Tagged: San Francisco Giants

Predictions Sure To Go Wrong 10.0 

The 2024 MLB season has begun. Little is certain in baseball, even a few weeks into the season. While we are super late getting our predictions posted this year, we nevertheless feel strongly that even with a small sample size we will continue our tradition of being terrible at predicting the future. Despite a decade of failure we continue on. Here are our predictions for the 2024 MLB season. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
Orioles Camden CrushersYankeesOriolesBmoreOrioles
Blue Jays (5)God’s Waiting Room (5)Orioles (5)Blue Jays (5)Yankees (4)Yankees (5)
RaysFree HealthcareJaysYankees (6)Tampa Bay (5)Blue Jays (6)
YankeesAaron’s BoondoggleRaysRaysTorontoRays
Red SoxWe all went Red SoxRedSuxRed SoxRed SuxRed Sox

It will be a dreadful season at Fenway. Meanwhile in Baltimore, the future is arriving. The young, and hyped, Orioles could make a deep run if their young stars live up to expectations. The Yankees, Blue Jays, and Rays could have terrific or horrific seasons. Both are possible. The American League East is not the juggernaut it once was. 

Can the Orioles youth live you to the hype? (Mitch Stringer- USA TODAY Sports)

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsTwinsClevelandTwins
TigersTwinkies (6)ChiSox (6)GuardiansTwinkiesGuardians
GuardiansBridge StatuesTigersTigersRoyalsWhite Sox
White SoxKate’s ReplacementsGuardiansRoyalsTigersTigers
RoyalsTony the TigersRoyalsWhite SoxWhite SuxRoyals

The American League Central remains the weakest division in baseball. Top to bottom there is not a single team capable of making a deep run in October. Minnesota should walk away with the division, but are they really a good team? The only surprise could be Detroit, where the improving Tigers could make a run at relevancy…maybe. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersWalker: TexasRangersAstrosRangersRangers
Astros (4)Trashtros (4)Astros (4)Rangers (4)Astros (6)Astros (4)
Mariners (6)Seamen of the PoopdeckMarinersMarinersMarinersMariners
AngelsRendon’s RascalsAngelsAthleticsAngelsAngels
ElephantsVegasPatheticsAngelsAthleticsAthletics

The Rangers and Astros will fight it out for the division and Wild Card. The Mariners need everything to go right to play meaningful baseball in September. The Angels should be thankful for the Athletics, otherwise they would finish last. The Oakland/Sacramento/Vegas A’s are a mess. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBraves BravesBravesBraves
Phillies (5)Phollies (4)Phillies (5)Phillies (5)Philly (5)Phillies (5)
MarlinsFish (6)MarlinsMetsFishMarlins
MetsAmazinsMetsMarlinsMetsMets
NationalsGnats (will face relegation)NationalsNationalsNatsNationals

The Phillies are a very good team, but the Braves are a great team. The division once again runs through Atlanta. Philadelphia will position itself for the Wild Card. The Marlins and Mets need to have a special season if they want their fans to watch beyond the All Star Break. This is the last year of the Nationals’ Cherry Blossom jerseys. 

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesBrewersCubsReds
Cardinals (6)Red BirdsReds (6)CubsReds (6)Cardinals (6)
CubsHot Dog RaceCardinalsRedsBrewersCubs
BrewersBuccosCubsCardinalsCardinalsBrewers
PiratesWrigleyvilleBrewersPiratesPiratesPirates

The Cardinals look to bounce back from one of the worst, and surprising, seasons in franchise history. The Reds have a great young line up, but do they have the pitching? We picked the Cubs to finish literally everywhere, so your guess is as good as ours. The Brewers are on the way down. Are the Pirates finally on the way up? 

The Reds have the bats to compete. (www.bleacherreport.com)

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GullysDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers
Diamondbacks (4)Nope Ropes (5)Dodgers (4)Diamondbacks (4)Giants (4)Diamondbacks (4)
GiantsBig macsGiantsPadres (6)DBacksGiants
PadresAngre thePadresGiantsPadresPadres
RockiesCoorsRockiesRockiesRockiesRockies

The Dodgers should roll through the division, again. Arizona is hoping last season was not a fluke, but the start of sustained success. The Giants might hang around for a while before fading, but the real story is further south. Is this the year that San Diego finally plays up to their contracts or will this era of Padres baseball be loathed for their inability to compete? Just a friendly reminder, the Rockies are a Major League Baseball team. 

Postseason 

The Regular Season is chaotic, but the Postseason is unpredictable. The best team does not always win the World Series. Instead, teams look to get hot at the right moment. October is treacherous. The secret is simply, finding a way to win. The best players and teams do not always win, but will they in 2024? 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsYankeesClevelandTwins
MarinersTwinkiesChiSoxTwinsAstrosYankees
Blue JaysTrashtrosAstrosBlue JaysYankeesAstros
AstrosGod’s Walking RoomOriolesRangersTampa BayWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesPadresCubsReds
CardinalsFishRedsBrewersRedsCubs
DiamondbacksPholliesPhilliesPhilliesGiantsPhillies
PhilliesNope RopesDodgersDiamondbacksPhilliesDiamondbacks

The Wild Card is a guessing game. The Astros could dominate the season and still be in the Wild Card. The Yankees, Phillies, and Diamondbacks might be a touch below the great teams, but that separation could force them to fight through the Wild Card. Unexpected teams can find themselves looking to continue their run through the Wild Card. This is what makes the Wild Card round the most chaotic and entertaining of the Postseason. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
AstrosSouthsideRangersRangersBmoreAstros
OriolesCamden CrushersAstrosOriolesAstrosOrioles
RangersTrashtrosYankeesYankeesRangersYankees
MarinersWalker: TexasTwinsAstrosYankeesRangers

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GulleysBravesPhilliesDodgersDodgers
PhilliesNope RopesPhilliesDodgersGiantsPhillies
BravesBravosDiamondbacksPadresBravesBraves
RedsFishPiratesBravesRedsDiamondbacks

Is this the year the Astros begin to fade away or will their run of success continue? Texas attempts to win back to back World Series titles, but it is no easy task. The Orioles are on the rise, but can they play deep into October or will they have to wait until next year? The Dodgers and Braves are on a collision course yet again. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
OriolesSouthsideYankeesYankeesBmoreOrioles
RangersTrashtrosRangersOriolesYankeesRangers

Experience matters in big games. Keeping calm allows teams to play their best in high stress situations. The Rangers have been through the fight before. Veteran leadership and poise keeps the noise down. Baltimore is coming. The Orioles have a bright future ahead, but their youth can only take them so far this season. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBravesBravesBravesBraves
DodgersNope RopesDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers

If ever there was a guarantee in baseball it is that the National League runs through the Braves and Dodgers. The other 13 teams must beat one or both of these talented and dominant teams if they want to win the National League pennant. The Diamondbacks played spoiler last season, can they do it again or will a new spoiler arise? 

