Brewers. He won three more World Series in the Bronx before the opportunity to manage his favorite team from childhood, the Mets, arrived in 2005. Randolph led the Amazins from 2005 to 2008, posting a 302-253 record. His .554 winning % is the second best in franchise history behind Davey Johnson’s .588. Ultimately, Randolph, Pitching Coach Rick Peterson, and First Base Coach Tom Nieto were fired while in California on a road trip at 3:15 AM EST. The fires happened following a Mets victory, and winning three of their last four games. The dismissal was strange then and remains so a decade and a half later. Willie Randolph has not received another opportunity to manage despite his success in Queens. 

The Palmetto State has sent three players to the Hall of Fame: Larry Doby, Jim Rice, and Ben Taylor. There should be a fourth in Shoeless Joe Jackson, but that is an argument for another day. Next, the United States of Baseball heads west to the Mount Rushmore State. South Dakota is next.

DJ