The Braves look to win another World Series in 2024. (Rich Schultz/ Getty Images)

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersSouthsideYankeesOriolesBravesBraves
BravesBravosBravesDodgersYankeesRangers

The Braves and Rangers have the talent and experience to make it through the chaos of the Postseason. Both teams are filled with stars and role players that contribute to their team’s success. However, there can only be one World Series champion. 

Congratulations to the Atlanta Braves for winning their fifth World Series Championship. History says the Fall Classic will not follow our predictions, but time will tell. 

Happy Baseball.

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

United States of Baseball- Utah

Utah is pushing to someday have a Major League team. While they wait, the Beehive State continues to grow its baseball tradition. The United States of Baseball is important for baseball powerhouses like California and Florida, and for less prodigious baseball states like Utah and its 43 Major League players. The greatest pitcher born in Utah is Bruce Hurst. His 34.52 career WAR is the 42nd highest among state and territory pitching leaders. The greatest position player born in the Beehive State is Duke Sims. His 12.78 career WAR is the 51st highest among state and territory position player leaders. Utah has a combined 47.30 WAR, ranking the Beehive State 50th among all states and territories. 

There is always a first. The first player ever drafted from Utah was Bruce Hurst. The St. George native was selected by the Boston Red Sox in the 1st Round, 22nd overall, of the 1976 MLB Draft. The crafty Lefty pitched 15 seasons with 4 teams: Boston Red Sox (1980-1988), San Diego Padres (1989-1993), Colorado Rockies (1993), and Texas Rangers (1994). Hurst pitched in 379 career Games, made 359 Starts, 5 Games Finished, with 83 Complete Games, 23 Shutouts, 2,417.1 Innings Pitched, allowed 2,463 Hits, 1,143 Runs, 1,052 Earned Runs, 740 Walks, 1,689 Strikeouts, posted a 145-113 record, with a 3.92 ERA, 1.325 WHIP, and 104 ERA+. He has the second most Wins at Fenway Park with 57, behind only Mel Parnell’s 71. Hurst was the third pitcher to record 1,000 career Strikeouts with the Red Sox. He was inducted into the Red Sox Hall of Fame in 2004. He left Boston in Free Agency after the 1988 season after the Front Office played hardball and told him to test the open market. This was during the Owner’s Collusion to stamp out free agency. Ultimately Hurst signed with the Padres. His 1987 All Star selection remains Utah’s only trip to the Mid-Summer Classic. He is also the Beehive State leader in Wins, Losses, Games Started, Complete Games, Shutouts, Innings Pitched, Hits, Runs, Earned Runs, Home Runs, Walks, and Strikeouts. After retiring he served as a coach and scout internationally for Major League Baseball in Italy and Latin America, and as the Pitching Coach for the Chinese National Baseball team in 2005-2006 and 2012-2013. 

Bruce Hurst enjoyed his best season in San Diego after Boston played hardball with him. (www.mlb.com)

The best season of Hurst’s career came with the 1989 Padres. He pitched in 33 Games, made 33 Starts, threw 10 Complete Games, including 2 Shutouts, in 244.2 Innings Pitched, allowed 214 Hits, 84 Runs, 73 Earned Runs, 66 Walks, 179 Strikeouts, posted a 15-11 record, with a 2.69 ERA, 1.144 WHIP, and 131 ERA+. Hurst led the National League in Complete Games. He also set career bests in Games Started, Innings Pitched, and ERA. The Padres finished just 3 Games Behind the San Francisco Giants for the National League West Division title. 

Hurst pitched in three Postseason series: 1986 and 1988 American League Championship Series and 1986 World Series. He pitched in 7 Postseason Games, made 7 Starts, threw 3 Complete Games, in 51 Innings Pitched, allowed 46 Hits, 14 Runs, 13 Earned Runs, 12 Walks, 37 Strikeouts, posted a 3-2 record, with a 2.29 ERA, and 1.137 WHIP. Hurst nearly pitched the Red Sox to a World Series title against the Mets. He Started Games 1, 5, and 7. He threw 8 Shutout Innings in the Red Sox Game 1 victory. He pitched a Complete Game victory in Game 5. In Game 7, Hurst pitched 6 Innings and allowed 3 Earned Runs. When he left the game the score was tied 3-3, before the Mets pulled away for an 8-5 victory. Boston needed to win one of the final two games, but The Curse of the Bambino was stronger than Hurst’s Left Arm. 

Duane “Duke” Sims made a career as a solid backstop. The Salt Lake City native played 11 seasons with 5 teams: Cleveland Indians (1964-1970), Los Angeles Dodgers (1971-1972), Detroit Tigers (1972-1973), New York Yankees (1973-1974), and Texas Rangers (1974). Sims played in 843 career Games, scored 263 Runs, collected 580 Hits, 80 Doubles, 6 Triples, 100 Home Runs, 310 RBI, 6 Stolen Bases, drawing 338 Walks, 483 Strikeouts, posting a .239 BA, .340 OBP, .401 SLG, .741 OPS, 112 OPS+, and 972 Total Bases. His most famous Home Run came on September 30, 1973 off of Fred Holdsworth. Sims hit the final Home Run at Yankee Stadium before the House That Ruth Built closed for two seasons for extensive renovations. Sims is Utah’s all-time leader in career Games Played, Plate Appearances, At Bats, Runs scored, Hits, Double, Home Runs, RBI, Walks, and Strikeouts. Career success is measured in many ways.  

Duke Sims hit the last Home Run at the original Yankee Stadium. (www.mlive.com)

The best season of Sims’ career came with the 1970 Cleveland Indians. He played in 110 Games, scored 46 Runs, collected 91 Hits, including 12 Doubles, 23 Home Runs, 56 RBI, drew 46 Walks, 59 Strikeouts, .264 BA, .360 OBP, .499 SLG, .859 OPS, 131 OPS+, and 172 Total Bases. Sims set career best in Hits, Home Runs, RBI, SLG, OPS, and Total Bases. That Winter, Cleveland traded him to the Los Angeles Dodgers for Alan Foster and Ray Lamb

Sims played in one Postseason series, the 1972 American League Championship Series with the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers lost in five games. Sims played in 4 Games, collected 3 Hits, 2 Doubles, 1 Triple, drew 1 Walk, 2 Strikeouts, with a .214 BA, .267 OBP, .500 SLG, .767 OPS, and 7 Total Bases. October can be a mystery for some teams. 

No Utah native has been elected to the Hall of Fame. Bruce Hurst appeared on the 2000 Hall of Fame ballot and received one vote (0.2%). Duke Sims appeared on the Hall of Fame ballot in 1980, but received no votes. As the state produces more Major League quality players, Cooperstown should eventually get its first member from the Beehive State. Next the United States of Baseball returns to New England and The Green Mountain State. Vermont is next. 

DJ

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 9.0 

What a shock! Few foresaw the Rangers defeating the Diamondbacks in the 2023 World Series. We certainly did not. Despite trying to predict the outcome of the last nine MLB seasons, we continue to know nothing. We were incredibly bad in 2023. The season was filled with great stories and terrible collapses. The Mets were the Mets and baseball was its usual unpredictable self. We may have been terrible at predicting the season, but how bad was it? 

Really bad. Our scoring system is designed to clearly show who is the best at predicting the baseball season before the first pitch is thrown. Points are scored in the following ways: a correct prediction of a team’s final divisional standings in the Regular Season is one point, two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. We were far from perfect. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)Orioles
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)Rays
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRaysBlue Jays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOriolesYankees
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed SoxRed Sox

Our predictions got off to a rough start. Jesse was the only one to have multiple correct predictions with the Rays in second and Blue Jays in third. Derek, Bernie, Kevin, Jason, and The Winning Run all knew it would be a bad season in Boston. John missed completely. Not a great start, but hope springs eternal.

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)Twins
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)Tigers
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)Guardians
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigersWhite Sox
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyalsRoyals

Again we knew who would be bad. The Royals never inspired us. Jason knew the White Sox would be only slightly better than last place. Bernie found the Guardians finishing third. He was the only one to have more than a single correct pick. John was now 0 for 2 divisions. A second straight division of bad predictions did not inspire confidence in the rest of our picks. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)Astros
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)MarinersRangers
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngelsMariners
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangersAngels
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAthleticsAthletics 

Finally we got on track. Derek for some reason decided the Astros were not going to win the division again. He was the only one. Everyone knew the poor A’s would be eliminated on Opening Day. Kevin and Jason had the end of the Ohtani era with the Angels again finishing fourth and out of October. Jesse had the Mariners falling back after a great 2022 season to third place. John had the Rangers finishing just behind the Astros. Everyone except Derek got back on track. How would we do in the National League? 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)Braves
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)Phillies
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhilliesMarlins
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlinsMets
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationalsNationals 

Maybe it was our fandom, or just logic, but the Braves were the easy choice in the National League East. The Nationals were equally easy to finish in the basement. In between was more challenging. The Mets out Mets themselves to finish fourth. Kevin got the first perfect divisional prediction. Bernie whiffed because he had too much confidence in the Nationals. 

The Mets failed on so many levels in 2023 (John Bazemore/ Associated Press)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)Brewers
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)Cubs
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubsReds
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsRedsPirates
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesCardinals

The National League Central was a mystery. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run all whiffed. Derek had the Pirates in fourth, while John and Kevin had the Cubs in second. We did not predict the disaster that was the Cardinals, as everyone had them winning the division. The Reds also surprised us with their third place finish. Brutal. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)Dodgers
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)Diamondbacks
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiantsPadres
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacksGiants
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockiesRockies

The Dodgers in first and Rockies last were easy. The Diamondbacks surprised everyone with their surge to the National League Pennant. The slide that cost Gabe Kapler his job was easy to see coming. The Padres tried and failed to contend. Kevin only mixed up the Padres and Diamondbacks. Bernie whiffed again, striking out on the entire National League. Making predictions is hard, as we proved yet again. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Kevin- 13
  2. Jesse- 10
  3. Jason- 9
  4. Derek- 8
  5. John- 8
  6. The Winning Run- 8
  7. Bernie- 5

At the end of the Regular Season only Kevin was halfway decent. It had been a long miserable Summer for everyone else. Bernie missed the Senior Circuit, but he was only three points behind Derek, John, and The Winning Run. Could things turn around for the better in October or were we doomed by our bad predictions? 

Postseason 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardiansTwins
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwinsBlue Jays
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue JaysRangers
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite SoxRays

John found his groove in the Wild Card. He had the Twins, Blue Jays, and Rangers. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run had two correct picks each in the Wild Card. Kevin’s good luck hit hard times, while Derek continued to show how little he knows about the future of baseball. This was a bad time to make bad predictions. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgersDiamondbacks
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMetsBrewers
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadresPhillies
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewersMarlins

Kevin reversed his fortunes with two correct picks. Everyone else had either the Phillies or Brewers. Bernie finally had a correct National League prediction. While it was good to have at least one correct prediction, it was not great that the majority of our picks were terrible. 

Standings after the Wild Card

  1. Kevin- 17
  2. Jesse- 16
  3. John- 16
  4. Jason- 15
  5. The Winning Run- 14
  6. Bernie- 11
  7. Derek- 10

The Wild Card round helped John and Bernie rebound from the Regular Season. Bernie was out of the basement. Derek was terrible as he took Bernie’s place. Kevin saw his lead shrink. The Wild Card created chaos, as predicted. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue JaysTwins
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankeesRangers
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardiansOrioles

The Astros were the easy pick, even Derek had Houston playing in the Divisional Series. Jesse also had the Twins, giving him points over everyone else. Otherwise our predictions were living in a fantasy land. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinalsDiamondbacks
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadresDodgers
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBravesPhillies
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgersBraves

The Braves and Dodgers were easy picks. The National League ran through them. Only Bernie missed Los Angeles. Jesse with the Phillies and Kevin with the Diamondbacks had a third team in the Divisional Series. Jesse was making moves while the rest of us languished. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Jesse- 36
  2. Kevin- 33
  3. John- 28
  4. Jason- 27
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Jesse launched past Kevin. Derek and Bernie were duking it out for last place. None of us were doing well. Our predictions were trash. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankeesRangers
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstrosAstros

The Astros kept marching towards the World Series. Jesse, John, Jason, and The Winning Run knew this. Derek, Bernie, and Kevin did not get the memo. Derek and Bernie continued fighting in the cellar. Kevin’s whiff hurt his title chances. Besides Houston, we had no clue on the American League. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBravesDiamondbacks
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadresPhillies

We were terrible at the American League. We were clueless about the Senior Circuit. The Mets and Padres Regular Season failures haunted us. Both the Braves and Dodgers failed to live up to October expectations. What were we thinking? 

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Kevin plummeted down the rankings. Derek and Bernie readied for a futility throw down. Jesse’s lead looked hard to beat, but the Fall Classic awaited us. Kevin, Jason, and John were within striking distance if Jesse faltered. 

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBravesRangers
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstrosDiamondbacks

We suck. None of us predicted either World Series team. A big swing and miss. There would be no last second change in the standings. Try as we might, we know nothing about the future of baseball. 

Final Standings

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Congratulations Jesse, you are the best among us at predicting the 2023 MLB season. We were all terrible, but you were slightly less terrible. Maybe in 2024 we will be better…doubtful. 

DJ

Rookie of the Year

Teams are successful when they develop talent, not simply purchase free agents. The George Steinbrenner Yankees were often accused of buying championships, but they did develop talent. Success is turning draft picks and international signings into Major League players. The Rookie of the Year Award recognizes the best first year player in each league. Created in 1947, there was a single Award for the first two seasons, but since 1949 each league has a winner. While it is an individual award, the Rookie of the Year Award should also be viewed as an organizational award. If a franchise is consistently producing quality Major League caliber players they will eventually have one worthy of the award. The Diamondbacks are the last of the 30 Major League teams to have a Rookie of the Year. It took 25 years for Arizona to achieve. While it may have taken longer than expected for a player like Corbin Carroll to arrive, Arizona has finally completed the task. 

The inaugural Rookie of the Year Award was presented to Jackie Robinson after the most difficult rookie season in Major League history. Al Dark of the Boston Braves won in 1948. In 1949, Roy Sievers of the St. Louis Browns won the first American League Rookie of the Year Award. In more than 75 years since its creation, the Dodgers reigned supreme at producing elite rookies. The Dodgers have won a record 18 times, four in Brooklyn and 14 in Los Angeles. The Yankees are second with nine. 

The expectation was the Expansion teams would be among the last to have a Rookie of the Year. When expansion’s first wave came in 1961, only the Cubs and Pirates had yet to win the Rookie of the Year. However, the Cubs won their first Rookie of the Year in 1961 with the future Hall of Famer Billy Williams. This left Pittsburgh as the last non-expansion team without the award. Surely the Pirates could produce an elite rookie at some point. Instead, 12 of the 14 Expansion teams developed a Rookie of the Year before Pittsburgh. Finally, in 2004 Jason Bay put together a rookie campaign deemed worthy, giving the Pirates their first Rookie of the Year. Only the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks had yet to win the award in 2004. Both franchises began play in 1998. The Pirates lack of success is just another disappointment in an ever growing list. 

Corbin Carroll is the Diamondbacks first Rookie of the Year. Arizona was the last remaining team without a Rookie of the Year winner. (Rob Leiter/ MLB Photos)

Simply winning the Rookie of the Year Award does not guarantee success beyond that first season in the Majors. Every player has the best season of their career, and for some it is that first season. There are others, who build upon their initial success. They finish their careers among the greatest ever. There are 19 players who won the Rookie of the Year Award and then had a Hall of Fame career

  1. Jackie Robinson- Brooklyn Dodgers, 1947
  2. Willie Mays- New York Giants, 1951
  3. Frank Robinson- Cincinnati Reds, 1956
  4. Luis Aparicio- Chicago White Sox, 1956
  5. Orlando Cepeda- San Francisco Giants, 1958
  6. Willie McCovey- San Francisco Giants, 1959
  7. Billy Williams- Chicago Cubs, 1961
  8. Tony Oliva- Minnesota Twins, 1964
  9. Tom Seaver- New York Mets, 1967
  10. Rod Carew- Minnesota Twins, 1967
  11. Johnny Bench- Cincinnati Reds, 1968
  12. Carlton Fisk- Boston Red Sox, 1972
  13. Andre Dawson- Montreal Expos, 1977
  14. Eddie Murray- Baltimore Orioles, 1977
  15. Cal Ripken Jr.- Baltimore Orioles, 1982
  16. Jeff Bagwell- Houston Astros, 1991
  17. Mike Piazza- Los Angeles Dodgers, 1993
  18. Derek Jeter- New York Yankees, 1996
  19. Scott Rolen- Philadelphia Phillies, 1997

In addition to these 19 Hall of Famers, there are five more players who will join them in Cooperstown when they are eligible. There will certainly be more, but these five are all but guaranteed to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame.  

  1. Albert Pujols- St. Louis Cardinals, 2001
  2. Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle Mariners, 2001
  3. Justin Verlander- Detroit Tigers, 2006
  4. Bryce Harper- Washington Nationals, 2012
  5. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels, 2012

The Rookie of the Year Award celebrates the best new talent in the Majors each season. The players selected each season are not guaranteed a long and successful career, nor are they doomed to mediocrity. One great season does not define a player, but it can gain them recognition. Teams are tasked with developing the players and their success is reflected in winning the Rookie of the Year Award. It is nearly impossible to win multiple seasons in a row, but a team should consistently produce good, young players. Occasionally one should win the award. The Dodgers have figured out how to do just that, and the Pirates have not. All 30 MLB teams have now had a Rookie of the Year winner. Who adds to their list next season?  

DJ

Managerial Merry Go Round

Every offseason is filled with the managerial merry go round. Teams look for new leadership in the dugout for one reason or another. This offseason is especially busy as eight teams will have someone new filling out the lineup card on Opening Day in 2024. Over a quarter of teams in MLB changed leadership is obviously a lot. 

In the past, managers have been given more time to show what they can do. When they were not successful, they were relieved of their duties after proving they were not right for the job. Ownership is no longer willing to wait, baseball is transitioning to a what have you done for me lately philosophy. Teams who want to win are not content with long rebuilds. The time to win is now. It is not better or worse to have a short leash with managers, it is just different. It is better to move on quickly when it becomes clear the wrong person was hired, but it also does not allow managers to reap the benefits of a rebuild. It is a mixed bag, but steady leadership is never a bad thing. 

Two of the managerial openings were not shocking. The retirements of Dusty Baker and Terry Francona. Baker has dedicated his life to baseball. The grind takes a toll on people and he felt it was time to step off the diamond. Francona has had health issues the last few years. If you do not have your health, nothing else matters. The Astros search took them to their Bench Coach Joe Espada. The Guardians hired Stephen Vogt, who retired from playing in 2022 and spent last season as the Mariners Bullpen Coach. Houston and Cleveland look to continue their success moving forward, and their need for new managers was due to life happening, not the scoreboard. 

Craig Counsell’s sudden departure from Milwaukee caught everyone by surprise. (Stacy Revere/ Getty Images)

The Mets looked unstoppable on paper in Spring Training. Then the season started and it all went wrong. The Mets finished in fourth place, six games under .500, and 29 Games Behind the Braves. Buck Showalter was fired and replaced by Yankees Bench Coach Carlos Mendoza. Can he bring winning back to Queens? Another marque team looking to return to their winning ways got their new manager in a surprising twist. Long time Brewers Manager Craig Counsell was suddenly hired by the division rival Cubs. The move came with the largest annual salary for a manager, $8 million per season. The move meant David Ross was suddenly unemployed and Milwaukee was scrambling to replace Counsell. The Brewers named their Bench Coach Pat Murphy, who coached Counsell in college, as their new manager. 

In a similar move, Padres Manager Bob Melvin left San Diego for the division rival Giants. The relationship between Melvin and Padres General Manager A.J. Preller was bad. After a disappointing season for the Padres, with high payroll and even higher expectations, like the Mets, Melvin knew it was time for a change. The escape up the coast to the Bay Area was made possible by the firing of Gabe Kapler after only one trip to the Postseason in his four seasons managing in San Francisco. The Padres turned to Mike Schildt to guide San Diego to October. The managerial opening for the Angels is the most critical for baseball. This is not a dig at Phil Nevin, for whom the Angels declined their 2024 option, but the organization as a whole has failed. Los Angeles continues to waste prime seasons for Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, if he returns. The best players in baseball should be showcased in October, instead Trout is in Philadelphia watching the Eagles and Ohtani is doing commercials for one of his endorsements. Hopefully the hiring of Ron Washington rights the Angels ship. Washington was terrific in Texas, guiding the team to two American League pennants. He is beloved in Atlanta. A baseball man through and through, Washington’s success in Los Angeles can only mean good things for baseball. 

If Ron Washington can turn the Angels into a winner, all of baseball will benefit. (Jae C. Hong/ AP)

Teams want to win and win now. Call it dysfunction, bad hiring, or an unwillingness to be patient, but teams are not wasting seasons wondering if they hired the right manager. Baseball is a business and part of that business is putting a winning team on the field. This high turnover is a sign teams are trying to win, even if the turmoil extends into the front office. Looking at you White Sox and Marlins. Sustained dysfunction is a killer for any franchise. Even when everything and everyone works together, creating a winning baseball team is extremely difficult. 

The 2023 season had some spectacularly disappointing teams. Perhaps some of the most disappointing of all time. Many of those teams are making changes this Winter. Time will tell if these changes create winners, or if the manager is the first of many changes. Around and around we go. 

DJ

World Series of Chaos

We have our World Series matchup, Texas Rangers against Arizona Diamondbacks.

This is the first Fall Classic matchup between these two franchises. The Rangers are making their third trip to the World Series. They lost back to back World Series in 2010 and 2011. Texas has yet to reach the mountain top. The Diamondbacks are making their second appearance. They won a thriller in Game 7 against the Yankees in 2001. Will north Texas finally win it all or will the desert take home a second Commissioner’s Trophy? 

Bruce Bochy has spent 26 seasons as a Major League manager. He has a 2,093-2,101 record, a .499 Win%. Bochy passed Walter Alston earlier this season to move into tenth place all-time in wins. Bochy, Bucky Harris, and Connie Mack are the only three managers with a losing record in the top ten. Four victories in the World Series would tie Bochy with Dusty Baker with 57 Postseason wins, the fourth most ever. He has done well as the winningest, and only, French born manager ever. This is the third team Bochy has led to the World Series. He won the National League Pennant with the Padres in 1998 and led the Giants to three World Series titles in five years between 2010 and 2014. Can he win his fourth title in his first season with the Rangers? 

Torey Lovullo is in his seventh season as a Major League manager. He has a 495-537 record, a .480 Win%. Lovullo has the 142nd most career victories as a Major League Manager. He took over the Diamondbacks in 2017 after they finished with just 69 wins in 2016. Arizona immediately responded with a 93 win season and a trip to the Division Series, where they were swept by the Dodgers. The front office has stayed the course with Lovullo, as the Diamondbacks have finished an average of 26 behind the National League West division winner in the last six seasons. The only thing that matters now is the Diamondbacks are hot at the right time. 

One of the least probable World Series is upon us. (www.si.com)

Tommy Lasorda. He is the difference between Bruce Bochy and Torey Lovullo. Bochy has 1,598 more victories than Lovullo. Lasorda posted 1,599 wins in his Hall of Fame managerial career. This difference typifies how crazy baseball can be. Bochy is on his way to Cooperstown. Lovullo is already the winningest manager in Arizona history and could be on his way to the Diamondbacks Hall of Fame with four more victories. Baseball does not care about your history, only what you can do today. 

How will this World Series unfold? History says it will be chaos. The last three Fall Classics have gone six games. The last World Series Game 7 was 2019 when the Nationals triumphed over the Astros. The last World Series sweep was 2012 as the Giants swept the Tigers. Who has the advantage this October? Honestly no one knows, because the last ten World Series are an even split with the American and National League each winning five times. 

Enjoy the end of the baseball season. The cold of Winter is coming. Another baseball season is drawing to a close. The unpredictability of the game has led us to this World Series, Rangers vs Diamondbacks. Every season is a free for all. This year is no different. The Mets and Padres are proof you cannot buy your way into the Postseason. The League Championship Series were some of the best baseball has to offer. Hopefully it continues into November. 

DJ

Perfection

There are things in life you want to accomplish. They may take an hour, a day, a year, or a lifetime to achieve. Other things you just get lucky. It is the convergence of the planned and the lucky where the greatest memories happen. 

Talking with Jesse one day he asked if I wanted to go to the World Baseball Classic (WBC) in Miami. He had looked at the Pool Play games and tickets were fairly cheap. Absolutely, it was baseball and warm weather. The teams playing in Miami, Pool D, were the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela, Israel, and Nicaragua. The tickets for the Dominican Republic against Puerto Rico were sold out and the prices on the secondary market were significantly higher than the other games, so not that game. John and Jason were joining us as we settled on two games: Puerto Rico against Israel Monday night and Venezuela against Nicaragua Tuesday afternoon. 

I love Marlins Park, or whatever the corporate name is. The ballpark itself does not get the respect it deserves, partly due to the lackluster results from the Marlins since moving to Little Havana. I did not have a strong rooting interest for Puerto Rico vs. Israel. I was just hoping for a good game. The list of instruments not allowed inside was rather long, but the fans were making plenty of noise outside the ballpark an hour before first pitch. The fans were overwhelmingly Puerto Rican, but Israel had plenty of its own enthusiastic supporters. 

Loud is an understatement. The roof was closed so all the noise was trapped inside. The fans were already in a frenzy and it was not yet game time. After stopping at the team store and concession stands we headed for our seats in Right Field, close to the Bobblehead Museum. You could feel the noise in your chest. Despite not having a long history, the World Baseball Classic is establishing itself as a great sports tradition. National pride combined with baseball makes teams and players play above their abilities. Israel is primarily made up of Jewish players who do not live in Israel. Nonetheless, the Israeli team is helping grow the game. Baseball is alive and well in Puerto Rico, the WBC only serves to send the baseball hungry island into delirium. I am neither Jewish nor Puerto Rican. We came for baseball, what better way to unite than around the greatest game. 

Our view of Perfection. (The Winning Run/ DJ)

The game went as expected. Puerto Rico jumped out to an early lead and just kept going. Israel had no answer. I literally mean nothing. The 1st and 2nd Innings saw the Israelis go down in order. Puerto Rico already had a 6 to 0 lead. Then it happened again in the 3rd Inning. Then it clicked in my head, one time through the order and Jose De Leon was perfect. Puerto Rico put up three more runs in the 4th Inning to make it 9 to 0. It was at this point that Jesse and I caught each other’s eye the way brothers can. Nothing was said, but our eyes were screaming. IT’S A PERFECT GAME!!! De Leon was on a 65 pitch limit, per WBC rules. Even if he continued mowing down batters he would eventually run out of pitches. The end finally came on batter #17 with two outs in the 6th Inning. Jesse and I continued to sit in silence. De Leon struck out 10 of the 17 Israeli batters he faced. Yacksel Rios came in to finish the inning before handing the game over to Edwin Diaz, who also retired every batter he faced. At this point Jason started asking me why I was so quiet, I refused to answer. He also started to openly root for a run rule, since Puerto Rico only needed one more run to end the game. I told him to shut up. 

Duane Underwood Jr. pitched a perfect 8th Inning. Three outs to go. My stomach was in knots. I understood what was happening and I was too nervous to puke. I could feel my heart beating and my ears had been ringing from the noise since about the 3rd Inning. I was a wreck. 

Jesse had forever held the fact that he was at the Giants game when Matt Cain pitched his Perfect Game in 2012. Felix Hernandez threw the most recent Perfect Game a month after Cain and there has not been a Perfect Game in MLB since. In the long history of the Major Leagues there have been over 235,500 games played and only 23 Perfect Games. Less than one every 10,000 games. Jesse had seen a game that was like finding a needle in a haystack the size of Manhattan and he was seeing it again. 

Martin Maldonado led off the Bottom of the 8th Inning with a Walk. Edwin Diaz of the Astros, not the Mets closer, reached by a Hit By Pitch, forcing the winning run to Second Base. Kike Hernandez then hit the second pitch he saw into Left Center to bring home Maldonado, giving Puerto Rico a 10 to 0 mercy rule victory. Israel never threatened a hit. The Puerto Rican defense played flawlessly, never giving the Israelis a glimmer of hope. There were four three ball counts for Israel. Only one came after the 3rd Inning and all four ended in strikeouts. Everyone can have an off day, but rarely does an entire team shut down. 

The game was over and it was Perfect. Puerto Rico made 24 outs and almost certainly would have gotten the final three if not for the WBC mercy rule. It was nerve racking to watch Puerto Rico put the finishing touches on a blowout. Counting down the outs. Ignoring Jason. Trying not to move or doing anything to jinx the Perfect Game. When the final run scored the ballpark exploded. Yelling, screaming, every instrument blaring, euphoria. We showed up hoping for a good game and became Puerto Rican fans because we were witnessing a Perfect Game. 

Baseball is better when you share it with others, like your brother. (The Winning Run/ DJ)

After jumping, yelling, and high fiving I needed to make a phone call. The person I wanted to call was Jesse, but he was standing next to me, so I called my wife. A decade earlier Jesse had called me from San Francisco in the middle of the night. I was asleep in New Jersey. He was in California for work and had gone to the Giants game after I suggested he go to that night’s Giants game due to a t-shirt giveaway and go to the Athletics game the next night. That free shirt put Jesse in the ballpark for Matt Cain’s Perfect Game. Immediately after the game he called and woke me up. I answered the phone to him screaming but could not understand anything due to the ear shattering noise behind him. He screamed some more noise at me and hung up. He had done the same thing with John. A few minutes later Jesse texted, “PERFECT GAME!!!!”. I was wide awake now, as I looked up the Giants score and sure enough Matt Cain threw a Perfect Game. That explained the screaming. I was happy for him, but for the last decade he has lorded that over me. Sure 30 games in 30 days was cool, but have you been to a Perfect Game? So now I had been to a Perfect Game, but this was his second, so he will continue to hold this over me. So I called my wife, surrounded by the noise. She answered and I began screaming, “PERFECT GAME!!!! IT WAS A PERFECT GAME!!!!! I SAW A PERFECT GAME!!!!” She never understood a word I said. Miami was deafening. A few minutes later out of concern she texted me, “Are you ok? Is everything ok?” I quickly shot back, “Puerto Rico pitched a PERFECT GAME!!!! I saw a Perfect Game!!!!” “Amazing”, came the response. It was amazing. It was perfect.

Never in my wildest dreams did I think I would see a No Hitter, much less a Perfect Game. Yes I wanted to draw even with Jesse, but seeing Puerto Rico’s Perfect Game with my brother, John, and Jason made it better. Jesse had been alone in San Francisco, unable to tell anyone out of fear of ruining it. The pure terror of a Perfect Game is exhausting, but I would do it again. What are the odds two brothers can both see two Perfect Games? 

DJ

Change Has Come

Baseball is back. The usual offseason moves made Jacob deGrom a Ranger, Justin Verlander a Met, Carlos Correa a Giant, Met, Twin, Trea Turner a Phillie, Xander Bogaerts a Padre, while Aaron Judge stayed a Yankee. It always takes a while before players look normal in their new uniforms. Players changing teams was not the only change, MLB changed how the game is played. 

The first change is small. Three inches to be precise. The bases grew from 15 inches to 18 inches. This slightly shortens the distances between bases and the limit on the number of pick off attempts results in more Stolen Bases. The biggest reason for the change is safety. A larger base means more room for players to touch the base. It provides a little more protection for middle infielders and should prevent some spikings and collisions. Baseball wants to keep players healthy and this slight change should help. It will also increase the number of Stolen Base attempts creating more action and excitement. 

Joey Gallo rejoice! The shift is dead. All four infielders must have both feet on the infield dirt. Teams can position an outfielder in the rover spot, but this leaves them vulnerable in other areas of the outfield. Shift an outfielder if you dare. There must also be two infielders on each side of Second Base at the time of pitch. No more over shifts to create a wall of leather. Yes, professional hitters should be able to hit the ball the other way, but professional pitchers are good at ruining their plans. Teams will adapt and find ways to defend against pull hitters. In the meantime Batting Averages are up and the defense is trying to stop the surging offenses. 

Baseball now has a clock. Eventually the batter has to be ready and the pitcher has to throw the ball. The pitcher must begin to pitch within 20 seconds of receiving the ball when runners are on base. They have 15 seconds when there are no runners on base. The batter must be ready to hit and alert to the pitcher with 8 seconds remaining on the pitch clock. A clock in baseball feels strange, but the idea is to speed up the game. Not just make the game finish quicker, but to create action by reducing down time. Pitchers can disengage from the pitching plate twice during an At Bat. This prevents stalling, but also limits the number of pick off attempts meaning base runners can get a running start. Baseball has long been focused on shortening the game, but it actually needed to increase game action. The pitch clock does this, despite the growing pains.  

Baseball is on the clock. (Nathan Ray Seebeck/ USA TODAY Sports)

MLB kept the ghost runner. If a game goes into extra innings, the last batted out from the previous inning begins the new inning at Second Base. This adds action and helps with player safety. No one needs two last place teams playing a 17 inning game in late August. While that game could become exciting the longer it goes, the risk of injury also goes up. Playing Major League Baseball is tough enough, if a game can be decided without becoming a marathon players health is protected and the ghost runner raises the tension. 

One of the great joys of baseball is watching someone operate outside of the norm. The perfect example is a position player pitching. Unfortunately, MLB is limiting this because teams became too willing to send a position player to the mound and wave the white flag. Watching Josh Harrison pitch for the Phillies is exciting, but MLB is trying to ensure the fans get the best baseball game possible. The competition is the draw, yet when teams send in position players the novelty is exciting, but the game is over. Beginning in 2023 a position player may pitch only if at least one of three situations exists. First, the game is in extra innings. Second, the team is trailing by at least eight runs at any point. Third, the team is winning by at least 10 runs in the 9th inning. We probably will not see Aaron Judge pitching 6 shutout innings anytime soon. Logically it makes sense, but logic is not always fun. 

Baseball is constantly evolving. MLB created the Ohtani Rule to keep him in the game once his day on the mound is over. It is good for baseball to keep one of the most exciting players in the game. The greater scrutiny of pitchers using foreign substances helps level the playing field with the hitters. The three batter minimum rule reduces the middle of the inning pitching changes. Yes, sometimes a pitcher enters a game and it is brutal watching them get hammered by three batters, but such is life. Sometimes you have to take it on the chin. 

MLB is changing baseball. They are trying to shorten the games, create action, and keep players healthy. Undoubtedly these will not be the last changes, more will likely come in 2024. Maybe an adjustment to the pitch clock or the introduction of a ball strike challenge during an At Bat. Not every change will last, but at least MLB is trying to create action and excitement. It is a new beginning for baseball but it is unlikely the end of the changes. 

DJ

Predictions Sure to Go Wrong 9.0

It is once again time for our feeble attempt at predicting the future. What will happen during the 2023 MLB season? No one knows for sure, but we offer our best guesses. If history is any guide our predictions will be horribly wrong. Wrong during the Regular Season and wrong during the Postseason. One thing we are certain of is our friend Jason is giving his predictions for the first time. Time will tell if he is any better at predicting the future than the rest of us. We like to think we have a basic understanding of baseball and the Major Leagues, but ultimately we are human and humans are biased thus we make mistakes. Our track record is poor, so trust our predictions at your own risk. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOrioles
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed Sox

The American League East could be a four team race. The Blue Jays and Yankees are the division favorites, but it is hard to sleep on the Rays. Tampa Bay always seems to be better than they appear. The Orioles have built a solid young team that is ready to compete with the rest of the division. Baltimore might need another year of seasoning before they threaten the Postseason, but they will begin seeing the results of their rebuild. The Red Sox will have a long Summer. Adding players like Justin Turner, do not win divisions. Boston may hang around for a while, but tickets should be cheap at Fenway by August. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigers
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyals

Could the American League Central finally not be the worst division in baseball. None of the teams are in the World Series conversation, but several have real hopes for October. The White Sox improved by getting a new manager. Byron Buxton’s health is key in Minnesota after the Twins got Carlos Correa back after his well traveled off season. The Guardians have built a solid team around Jose Ramirez. The Tigers are trending in the right direction, but their season is focused on sending Miguel Cabrera into retirement. The Royals…well they get to play baseball too. 

Carlos Correa came back to Minnesota after an offseason of traveling the baseball world. (David Berding/ Getty Images)

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)Mariners
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngels
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangers
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAtheltics

Will the Astros finally stop winning? Doubtful. They lost Justin Verlander, but added Jose Abreu. The Mariners are back and still a great team, they should challenge Houston. Surely the Angels will put together a winning season that makes Shohei Ohtani pause before leaving in free agency. What a waste if the Angels are terrible again with Mike Trout and Ohtani healthy. The Rangers added Jacob deGrom. They have the big name pieces, now they just need to come together. What a sad way for the Athletics to spend their final season in Oakland. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhillies
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationals

The Braves have built another dynasty. The division is theirs for the taking despite the Mets spending more money on free agents than all the gold at Fort Knox. The Mets will be great, but will they be Amazin? The Phillies caught fire at the right time last season to make an unexpected run to the World Series, they are unlikely to catch lightning in a bottle twice. The Marlins are improving, but like their other good young cores, how long will these players stay in Miami? Marlins fans are waiting for the trades to begin. The Nationals fell hard after their World Series victory and have yet to show signs of life. Washington is in for a long rebuild. 

The New York Mets paid a king’s ransom in the hope of building a World Series winning team. (Jason Vinlove/ Getty Images)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubs
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsReds
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

The Nationals League Central is a two team race. The Cardinals never slump and even with Yadier Molina retiring they got better. The Brewers continue to play some of the best baseball in the Majors, but can they overcome St. Louis and win the division? A lot has to go right for Milwaukee to avoid the Wild Card. The Cubs have a lot of good pieces, but they are not contenders. Maybe they play .500 baseball but they need more pieces before they dream of October again. The Reds and Pirates are rebuilding. They have a few young players already in the Majors and a ton of prospects in the Minors. The team that does the best job developing that talent will be the first to return to relevance.  

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiants
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacks
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockies

The Padres try and try, but they have been unable to knock off the Dodgers. This season is no different. The Padres will be very good, but the Dodgers will be great. The Giants are trying to contend again, but they missed in free agency and the mountain is just too high to climb. The Diamondbacks have a solid core around which they should become a contender in a few seasons. Arizona needs Corbin Carroll to play up to his contract. The Rockies are a mess. Technically they are rebuilding, but what have they done to get better?

Postseason

Just get into the Postseason. If you can make it to October anything can happen. The Phillies last season are a great example. They nearly turned a disastrous season into a championship winning one. The Postseason is even more unpredictable than the Regular Season. 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardians
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwins
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue Jays
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgers
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMets
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadres
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewers

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue Jays
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankees
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardians

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinals
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadres
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBraves
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgers

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankees
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstros

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBraves
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadres

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBraves
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstros
Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves are on a path to the World Series. (Michael Reaves/ Getty Images)

Congratulations to the World Series Champion Atlanta Braves!

Time will tell if we are correct. There is plenty that can go right and wrong for a team between now and October. No matter what happens, baseball fans are in for another great season. Happy Baseball!

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, KB, & JL

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 8.0

Surprising no one, we were wrong. We were wrong last year and the year before that and the year before that. It is almost certain we will be wrong this year and next year. Trying to be positive, we are consistent. The 2022 season was unpredictable, as we will demonstrate below. 

Looking back at our predictions before the 2022 season, if you made it to the Postseason, you had a chance. You can run up the score in October. The Regular Season is one point for a correct prediction of each team’s final divisional standing. The scoring system changes in the Postseason: two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. 

A scoring system is necessary to determine who made the best predictions. No one was close to perfection, we were the opposite of perfect. So let’s look back at what did not happen in the 2022 season.  

American League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysPoutine Commandos *YankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesRaysBlue Jays
YankeesEvil EmpireSoxYankeesRed SoxYankeesRays
Red SoxThe Team With the Truest FansRaysRed SuxBlue JaysRed SoxOrioles
OriolesBean Town BrosOriolesOriolesOriolesOriolesRed Sox

Derek, Kevin, Bernie, and the Winning Run all swung and missed on the American League East. Not a great start. No one guessed the Rays would finish in the middle of the pack. The most competitive division in baseball was unpredictable. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
White SoxDaniel TigersSoxWhite SoxWhite SoxWhite SoxGuardians
TigersSpidersTwinsTigersTigersTigersWhite Sox
TwinsSouth SideTigersTwinsTwinsTwinsTwins
RoyalsMonarchsOf The GalaxyGuardiansGuardiansGuardiansTigers
GuardiansTwinkiesRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyals

Jesse whiffed on the American League Central. The Twins and the Royals were easy choices for the rest of us. We thought the White Sox would roll and the Guardians would flounder. Wrong. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
MarinersTrouts *AstrosAstrosAngelsAstrosAstros
AstrosTrashtrosHalosAngelsMarinersAngelsMariners
AngelsElephantsRangersMarinesAstrosMarinersAngels
RangersCaptain AhabsKrakenRangersRangersRangersRangers
AthleticsDangersLas VegasAthleticsAthleticsA’sAthletics

Jesse missed on back to back divisions. Derek knew what the bottom of the American League West would look like. Houston and Oakland were easy picks. Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani deserve better. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BravesBravos *ReigningPhilliesBravesBravesBraves
PhilliesAmazinsPhilliesBravesMetsPhilliesMets
MetsFishMetsMarlinsPhilliesMetsPhillies
MarlinsPholliesMarlinsMetsMarlinsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationals

Bernie had the first perfect division. Everyone but Kevin was on their game for the National League East. The Nationals had a clean sweep for the basement and we knew the Mets were never destined for first place.

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BrewersLittle Red MachineMillerBrewersCardinalsBrewersCardinals
CardinalsEt Tu Brew Crew?CardsCardinalsBrewersCardinalsBrewers
RedsBuccosReds?RedsCubsRedsCubs
CubsHarry Caray’sCubsCubsRedsCubsReds
PiratesThe only one I know is VottoRoster spotPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

Is there a sadder division in baseball than the National League Central. Three teams are actively rebuilding. It was a two team race from Opening Day. Despite the lack of quality baseball Bernie had another perfect prediction. Derek, John, Kevin, and The Winning Run only predicted last place. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
DodgersMcDoubles *DodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgers
GiantsBiggunsPadresGiantsPadresPadresPadres
PadresL7 WeeniesGiantsPadresGiantsGiantsGiants
RockiesJohn DenversDiamondsRockiesRockiesRockiesDiamondbacks
DiamondbacksWhy bother showing upSadnessDiamondbacksDiamondbacksDiamondbacksRockies

Bernie mixed up the Rockies and the Diamondbacks, otherwise he would have had a perfect National League. John rebounded for his own perfect division. Jesse hit nothing but air. The Dodgers were the easy top pick, then it was a lot of disappointment. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Bernie- 18
  2. John- 14
  3. The Winning Run- 12
  4. Derek- 9
  5. Kevin- 8
  6. Jesse- 7

After the Regular Season, Bernie held a solid four point lead over John. Jesse prayed to Saint Ruth for October to be kinder to him than the Regular Season. It was still anybody’s race.

The Phillies came out of nowhere to reach October. (Tim Nwachukwu/ Getty Images)

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
AL Wild Card 1YankeesDaniel TigersChisoxWhite SoxWhite SoxRaysMariners
Blue JaysTrashtrosBoSoxTigersTigersAngelsBlue Jays
AL Wild Card 2RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesTigersGuardians
AstrosEvil EmpireTwinsYankeesMarinersAstrosRays

Only Derek foresaw the American League Wild Card with the Rays and Blue Jays. However, everyone got points to begin the Postseason. The Yankees were high on our predictions and they were a disappointment. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NL Wild Card 1BravesLittle Red MachineCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesPhillies
CardinalsEt Tu Brew CrewPadresPadresGiantsPadresCardinals
NL Wild Card 2PhilliesBiggunsBrewersGiantsMetsCardinalsPadres
GiantsL7 WeeniesPhilliesBravesPadresPhilliesMets

John, Bernie, and the Winning Run were nearly perfect in the National League Wild Card. The Padres and Giants were quite popular, but with very different outcomes. 

Standing after the Wild Card

  1. Bernie- 26
  2. John- 22
  3. The Winning Run- 20
  4. Derek- 17
  5. Kevin- 12
  6. Jesse- 11

Bernie maintained his four point lead over John. Derek crept closer to The Winning Run. Jesse and Kevin were off to a slow start. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALDS 1Blue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
MarinersTrashtrosJaysRaysTigersRaysGuardians
ALDS 2RaysTroutsAstrosWhite SoxAngelsWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamChisoxAstrosYankeesAstrosMariners

Only John predicted more than one team correctly in the American League Divisional Series. The Yankees and Astros were popular, although New York did better than our predictions by not using the Wild Card to reach the ALDS. The White Sox disappointing season was on display in our predictions. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLDS 1BrewersBravosDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
BravesBiggunsBrewersGiantsPadresCardinalsBraves
NLDS 2DodgersMcDoublesBravesPhilliesBravesBrewersPadres
GiantsEt Tu Brew CrewCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesDodgers

Everyone had at least two correct predictions, as Bernie’s tear through the National League continued with three correct predictions. The Braves and Dodgers did not disappoint in the National League Divisional Series. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Bernie- 42
  2. John- 38
  3. The Winning Run- 32
  4. Derek- 29
  5. Kevin- 24
  6. Jesse- 23

Bernie’s four point lead continued to hold. Derek and The Winning Run were fighting for third place. Meanwhile Jesse and Kevin were battling for last place. Two rounds left, but plenty of points were still available. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALCSBlue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesRaysRaysWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamAstrosWhite SoxAngelsRaysYankees

John was perfect in the American League Championship Series with the Yankees and Astros. Everyone else completely missed. Bernie kissed his four point lead goodbye. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLCSBrewersBravosBravesDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
GiantsMcDoublesDodgersPhilliesCardinalsBravesPadres

Jesse and Kevin came to life with one correct prediction in the National League Championship Series. John could not repeat his magic. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run struck out.

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Bernie’s four point lead was now a 12 point deficit. Kevin and The Winning Run were tied for third with Jesse just one point behind. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run were all done after missing on both Championship Series. It was not good for these three. 

We did not think the Astros would make the World Series, much less win it. (Jerome Miron- USA TODAY Sports)

World Series

World SeriesDerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysBravosYankeesDodgersDodgersWhite SoxAstros
BrewersSteve Irwin Hates This TeamBravesRaysAngelsDodgersPhillies
Blue JaysBravosYankees in 7Dodgers in 6AngelsWhite SoxAstros

None of us saw the Astros or Phillies in the World Series coming. We had 12 chances to get one team right and whiffed all 12 times. At least the majority of our World Series teams made the Postseason. We are bad at predicting baseball, but 2022 was especially horrific. 

Standings after the World Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Congratulations John. You were the best predictor of us all, at least for the 2022 season. 

The man at the top our of predictions this year loves his Yankees even in the Texas heat. (The Winning Run/DJ)

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB