Tagged: Baltimore Orioles

Predictions Sure To Go Wrong 10.0 

The 2024 MLB season has begun. Little is certain in baseball, even a few weeks into the season. While we are super late getting our predictions posted this year, we nevertheless feel strongly that even with a small sample size we will continue our tradition of being terrible at predicting the future. Despite a decade of failure we continue on. Here are our predictions for the 2024 MLB season. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
Orioles Camden CrushersYankeesOriolesBmoreOrioles
Blue Jays (5)God’s Waiting Room (5)Orioles (5)Blue Jays (5)Yankees (4)Yankees (5)
RaysFree HealthcareJaysYankees (6)Tampa Bay (5)Blue Jays (6)
YankeesAaron’s BoondoggleRaysRaysTorontoRays
Red SoxWe all went Red SoxRedSuxRed SoxRed SuxRed Sox

It will be a dreadful season at Fenway. Meanwhile in Baltimore, the future is arriving. The young, and hyped, Orioles could make a deep run if their young stars live up to expectations. The Yankees, Blue Jays, and Rays could have terrific or horrific seasons. Both are possible. The American League East is not the juggernaut it once was. 

Can the Orioles youth live you to the hype? (Mitch Stringer- USA TODAY Sports)

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsTwinsClevelandTwins
TigersTwinkies (6)ChiSox (6)GuardiansTwinkiesGuardians
GuardiansBridge StatuesTigersTigersRoyalsWhite Sox
White SoxKate’s ReplacementsGuardiansRoyalsTigersTigers
RoyalsTony the TigersRoyalsWhite SoxWhite SuxRoyals

The American League Central remains the weakest division in baseball. Top to bottom there is not a single team capable of making a deep run in October. Minnesota should walk away with the division, but are they really a good team? The only surprise could be Detroit, where the improving Tigers could make a run at relevancy…maybe. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersWalker: TexasRangersAstrosRangersRangers
Astros (4)Trashtros (4)Astros (4)Rangers (4)Astros (6)Astros (4)
Mariners (6)Seamen of the PoopdeckMarinersMarinersMarinersMariners
AngelsRendon’s RascalsAngelsAthleticsAngelsAngels
ElephantsVegasPatheticsAngelsAthleticsAthletics

The Rangers and Astros will fight it out for the division and Wild Card. The Mariners need everything to go right to play meaningful baseball in September. The Angels should be thankful for the Athletics, otherwise they would finish last. The Oakland/Sacramento/Vegas A’s are a mess. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBraves BravesBravesBraves
Phillies (5)Phollies (4)Phillies (5)Phillies (5)Philly (5)Phillies (5)
MarlinsFish (6)MarlinsMetsFishMarlins
MetsAmazinsMetsMarlinsMetsMets
NationalsGnats (will face relegation)NationalsNationalsNatsNationals

The Phillies are a very good team, but the Braves are a great team. The division once again runs through Atlanta. Philadelphia will position itself for the Wild Card. The Marlins and Mets need to have a special season if they want their fans to watch beyond the All Star Break. This is the last year of the Nationals’ Cherry Blossom jerseys. 

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesBrewersCubsReds
Cardinals (6)Red BirdsReds (6)CubsReds (6)Cardinals (6)
CubsHot Dog RaceCardinalsRedsBrewersCubs
BrewersBuccosCubsCardinalsCardinalsBrewers
PiratesWrigleyvilleBrewersPiratesPiratesPirates

The Cardinals look to bounce back from one of the worst, and surprising, seasons in franchise history. The Reds have a great young line up, but do they have the pitching? We picked the Cubs to finish literally everywhere, so your guess is as good as ours. The Brewers are on the way down. Are the Pirates finally on the way up? 

The Reds have the bats to compete. (www.bleacherreport.com)

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GullysDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers
Diamondbacks (4)Nope Ropes (5)Dodgers (4)Diamondbacks (4)Giants (4)Diamondbacks (4)
GiantsBig macsGiantsPadres (6)DBacksGiants
PadresAngre thePadresGiantsPadresPadres
RockiesCoorsRockiesRockiesRockiesRockies

The Dodgers should roll through the division, again. Arizona is hoping last season was not a fluke, but the start of sustained success. The Giants might hang around for a while before fading, but the real story is further south. Is this the year that San Diego finally plays up to their contracts or will this era of Padres baseball be loathed for their inability to compete? Just a friendly reminder, the Rockies are a Major League Baseball team. 

Postseason 

The Regular Season is chaotic, but the Postseason is unpredictable. The best team does not always win the World Series. Instead, teams look to get hot at the right moment. October is treacherous. The secret is simply, finding a way to win. The best players and teams do not always win, but will they in 2024? 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
TwinsSouthsideTwinsYankeesClevelandTwins
MarinersTwinkiesChiSoxTwinsAstrosYankees
Blue JaysTrashtrosAstrosBlue JaysYankeesAstros
AstrosGod’s Walking RoomOriolesRangersTampa BayWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RedsSkylinePiratesPadresCubsReds
CardinalsFishRedsBrewersRedsCubs
DiamondbacksPholliesPhilliesPhilliesGiantsPhillies
PhilliesNope RopesDodgersDiamondbacksPhilliesDiamondbacks

The Wild Card is a guessing game. The Astros could dominate the season and still be in the Wild Card. The Yankees, Phillies, and Diamondbacks might be a touch below the great teams, but that separation could force them to fight through the Wild Card. Unexpected teams can find themselves looking to continue their run through the Wild Card. This is what makes the Wild Card round the most chaotic and entertaining of the Postseason. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
AstrosSouthsideRangersRangersBmoreAstros
OriolesCamden CrushersAstrosOriolesAstrosOrioles
RangersTrashtrosYankeesYankeesRangersYankees
MarinersWalker: TexasTwinsAstrosYankeesRangers

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
DodgersVince GulleysBravesPhilliesDodgersDodgers
PhilliesNope RopesPhilliesDodgersGiantsPhillies
BravesBravosDiamondbacksPadresBravesBraves
RedsFishPiratesBravesRedsDiamondbacks

Is this the year the Astros begin to fade away or will their run of success continue? Texas attempts to win back to back World Series titles, but it is no easy task. The Orioles are on the rise, but can they play deep into October or will they have to wait until next year? The Dodgers and Braves are on a collision course yet again. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
OriolesSouthsideYankeesYankeesBmoreOrioles
RangersTrashtrosRangersOriolesYankeesRangers

Experience matters in big games. Keeping calm allows teams to play their best in high stress situations. The Rangers have been through the fight before. Veteran leadership and poise keeps the noise down. Baltimore is coming. The Orioles have a bright future ahead, but their youth can only take them so far this season. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
BravesBravosBravesBravesBravesBraves
DodgersNope RopesDiamondbacksDodgersDodgersDodgers

If ever there was a guarantee in baseball it is that the National League runs through the Braves and Dodgers. The other 13 teams must beat one or both of these talented and dominant teams if they want to win the National League pennant. The Diamondbacks played spoiler last season, can they do it again or will a new spoiler arise? 

The Braves look to win another World Series in 2024. (Rich Schultz/ Getty Images)

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinThe Winning Run
RangersSouthsideYankeesOriolesBravesBraves
BravesBravosBravesDodgersYankeesRangers

The Braves and Rangers have the talent and experience to make it through the chaos of the Postseason. Both teams are filled with stars and role players that contribute to their team’s success. However, there can only be one World Series champion. 

Congratulations to the Atlanta Braves for winning their fifth World Series Championship. History says the Fall Classic will not follow our predictions, but time will tell. 

Happy Baseball.

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 9.0 

What a shock! Few foresaw the Rangers defeating the Diamondbacks in the 2023 World Series. We certainly did not. Despite trying to predict the outcome of the last nine MLB seasons, we continue to know nothing. We were incredibly bad in 2023. The season was filled with great stories and terrible collapses. The Mets were the Mets and baseball was its usual unpredictable self. We may have been terrible at predicting the season, but how bad was it? 

Really bad. Our scoring system is designed to clearly show who is the best at predicting the baseball season before the first pitch is thrown. Points are scored in the following ways: a correct prediction of a team’s final divisional standings in the Regular Season is one point, two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. We were far from perfect. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)Orioles
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)Rays
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRaysBlue Jays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOriolesYankees
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed SoxRed Sox

Our predictions got off to a rough start. Jesse was the only one to have multiple correct predictions with the Rays in second and Blue Jays in third. Derek, Bernie, Kevin, Jason, and The Winning Run all knew it would be a bad season in Boston. John missed completely. Not a great start, but hope springs eternal.

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)Twins
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)Tigers
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)Guardians
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigersWhite Sox
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyalsRoyals

Again we knew who would be bad. The Royals never inspired us. Jason knew the White Sox would be only slightly better than last place. Bernie found the Guardians finishing third. He was the only one to have more than a single correct pick. John was now 0 for 2 divisions. A second straight division of bad predictions did not inspire confidence in the rest of our picks. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)Astros
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)MarinersRangers
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngelsMariners
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangersAngels
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAthleticsAthletics 

Finally we got on track. Derek for some reason decided the Astros were not going to win the division again. He was the only one. Everyone knew the poor A’s would be eliminated on Opening Day. Kevin and Jason had the end of the Ohtani era with the Angels again finishing fourth and out of October. Jesse had the Mariners falling back after a great 2022 season to third place. John had the Rangers finishing just behind the Astros. Everyone except Derek got back on track. How would we do in the National League? 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)Braves
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)Phillies
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhilliesMarlins
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlinsMets
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationalsNationals 

Maybe it was our fandom, or just logic, but the Braves were the easy choice in the National League East. The Nationals were equally easy to finish in the basement. In between was more challenging. The Mets out Mets themselves to finish fourth. Kevin got the first perfect divisional prediction. Bernie whiffed because he had too much confidence in the Nationals. 

The Mets failed on so many levels in 2023 (John Bazemore/ Associated Press)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)Brewers
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)Cubs
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubsReds
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsRedsPirates
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesCardinals

The National League Central was a mystery. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run all whiffed. Derek had the Pirates in fourth, while John and Kevin had the Cubs in second. We did not predict the disaster that was the Cardinals, as everyone had them winning the division. The Reds also surprised us with their third place finish. Brutal. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)Dodgers
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)Diamondbacks
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiantsPadres
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacksGiants
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockiesRockies

The Dodgers in first and Rockies last were easy. The Diamondbacks surprised everyone with their surge to the National League Pennant. The slide that cost Gabe Kapler his job was easy to see coming. The Padres tried and failed to contend. Kevin only mixed up the Padres and Diamondbacks. Bernie whiffed again, striking out on the entire National League. Making predictions is hard, as we proved yet again. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Kevin- 13
  2. Jesse- 10
  3. Jason- 9
  4. Derek- 8
  5. John- 8
  6. The Winning Run- 8
  7. Bernie- 5

At the end of the Regular Season only Kevin was halfway decent. It had been a long miserable Summer for everyone else. Bernie missed the Senior Circuit, but he was only three points behind Derek, John, and The Winning Run. Could things turn around for the better in October or were we doomed by our bad predictions? 

Postseason 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardiansTwins
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwinsBlue Jays
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue JaysRangers
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite SoxRays

John found his groove in the Wild Card. He had the Twins, Blue Jays, and Rangers. Jesse, Bernie, Jason, and The Winning Run had two correct picks each in the Wild Card. Kevin’s good luck hit hard times, while Derek continued to show how little he knows about the future of baseball. This was a bad time to make bad predictions. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgersDiamondbacks
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMetsBrewers
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadresPhillies
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewersMarlins

Kevin reversed his fortunes with two correct picks. Everyone else had either the Phillies or Brewers. Bernie finally had a correct National League prediction. While it was good to have at least one correct prediction, it was not great that the majority of our picks were terrible. 

Standings after the Wild Card

  1. Kevin- 17
  2. Jesse- 16
  3. John- 16
  4. Jason- 15
  5. The Winning Run- 14
  6. Bernie- 11
  7. Derek- 10

The Wild Card round helped John and Bernie rebound from the Regular Season. Bernie was out of the basement. Derek was terrible as he took Bernie’s place. Kevin saw his lead shrink. The Wild Card created chaos, as predicted. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue JaysTwins
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankeesRangers
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardiansOrioles

The Astros were the easy pick, even Derek had Houston playing in the Divisional Series. Jesse also had the Twins, giving him points over everyone else. Otherwise our predictions were living in a fantasy land. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinalsDiamondbacks
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadresDodgers
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBravesPhillies
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgersBraves

The Braves and Dodgers were easy picks. The National League ran through them. Only Bernie missed Los Angeles. Jesse with the Phillies and Kevin with the Diamondbacks had a third team in the Divisional Series. Jesse was making moves while the rest of us languished. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Jesse- 36
  2. Kevin- 33
  3. John- 28
  4. Jason- 27
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Jesse launched past Kevin. Derek and Bernie were duking it out for last place. None of us were doing well. Our predictions were trash. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankeesRangers
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstrosAstros

The Astros kept marching towards the World Series. Jesse, John, Jason, and The Winning Run knew this. Derek, Bernie, and Kevin did not get the memo. Derek and Bernie continued fighting in the cellar. Kevin’s whiff hurt his title chances. Besides Houston, we had no clue on the American League. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBravesDiamondbacks
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadresPhillies

We were terrible at the American League. We were clueless about the Senior Circuit. The Mets and Padres Regular Season failures haunted us. Both the Braves and Dodgers failed to live up to October expectations. What were we thinking? 

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Kevin plummeted down the rankings. Derek and Bernie readied for a futility throw down. Jesse’s lead looked hard to beat, but the Fall Classic awaited us. Kevin, Jason, and John were within striking distance if Jesse faltered. 

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning RunReality
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBravesRangers
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstrosDiamondbacks

We suck. None of us predicted either World Series team. A big swing and miss. There would be no last second change in the standings. Try as we might, we know nothing about the future of baseball. 

Final Standings

  1. Jesse- 44
  2. John- 36
  3. Jason- 35
  4. Kevin- 33
  5. The Winning Run- 26
  6. Derek- 22
  7. Bernie- 19

Congratulations Jesse, you are the best among us at predicting the 2023 MLB season. We were all terrible, but you were slightly less terrible. Maybe in 2024 we will be better…doubtful. 

DJ

Rookie of the Year

Teams are successful when they develop talent, not simply purchase free agents. The George Steinbrenner Yankees were often accused of buying championships, but they did develop talent. Success is turning draft picks and international signings into Major League players. The Rookie of the Year Award recognizes the best first year player in each league. Created in 1947, there was a single Award for the first two seasons, but since 1949 each league has a winner. While it is an individual award, the Rookie of the Year Award should also be viewed as an organizational award. If a franchise is consistently producing quality Major League caliber players they will eventually have one worthy of the award. The Diamondbacks are the last of the 30 Major League teams to have a Rookie of the Year. It took 25 years for Arizona to achieve. While it may have taken longer than expected for a player like Corbin Carroll to arrive, Arizona has finally completed the task. 

The inaugural Rookie of the Year Award was presented to Jackie Robinson after the most difficult rookie season in Major League history. Al Dark of the Boston Braves won in 1948. In 1949, Roy Sievers of the St. Louis Browns won the first American League Rookie of the Year Award. In more than 75 years since its creation, the Dodgers reigned supreme at producing elite rookies. The Dodgers have won a record 18 times, four in Brooklyn and 14 in Los Angeles. The Yankees are second with nine. 

The expectation was the Expansion teams would be among the last to have a Rookie of the Year. When expansion’s first wave came in 1961, only the Cubs and Pirates had yet to win the Rookie of the Year. However, the Cubs won their first Rookie of the Year in 1961 with the future Hall of Famer Billy Williams. This left Pittsburgh as the last non-expansion team without the award. Surely the Pirates could produce an elite rookie at some point. Instead, 12 of the 14 Expansion teams developed a Rookie of the Year before Pittsburgh. Finally, in 2004 Jason Bay put together a rookie campaign deemed worthy, giving the Pirates their first Rookie of the Year. Only the Tampa Bay Devil Rays and Arizona Diamondbacks had yet to win the award in 2004. Both franchises began play in 1998. The Pirates lack of success is just another disappointment in an ever growing list. 

Corbin Carroll is the Diamondbacks first Rookie of the Year. Arizona was the last remaining team without a Rookie of the Year winner. (Rob Leiter/ MLB Photos)

Simply winning the Rookie of the Year Award does not guarantee success beyond that first season in the Majors. Every player has the best season of their career, and for some it is that first season. There are others, who build upon their initial success. They finish their careers among the greatest ever. There are 19 players who won the Rookie of the Year Award and then had a Hall of Fame career

  1. Jackie Robinson- Brooklyn Dodgers, 1947
  2. Willie Mays- New York Giants, 1951
  3. Frank Robinson- Cincinnati Reds, 1956
  4. Luis Aparicio- Chicago White Sox, 1956
  5. Orlando Cepeda- San Francisco Giants, 1958
  6. Willie McCovey- San Francisco Giants, 1959
  7. Billy Williams- Chicago Cubs, 1961
  8. Tony Oliva- Minnesota Twins, 1964
  9. Tom Seaver- New York Mets, 1967
  10. Rod Carew- Minnesota Twins, 1967
  11. Johnny Bench- Cincinnati Reds, 1968
  12. Carlton Fisk- Boston Red Sox, 1972
  13. Andre Dawson- Montreal Expos, 1977
  14. Eddie Murray- Baltimore Orioles, 1977
  15. Cal Ripken Jr.- Baltimore Orioles, 1982
  16. Jeff Bagwell- Houston Astros, 1991
  17. Mike Piazza- Los Angeles Dodgers, 1993
  18. Derek Jeter- New York Yankees, 1996
  19. Scott Rolen- Philadelphia Phillies, 1997

In addition to these 19 Hall of Famers, there are five more players who will join them in Cooperstown when they are eligible. There will certainly be more, but these five are all but guaranteed to be enshrined in the Hall of Fame.  

  1. Albert Pujols- St. Louis Cardinals, 2001
  2. Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle Mariners, 2001
  3. Justin Verlander- Detroit Tigers, 2006
  4. Bryce Harper- Washington Nationals, 2012
  5. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels, 2012

The Rookie of the Year Award celebrates the best new talent in the Majors each season. The players selected each season are not guaranteed a long and successful career, nor are they doomed to mediocrity. One great season does not define a player, but it can gain them recognition. Teams are tasked with developing the players and their success is reflected in winning the Rookie of the Year Award. It is nearly impossible to win multiple seasons in a row, but a team should consistently produce good, young players. Occasionally one should win the award. The Dodgers have figured out how to do just that, and the Pirates have not. All 30 MLB teams have now had a Rookie of the Year winner. Who adds to their list next season?  

DJ

Welcome to October

The Regular Season is over and the Postseason has arrived.  The easy wins are in the past. October is only for teams that earned the right to play for a title. The Braves have been on a roll all season. The Dodgers and Orioles are dangerous. None of this matters, because anything is possible in the Postseason. The 2022 Phillies are proof that a run to the World Series is all about timing. Yes, Philadelphia came up short last October but no one expected them to play for the National League pennant, much less the World Series. The Postseason is truly unpredictable, which is why October is the best. 

Who will Rob Manfred present a piece of metal to this year? (New York Post Sports)

Who wins it all this year? Only the baseball gods know. The disappointing teams are gone, it is time for baseball’s best to compete for a championship. Will the elite teams roll to the World Series or will a surprise team get hot at the right time? Enjoy the best baseball of the year while it lasts.

DJ

Predictions Sure to Go Wrong 9.0

It is once again time for our feeble attempt at predicting the future. What will happen during the 2023 MLB season? No one knows for sure, but we offer our best guesses. If history is any guide our predictions will be horribly wrong. Wrong during the Regular Season and wrong during the Postseason. One thing we are certain of is our friend Jason is giving his predictions for the first time. Time will tell if he is any better at predicting the future than the rest of us. We like to think we have a basic understanding of baseball and the Major Leagues, but ultimately we are human and humans are biased thus we make mistakes. Our track record is poor, so trust our predictions at your own risk. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue Jays (1)Steinbrenners (2)Yankees(2)Yankees (2)Maple leafs (2)Yankees (2)Yankees (2)
Yankees (5)Devil Rays (5)Blue JaysBlue Jays (4)Yankees (4)Blue Jays (4)Blue Jays (4)
RaysCanadiansMontreal RaysOriolesDevil rays (6)OriolesRays
OriolesBean EatersRed SuxRaysBmoreRaysOrioles
Red SoxCamdenOriolesRed SoxRed SuxRed SoxRed Sox

The American League East could be a four team race. The Blue Jays and Yankees are the division favorites, but it is hard to sleep on the Rays. Tampa Bay always seems to be better than they appear. The Orioles have built a solid young team that is ready to compete with the rest of the division. Baltimore might need another year of seasoning before they threaten the Postseason, but they will begin seeing the results of their rebuild. The Red Sox will have a long Summer. Adding players like Justin Turner, do not win divisions. Boston may hang around for a while, but tickets should be cheap at Fenway by August. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians (3)(Jeff) Bridges (3)GuardsWhite Sox (3)ChiSox (3)Cleveland (3)Guardians (3)
White SoxTwinkies (4)TwinksTwinsFlaming RiversTwins (5)White Sox (5)
TwinsSouthsideChisoxGuardiansTwinsRoyalsTwins (6)
TigersKittehsRoyalsTigersRawrWhite SoxTigers
RoyalsMonarchsTigresRoyalsKCTigersRoyals

Could the American League Central finally not be the worst division in baseball. None of the teams are in the World Series conversation, but several have real hopes for October. The White Sox improved by getting a new manager. Byron Buxton’s health is key in Minnesota after the Twins got Carlos Correa back after his well traveled off season. The Guardians have built a solid team around Jose Ramirez. The Tigers are trending in the right direction, but their season is focused on sending Miguel Cabrera into retirement. The Royals…well they get to play baseball too. 

Carlos Correa came back to Minnesota after an offseason of traveling the baseball world. (David Berding/ Getty Images)

American League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Mariners (2)Trashtros (1)Cheaters (1)Astros (1)Trashtros (1)Astros (1)Astros (1)
Astros(4)Halos (6)RangersAngels (5)Kraken (5)Mariners (6)Mariners
Angels (6)SubmarinersOhtanisRangers (6)RangersRangersAngels
RangersBrett MarteeenMarinersMarinersHalosAngelsRangers
AthleticsWhite ElephantsLas VegasAthleticsLas VegasOaklandAtheltics

Will the Astros finally stop winning? Doubtful. They lost Justin Verlander, but added Jose Abreu. The Mariners are back and still a great team, they should challenge Houston. Surely the Angels will put together a winning season that makes Shohei Ohtani pause before leaving in free agency. What a waste if the Angels are terrible again with Mike Trout and Ohtani healthy. The Rangers added Jacob deGrom. They have the big name pieces, now they just need to come together. What a sad way for the Athletics to spend their final season in Oakland. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves (1)Braves (2)BravesPhillies (3)Braves (1)Braves (1)Braves (2)
Mets (4)Amazins (4)MetsBraves (5)Phillies (5)Mets (5)Mets (6)
PhilliesFollies (6)PhilsMetsFishPhilliesPhillies
MarlinsFishMarlinsNationalsAmazingsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNatsMarlinsNatsNationalsNationals

The Braves have built another dynasty. The division is theirs for the taking despite the Mets spending more money on free agents than all the gold at Fort Knox. The Mets will be great, but will they be Amazin? The Phillies caught fire at the right time last season to make an unexpected run to the World Series, they are unlikely to catch lightning in a bottle twice. The Marlins are improving, but like their other good young cores, how long will these players stay in Miami? Marlins fans are waiting for the trades to begin. The Nationals fell hard after their World Series victory and have yet to show signs of life. Washington is in for a long rebuild. 

The New York Mets paid a king’s ransom in the hope of building a World Series winning team. (Jason Vinlove/ Getty Images)

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Cardinals (3)Redbirds (3)CardinalsCardinals (2)Uncle Tickles (3)Cardinals (4)Cardinals (1)
Brewers (6)BrewcrewCubbiesBrewersCubbiesBrewers (6)Brewers (5)
CubsHarray CarraysBeersCubsDrunksCubs WINCubs
PiratesCin CityDredsRedsTeam of catchersRedsReds
RedsBuccosPiratesPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

The Nationals League Central is a two team race. The Cardinals never slump and even with Yadier Molina retiring they got better. The Brewers continue to play some of the best baseball in the Majors, but can they overcome St. Louis and win the division? A lot has to go right for Milwaukee to avoid the Wild Card. The Cubs have a lot of good pieces, but they are not contenders. Maybe they play .500 baseball but they need more pieces before they dream of October again. The Reds and Pirates are rebuilding. They have a few young players already in the Majors and a ton of prospects in the Minors. The team that does the best job developing that talent will be the first to return to relevance.  

National League West

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Dodgers (2)Dodger Dogs (1)PadresPadres (1)Dodgers (2)Padres (2)Dodgers (3)
Padres (5)McD’s (5)DodgersDodgers (4)Friars (4)Dodgers (3)Padres (4)
GiantsMcCovey’s CoveDbacksGiants (6)Dbacks (6)DiamondbacksGiants
DiamondbacksSnecksGiantsRockiesGiantsGiantsDiamondbacks
RockiesCoorsRockiesDiamondbacksDecisional Front OfficeColoradoRockies

The Padres try and try, but they have been unable to knock off the Dodgers. This season is no different. The Padres will be very good, but the Dodgers will be great. The Giants are trying to contend again, but they missed in free agency and the mountain is just too high to climb. The Diamondbacks have a solid core around which they should become a contender in a few seasons. Arizona needs Corbin Carroll to play up to his contract. The Rockies are a mess. Technically they are rebuilding, but what have they done to get better?

Postseason

Just get into the Postseason. If you can make it to October anything can happen. The Phillies last season are a great example. They nearly turned a disastrous season into a championship winning one. The Postseason is even more unpredictable than the Regular Season. 

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Guardians(Jeff) BridgesGuardsWhite SoxChiSoxClevelandGuardians
AngelsHalosTwinksRangersDevil RaysMarinersTwins
AstrosTwinkiesJaysBlue JaysYankeesBlue JaysBlue Jays
YankeesDevil RaysRangersAngelsKrakenTwinsWhite Sox

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
CardinalsRedbirdsCardsPhilliesUncle TicklesCardinalsDodgers
BrewersFolliesPhilsGiantsDbacksMetsMets
MetsAmazinsDodgersDodgersFriarsDodgersPadres
PadresMcD’sMetsBravesPhilliesBrewersBrewers

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtrosCheatersAstrosTrashtrosAstrosAstros
AstrosTwinkiesGuardsAngelsKrakenBlue JaysBlue Jays
MarinersSteinbrennersYankeesYankeesMaple leafsYankeesYankees
Angels(Jeff) BridgesJaysWhite SoxDevil RaysClevelandGuardians

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesDodger DogsPadresPadresBravesBravesCardinals
PadresAmazinsCardsGiantsFriarsMetsPadres
DodgersBravesBravesCardinalsDodgersPadresBraves
CardinalsFolliesDodgersBravesDbacksDodgersDodgers

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Blue JaysTrashtorsCheatersAngelsMaple LeafsAstrosYankees
Mariners(Jeff) BridgesYankeesYankeesKrakenYankeesAstros

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
BravesAmazinsPadresPadresBravesBravesBraves
DodgersBravesBravesBravesDodgersDodgersPadres

World Series

DerekJesseJohnBernieKevinJasonThe Winning Run
Braves(Jeff) BridgesPadresYankeesKrakenAstrosBraves
Blue JaysBravesCheatersPadresBravesBravesAstros
Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves are on a path to the World Series. (Michael Reaves/ Getty Images)

Congratulations to the World Series Champion Atlanta Braves!

Time will tell if we are correct. There is plenty that can go right and wrong for a team between now and October. No matter what happens, baseball fans are in for another great season. Happy Baseball!

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, KB, & JL

Hit The Ball!

Baseball ain’t what it used to be. How many times have you heard this complaint by someone who is aggravated by the current state of the game? Baseball is forever evolving, this makes the game better over time. Not every change is good, but baseball is better today than it was in the 1890’s.  

Not every player is Hall of Famer Wee Willie Keller. In 1899 he set an unbreakable record. In 570 At Bats, Keller struck out twice. It is not unusual for players to strike out twice in a single game. Keller’s 285 At Bats per Strikeout will never be approached. In 1995, Tony Gwynn was the last player to enter the top 500, striking out once every 35.67 At Bats. Gwynn was an outlier in today’s baseball. The focus has shifted from putting the ball in play to hitting for power. The decline of the batter refusing to strikeout is accelerating. 2005 was the last time a player went a full Major League season averaging more than 20 At Bats per Strikeout. 

Placido Polanco is not a Hall of Famer. He was a slightly below average hitter, 95 OPS+, during his 16 season career. His glove was more valuable than his bat. However, in 2005 Polanco had one of the best seasons of his career. Despite a midseason trade from the Phillies to the Tigers, Polanco played in 129 Games, made 551 Plate Appearances, 501 At Bats, collected 166 Hits, 33 Walks, 25 Strikeouts, with a .331 BA, .383 OBP, .447 SLG, .830 OPS, and 120 OPS+. He put the ball in play. Polanco had a .333 BABIP, 4.5 SO%, 6.0 BB%, and sprayed the baseball to all fields; 26.1 Pull %, 53.9 Center %, and 19.9 Oppo %. Polanco posted a 20.04 AB/SO, well ahead of second place Jason Kendall’s 15.4 AB/SO and light years ahead of the league average 5.4 AB/SO. 

Placido Polanco knew his value with the bat was avoiding strikeouts. (Hunter Martin/ Getty Images)

Polanco hit against both leagues after Philadelphia traded him to Detroit on June 8, 2005 for Ramon Martinez and Ugueth Urbina. He played 59 games for the Phillies and 70 for the Tigers. Polanco struckout in only 20 games, 15.5% of games played. He struck out once in 15 games and twice in five. He struck out in back to back games three times. Polanco went 12 games between strikeouts five times. His longest streak without a strikeout was 19 games and 70 At Bats. He played in 109 games without a strikeout. 

About those two strikeout games, Polanco struckout in back to back At Bats in four of his five two strikeout games. He whiffed twice on May 20th and 21st vs the Orioles. After joining the Tigers he struck out twice against CC Sabathia on August 5th vs the Indians and against Cliff Lee on August 31st vs Indians. Baltimore and Cleveland were the only teams that could fool Polanco.  

Polanco’s season was not the result of manipulation. He qualified for the batting title. Polanco finished second, .004 behind Derrek Lee for the best Batting Average in baseball. A player must have 3.1 Plate Appearances per game for 162 games to qualify for the batting title. Polanco needed 502 Plate Appearances to qualify, he had 551. He did not lead either league in a statistical category, nor was he an All Star. The Phillies finished second in the National League East without Polanco and the Tigers finished fourth in the American League Central with him. A great season was easily overlooked. 

How impressive was Polanco’s 2005 season? Only Tommy La Stella’s 16.33 AB/SO in the 2020 Covid shortened season has topped 15.00 in the last decade. La Stella was an outlier in 2020, as DJ LeMahieu was second with 9.29 AB/SO. The balance of power shifted to the pitchers after the Steroid Era. Domination on the mound has made multiple strikeout games common. The rule changes MLB put in place for the 2023 season aims to reduce some of the pitching dominance. Time will tell if Placido Polanco is the last Major Leaguer to have a 20.00 AB/SO in a season. 

DJ

Predictions That Did Go Wrong 8.0

Surprising no one, we were wrong. We were wrong last year and the year before that and the year before that. It is almost certain we will be wrong this year and next year. Trying to be positive, we are consistent. The 2022 season was unpredictable, as we will demonstrate below. 

Looking back at our predictions before the 2022 season, if you made it to the Postseason, you had a chance. You can run up the score in October. The Regular Season is one point for a correct prediction of each team’s final divisional standing. The scoring system changes in the Postseason: two points for predicting the Wild Card, four for the Divisional Series, eight for the Championship Series, and 16 for the World Series and the Champion. A perfect score is 158 points. 

A scoring system is necessary to determine who made the best predictions. No one was close to perfection, we were the opposite of perfect. So let’s look back at what did not happen in the 2022 season.  

American League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysPoutine Commandos *YankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesRaysBlue Jays
YankeesEvil EmpireSoxYankeesRed SoxYankeesRays
Red SoxThe Team With the Truest FansRaysRed SuxBlue JaysRed SoxOrioles
OriolesBean Town BrosOriolesOriolesOriolesOriolesRed Sox

Derek, Kevin, Bernie, and the Winning Run all swung and missed on the American League East. Not a great start. No one guessed the Rays would finish in the middle of the pack. The most competitive division in baseball was unpredictable. 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
White SoxDaniel TigersSoxWhite SoxWhite SoxWhite SoxGuardians
TigersSpidersTwinsTigersTigersTigersWhite Sox
TwinsSouth SideTigersTwinsTwinsTwinsTwins
RoyalsMonarchsOf The GalaxyGuardiansGuardiansGuardiansTigers
GuardiansTwinkiesRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyals

Jesse whiffed on the American League Central. The Twins and the Royals were easy choices for the rest of us. We thought the White Sox would roll and the Guardians would flounder. Wrong. 

American League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
MarinersTrouts *AstrosAstrosAngelsAstrosAstros
AstrosTrashtrosHalosAngelsMarinersAngelsMariners
AngelsElephantsRangersMarinesAstrosMarinersAngels
RangersCaptain AhabsKrakenRangersRangersRangersRangers
AthleticsDangersLas VegasAthleticsAthleticsA’sAthletics

Jesse missed on back to back divisions. Derek knew what the bottom of the American League West would look like. Houston and Oakland were easy picks. Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani deserve better. 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BravesBravos *ReigningPhilliesBravesBravesBraves
PhilliesAmazinsPhilliesBravesMetsPhilliesMets
MetsFishMetsMarlinsPhilliesMetsPhillies
MarlinsPholliesMarlinsMetsMarlinsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationals

Bernie had the first perfect division. Everyone but Kevin was on their game for the National League East. The Nationals had a clean sweep for the basement and we knew the Mets were never destined for first place.

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
BrewersLittle Red MachineMillerBrewersCardinalsBrewersCardinals
CardinalsEt Tu Brew Crew?CardsCardinalsBrewersCardinalsBrewers
RedsBuccosReds?RedsCubsRedsCubs
CubsHarry Caray’sCubsCubsRedsCubsReds
PiratesThe only one I know is VottoRoster spotPiratesPiratesPiratesPirates

Is there a sadder division in baseball than the National League Central. Three teams are actively rebuilding. It was a two team race from Opening Day. Despite the lack of quality baseball Bernie had another perfect prediction. Derek, John, Kevin, and The Winning Run only predicted last place. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
DodgersMcDoubles *DodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgers
GiantsBiggunsPadresGiantsPadresPadresPadres
PadresL7 WeeniesGiantsPadresGiantsGiantsGiants
RockiesJohn DenversDiamondsRockiesRockiesRockiesDiamondbacks
DiamondbacksWhy bother showing upSadnessDiamondbacksDiamondbacksDiamondbacksRockies

Bernie mixed up the Rockies and the Diamondbacks, otherwise he would have had a perfect National League. John rebounded for his own perfect division. Jesse hit nothing but air. The Dodgers were the easy top pick, then it was a lot of disappointment. 

Standings after the Regular Season

  1. Bernie- 18
  2. John- 14
  3. The Winning Run- 12
  4. Derek- 9
  5. Kevin- 8
  6. Jesse- 7

After the Regular Season, Bernie held a solid four point lead over John. Jesse prayed to Saint Ruth for October to be kinder to him than the Regular Season. It was still anybody’s race.

The Phillies came out of nowhere to reach October. (Tim Nwachukwu/ Getty Images)

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
AL Wild Card 1YankeesDaniel TigersChisoxWhite SoxWhite SoxRaysMariners
Blue JaysTrashtrosBoSoxTigersTigersAngelsBlue Jays
AL Wild Card 2RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesTigersGuardians
AstrosEvil EmpireTwinsYankeesMarinersAstrosRays

Only Derek foresaw the American League Wild Card with the Rays and Blue Jays. However, everyone got points to begin the Postseason. The Yankees were high on our predictions and they were a disappointment. 

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NL Wild Card 1BravesLittle Red MachineCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesPhillies
CardinalsEt Tu Brew CrewPadresPadresGiantsPadresCardinals
NL Wild Card 2PhilliesBiggunsBrewersGiantsMetsCardinalsPadres
GiantsL7 WeeniesPhilliesBravesPadresPhilliesMets

John, Bernie, and the Winning Run were nearly perfect in the National League Wild Card. The Padres and Giants were quite popular, but with very different outcomes. 

Standing after the Wild Card

  1. Bernie- 26
  2. John- 22
  3. The Winning Run- 20
  4. Derek- 17
  5. Kevin- 12
  6. Jesse- 11

Bernie maintained his four point lead over John. Derek crept closer to The Winning Run. Jesse and Kevin were off to a slow start. 

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALDS 1Blue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesJaysRaysBlue JaysYankees
MarinersTrashtrosJaysRaysTigersRaysGuardians
ALDS 2RaysTroutsAstrosWhite SoxAngelsWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamChisoxAstrosYankeesAstrosMariners

Only John predicted more than one team correctly in the American League Divisional Series. The Yankees and Astros were popular, although New York did better than our predictions by not using the Wild Card to reach the ALDS. The White Sox disappointing season was on display in our predictions. 

National League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLDS 1BrewersBravosDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
BravesBiggunsBrewersGiantsPadresCardinalsBraves
NLDS 2DodgersMcDoublesBravesPhilliesBravesBrewersPadres
GiantsEt Tu Brew CrewCardsBrewersCardinalsBravesDodgers

Everyone had at least two correct predictions, as Bernie’s tear through the National League continued with three correct predictions. The Braves and Dodgers did not disappoint in the National League Divisional Series. 

Standings after the Divisional Series

  1. Bernie- 42
  2. John- 38
  3. The Winning Run- 32
  4. Derek- 29
  5. Kevin- 24
  6. Jesse- 23

Bernie’s four point lead continued to hold. Derek and The Winning Run were fighting for third place. Meanwhile Jesse and Kevin were battling for last place. Two rounds left, but plenty of points were still available. 

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
ALCSBlue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesRaysRaysWhite SoxAstros
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamAstrosWhite SoxAngelsRaysYankees

John was perfect in the American League Championship Series with the Yankees and Astros. Everyone else completely missed. Bernie kissed his four point lead goodbye. 

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
NLCSBrewersBravosBravesDodgersDodgersDodgersPhillies
GiantsMcDoublesDodgersPhilliesCardinalsBravesPadres

Jesse and Kevin came to life with one correct prediction in the National League Championship Series. John could not repeat his magic. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run struck out.

Standings after the Championship Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Bernie’s four point lead was now a 12 point deficit. Kevin and The Winning Run were tied for third with Jesse just one point behind. Derek, Bernie, and The Winning Run were all done after missing on both Championship Series. It was not good for these three. 

We did not think the Astros would make the World Series, much less win it. (Jerome Miron- USA TODAY Sports)

World Series

World SeriesDerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning RunReality
Blue JaysBravosYankeesDodgersDodgersWhite SoxAstros
BrewersSteve Irwin Hates This TeamBravesRaysAngelsDodgersPhillies
Blue JaysBravosYankees in 7Dodgers in 6AngelsWhite SoxAstros

None of us saw the Astros or Phillies in the World Series coming. We had 12 chances to get one team right and whiffed all 12 times. At least the majority of our World Series teams made the Postseason. We are bad at predicting baseball, but 2022 was especially horrific. 

Standings after the World Series

  1. John- 54
  2. Bernie- 42
  3. Kevin- 32
  4. The Winning Run- 32
  5. Jesse- 31
  6. Derek- 29

Congratulations John. You were the best predictor of us all, at least for the 2022 season. 

The man at the top our of predictions this year loves his Yankees even in the Texas heat. (The Winning Run/DJ)

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB

2023 Hall of Fame Ballot

The 2023 Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot is filled with talented players who spent at least a decade playing on a Major League diamond. The election results will be announced tomorrow, January 24th. As is tradition, The Winning Run has filled out its own officially unofficial ballot. We have been writing about baseball for more than a decade, but we lack the credentials to be full voting members of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America (BBWAA). No matter, we humbly submit our ballot anyway.

There are 28 candidates on the 2023 Hall of Fame ballot. Each hopes to join Fred McGriff, who was elected in December through the Contemporary Era Committee, in Cooperstown. There are 14 returning candidates and 14 first year candidates on the ballot. The 2023 ballot is also the final year of eligibility for Jeff Kent. If he is not elected this year, his path into the Hall of Fame will be through the committees. 

The BBWAA is the sole voting body for the National Baseball Hall of Fame. As such, only members of the BBWAA who meet the following eligibility requirements can vote.

Voter Eligibility 

  1. Any member of the Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) who has been an active member for ten years.
  2. The BBWAA is limited to writers for newspapers only, including some internet newspapers. 

The BBWAA sets the rules for how eligible voters can vote.

Voting Rules

  1. Vote for no more than 10 players.
  2. A player is eligible for election to the Baseball Hall of Fame if they meet the following criteria:
    1. They competed in ten seasons. A single game counts as a season played.
    2. The player has been retired for at least five seasons. The clock restarts if the player returns and plays in the Major Leagues.
    3. The player is not on the ineligible list; banned from baseball. 
  3. The player must receive 5% of the vote to remain on the ballot.
  4. The player is elected if they receive at least 75% of all ballots cast. 

In addition to the official voting rules for the Baseball Hall of Fame set forth by the BBWAA, The Winning Run has its own rule for its ballot. 

The Winning Run Rules

  1. Known PED users are ineligible.

Every player dreams of reaching the Major Leagues and playing at such a level that their ultimate destination is Cooperstown. However, this dream is a reality for only 1% of those who reach the Major Leagues. Thousands of players begin their careers dreaming of the Hall of Fame and never spend a single day on a Major League roster. The difficulty of reaching the Major Leagues makes simply appearing on the Hall of Fame ballot, even for a single year, an accomplishment reserved for baseball’s elites. Making the ballot is an honor, even if the candidate does not receive a single vote.

The honor of appearing on the 2023 Hall of Fame ballot belongs to these 28 candidates, their year of eligibility, and percentage of the Hall of Fame vote received in 2022. 

  1. Scott Rolen- 6th (63.2%)
  2. Todd Helton- 5th (52.0%)
  3. Billy Wagner- 8th (51.0%)
  4. Andruw Jones- 6th (41.4%)
  5. Gary Sheffield- 9th (40.6%)
  6. Alex Rodriguez- 2nd (34.3%)
  7. Jeff Kent- 10th (32.7%)
  8. Manny Ramirez- 7th (28.9%)
  9. Omar Vizquel- 6th (23.9%)
  10. Andy Pettitte- 5th (10.7%)
  11. Jimmy Rollins- 2nd (9.4%)
  12. Bobby Abreu- 4th (8.6%)
  13. Mark Buehrle- 3rd (5.8%)
  14. Torii Hunter- 3rd (5.3%)
  15. Carlos Beltran- 1st
  16. John Lackey- 1st
  17. Jered Weaver- 1st
  18. Jacoby Ellsbury- 1st
  19. Matt Cain- 1st
  20. Jhonny Peralta- 1st
  21. Jayson Werth- 1st
  22. J.J. Hardy- 1st
  23. Mike Napoli- 1st
  24. Bronson Arroyo- 1st
  25. R.A. Dickey- 1st
  26. Francisco Rodriguez- 1st
  27. Andre Ethier- 1st
  28. Huston Street- 1st

Following our own rule, 5 of the 28 candidates were removed from consideration due to their connections with PEDs. 

  1. Gary Sheffield
  2. Alex Rodriguez
  3. Manny Ramirez
  4. Andy Pettitte
  5. Jhonny Peralta

This left 23 candidates on our ballot, from which we could vote for a maximum of 10. The choices are never easy. Previous ballots we have unofficially voted on have contained more than 10 Hall of Fame caliber candidates. Reviewing our ballot from 2022 helped in beginning the voting process. Were the 10 players we voted for last year still the best choices? The Winning Run’s ballot last year listed these 10 candidates: 

  1. Bobby Abreu (8.6%)
  2. Mark Buehrle (5.8%)
  3. Todd Helton (52.0%)
  4. Tim Hudson (3.0%)
  5. Torii Hunter (5.3%)
  6. Andruw Jones (41.4%)
  7. Jeff Kent (32.7%)
  8. Tim Lincecum (2.3%)
  9. Scott Rolen (63.2%)
  10. Billy Wagner (51.0%)

Based upon the voting, none of our candidates were elected to Cooperstown. Two of our votes are open again as Tim Hudson and Tim Lincecum failed to receive the minimum 5% of votes. This left us with eight returning candidates on this year’s ballot. This is our unofficially official 2023 ballot.  

We removed Torii Hunter from our ballot and replaced him with Jimmy Rollins. Hunter was our final choice on last year’s ballot. Rollins was on the ballot in 2022, but after reexamining every candidate, we concluded that Rollins was the more deserving candidate. Hall of Fame voting is not a perfect process, which we have previously examined. The process too is foiled because the voters themselves are imperfect. Reaching rational decisions is not easy when more than 300 voters must agree for a candidate to reach Cooperstown. Francisco Rodriguez and Carlos Beltran took our two open votes. Both are deserving first year candidates. Torii Hunter and Omar Vizquel were the top candidates not receiving our vote. None of these men are flawless, but their off the field actions have no impact on our voting. Yes the character clause exists, but they who are without fault shall cast the first stone. The Winning Run used all 10 of our votes, but we wanted 12.

Who will join Fred McGriff in Cooperstown this summer? (Stephen Dunn/ Getty Images)

Francisco Rodriguez pitched for five teams during his 16 season career: Anaheim/ Los Angeles of Anaheim Angels (2002-2008), New York Mets (2009-2011), Milwaukee Brewers (2011-2013, 2014-2015), Baltimore Orioles (2013), and Detroit Tigers (2016-2017). Rodriguez pitched in 948 Games, Finished 677 Games, converted 437 Saves, Pitcher 976 Innings, posted a 52-53 record, 1,142 Strikeouts, 389 Walks, with a 2.86 ERA, 1.155 WHIP, and 148 ERA+. He won the 2002 World Series with the Angels. He was a six time All Star and twice the American League Rolaids Relief Award winner. Rodriguez finished in the top four of Cy Young Award voting three times. He led baseball in Saves three times and Saved 40 Games six times. Rodriguez’s 437 career Saves are the fourth most all time, behind Hall of Famers Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Lee Smith

Jimmy Rollins helped to set the standard for modern Shortstops. He played for three teams during his 17 season career: Philadelphia Phillies (2000-2014), Los Angeles Dodgers (2015), and Chicago White Sox (2016). Rollins played in 2,275 Games, collected 2,455 Hits, 511 Doubles, 115 Triples, 231 Home Runs, 936 RBI, 1,421 Runs scored, 470 Stolen Bases, 813 Walks, 1,264 Strikeouts, posted a .264 BA, .324 OBP, .418 SLG, .743 OPS, and 95 OPS+. Rollins led the National League in Triples four times. He stole 30 Bases ten times. Rollins was a three time All Star, won four Gold Gloves, a Silver Slugger, and the 2007 National League MVP. Defensively, Rollins played 2,227 Games at Shortstop, totally 19,513.2 Innings, had 9,275 Chances, made 2,982 Putouts, 6,139 Assists, committed 154 Errors, turned 1,249 Double Plays, and posted a .983 Fielding %. Rollins played the sixth most Games at Shortstop, the most not in the Hall of Fame. He is 20th in Assists and 12th in Double Plays. He was one of the leaders for the Phillies in their 2008 World Series victory. 

Carlos Beltran went from young phenom to wise veteran. He played for seven teams during his 20 season career: Kansas City Royals (1998-2004), Houston Astros (2004, 2017), New York Mets (2005-2011), San Francisco Giants (2011), St. Louis Cardinals (2012-2013), New York Yankees (2014-2016), and Texas Rangers (2016). Primarily patrolling Centerfield, Beltran played in 2,586 Games, collected 2,725 Hits, 565 Doubles, 78 Triples, 435 Home Runs, 1,587 RBI, 1,582 Runs scored, 312 Stolen Bases, 1,084 Walks, 1,795 Strikeouts, posted a .279 BA, .350 OBP, .486 SLG, .837 OPS, 119 OPS+. Defensively, he had above average Range for two decades. He won the 1999 American League Rookie of the Year. Beltran was a nine time All Star, won three Gold Gloves, and two Silver Sluggers. He helped five different teams reach the Postseason and provided the veteran leadership, not always within the rules, the Astros needed to win the 2017 World Series. 

Removing Torii Hunter from our ballot was not fun. He was our final selection last year, but his career still deserves recognition. Additionally, Omar Vizquel once again comes up short because of his lack of offense. 

We will find out tomorrow if anyone will join Fred McGriff in Cooperstown. There are many deserving candidates, but we must wait to see if 75% of the writers can agree. 

DJ

30 for 30 Memories by the Game

One year ago we finished the 30 MLB Games in 30 days road trip. There are a lifetime of memories from that month on the road. I could fill a library and still leave things out. Instead of the full catalog, below are some memories from each of the 30 games. The memories are not all from the games, some happened before or after the games. 

Game #1- St. Louis Cardinals

After the game was over we began walking down the walkway to exit the stadium from our cheap seats. We were not in a hurry, our hotel was just across the Mississippi River. Traffic however would make the 10 mile drive take over two hours. As we walked the stadium paramedics came by on their cart. As they turned around the switch back one of the paramedics dropped their adult beverage. It went everywhere. Good to know the paramedics were going to be hung over in the morning. 

All smiles and full of energy before Game 1 in St. Louis. (The Winning Run/ DJ)

Game #2- Cincinnati Reds

The Reds were in the process of blowing a lead against the Brewers. The Cincinnati faithful were occupying themselves with the Wave. The man behind us began complaining, telling his wife, and anyone else within earshot, that the Reds were blowing the lead because the fans were doing the Wave. It was a curse. They needed to stop or the Reds would lose. His wife told him the Wave was fine. He continued his diatribe. Finally she had had enough and told him if he continued they were going home. He stopped, but about three minutes and a few more Milwaukee hits later, he could take no more. The rant resumed. True to her word, his wife made him leave. True to his word the Reds blew the lead and lost the game. 

Game #3- Philadelphia Phillies

The first real test of the road trip was the drive from Cincinnati to Philadelphia. The nine hour drive for the Sunday day game meant driving several hours before the sun came up. Getting out of bed and on the road when three was the first number on the clock was a critical moment. Were we serious about this? After hours in the darkness across Ohio, we were greeted by fog in Pennsylvania. Once the fog finally lifted, the City of Brotherly Love gave us a traffic jam. Our energy was not impacted by the early start. It was the beginning of a month with little sleep because of baseball.

Game #4- Washington Nationals

The Nationals absolutely destroyed the Marlins. The game was over long before the final out. Through the powers of the internet we joined some of the original Nationals season ticket holders in their seats. We were quickly taught the chant they led every time Washington scored. 

N-A-T-S NATS NATS NATS WOOO!!!!

Nothing better than a good natured chant when the crowd is into the game. However, the difficulty came from Washington winning 18-1. After a while, all the chanting makes even the biggest baseball fan tired. Totally worth it though. 

Game #5- Atlanta Braves

We stayed with my parents and went to the game with Jesse, John, and my college roommates. The game between the Braves and Padres was nothing spectacular. Freddie Freeman hit a monster home run to seal the game for Atlanta. A home cooked meal and familiar surroundings were great, even just five days into the trip. 

Familiar faces, like my college roommates were critical to keeping us sane during the road trip. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #6- Tampa Bay Rays

One of my goals for the trip was to get into America’s four major bodies of water: the Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and the Great Lakes. The Gulf of Mexico was up first. After the noon game, which turned out to be kids summer camp day, I found a park on the drive to Miami for a quick dip. This was Kevin’s first trip to Florida and the Gulf of Mexico. We walked across the burning sand and into the water. As expected it was like bath water. This was a shock to Kevin. He grew up in New York and lived in California, so to him ocean water is cold. The primal, soul crushing noise he let out still makes me laugh a year later. 

Game #7- Miami Marlins

Kevin wanted Cuban food in Miami. We went to El Rey de las Fritas. Whenever I travel, eating local food is an important part of the journey. Walking in, it was quickly clear we were the only non native Spanish speakers in the restaurant. After trying, and butchering, our order in Spanish we were served the best meal I have had in a long time. Everything was delicious. Our Spanish was terrible, but we tried. Lots of smiling, pointing, and broken Spanish goes a long way. 

El Rey de las Fritas was the best meal of the trip. Eat local. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #8- Houston Astros

Miami to Houston is a long drive. We called and told the hotel valet in Miami to get the car at 2 AM. He didn’t believe us. When we got downstairs he took his sweet time getting Donkey, our rental car, costing us a half an hour. Making it to Houston meant we stopped only for gas. Hour after hour of driving before finally reaching the Florida-Alabama line, where Kevin declared he would never return to the Sunshine State. We were on track to reach Houston in time, but hit traffic within sight of the Houston skyline. 1,200 miles and we missed first pitch because of a slow, mandatory valet and Houston traffic. We tried. 

Game #9- Kansas City Royals

Driving through Oklahoma we saw field after field of cows. It was lunchtime so a hamburger was the obvious choice. We stopped at a local chain and ordered two sack fulls, five burgers per bag. Five regular hamburgers and five cheese burgers. It was some of the worst food of our lives. The bread was stale and the meat was crunchy. Yes, crunchy. They were so bad we only managed to choke down four of the ten burgers. They were horrific, which made no sense after driving by so many cows. 

Kauffman Stadium is underrated. We got better seats thanks to family connections. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #10- Minnesota Twins

No Mike Trout. Injuries kept us from seeing the multi-time MVP, so we had to settle for Shohei Ohtani. While he was not pitching, we did get to see him demolish a baseball, sending it on a line over the high wall in Right Field. Even from our seats in the upper deck, the demolition was jaw dropping. It is one thing to see a special player on TV, it is another to see them in person. 

Game #11- Chicago Cubs

Sitting in the Bleachers at Wrigley is a must. Much like sitting near the Bleacher Creatures at old Yankee Stadium, it gives you a feel for how the die hard fans live and die. The Cubs won on a walk off Single by Javier Baez. He taunted Amir Garrett as he strolled to First Base. Wrigley erupted as the Friendly Confines began another rendition of Go Cubs Go. Kevin’s hatred for in-stadium sing alongs softened a touch with Go Cubs Go. However the song length quickly returned things to normal. Walk off wins are the best.

Baseball is better with friends. Someone new to talk to was always a welcome change. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #12- Cleveland Indians

The opportunity to do the 30 in 30 was not without hesitation, specifically missing out on time with my daughter. 30 days is a long time in the life of a child. Fortunately my wife was willing to meet us as we drove from Chicago to Cleveland for a few hours of fun at the playground plus ice cream. This meetup simultaneously reinvigorated and hurt me as once again I left because of baseball. Pushing a swing, sliding down a slide, and sharing an ice cream are the best things in life. 

Game #13- Baltimore Orioles

Camden Yards is one of the most beautiful ballparks in baseball. Unfortunately we went on a week night to watch the Orioles play the Marlins. Both teams were bad. The incredibly small crowd meant the ballpark lacked the energy so many have described in Baltimore. The announced crowd was a lie, there could not have been more than 2,000 people at the game. You could hear the players and umpires talking. The lackluster crowd necessitates a return trip to Baltimore for another Orioles game to experience the real Camden Yards. 

A return trip to Camden Yards is required now that the Orioles are winning again. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #14- Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park is a special place to watch a baseball game. However the game we saw between the Red Sox and Blue Jays was anything but special. Toronto brutalized Boston as a light rain fell for most of the game. The crowd was quickly taken out of the game. The nail in the Red Sox’s coffin was a monster Home Run by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The ball seemed to be rising as it soared over the Green Monster and into the Boston night. It remains one of the hardest hit baseballs I have ever seen. 

Fenway Park is always magical, regardless of the play on the field. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #15- Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh and PNC Park was the very first baseball road trip Kevin, Bernie, and I did together. The ballpark is aging, but remains one of the most beautiful in all of baseball. After missing out on the Pirates Hawaiian Shirt giveaway we walked to our seats. It was crowded, as the Pirates were hosting the Phillies. We kept walking past insanely long concession lines. The Pirates had not anticipated the crowd and the lack of workers created hours long lines. We moved from the crowded cheap seats behind home plate to the Left Field corner. Several guys near our new seats went to get beer for themselves and girlfriends in the Third Inning. They returned in the Seventh empty handed. They had waited in line the entire time only to miss out as beer sales ended before reaching the front of the line. I felt bad for the workers. 

Game #16- New York Mets

Citi Field is one of my favorites. Did the Mets build a second stadium under LaGuardia’s flight path? Yes, but they built a cathedral. Kevin and I met in graduate school in New Jersey and spent years around New York. A trip back to the city was a relief. It was a trip down memory lane, plus we were able to meet up with friends. New people to talk to and share stories with. Two days back in familiar territory and without driving was invigorating. 

Game #17- New York Yankees

The real MVP of the Yankees was not Aaron Judge, Anthony Rizzo, or anyone wearing pinstripes. It was a cat. A cat on the field to be exact. Kevin’s curse on his beloved Yankees continues, as they lose every time he goes to a game when they play the Orioles. The game was dragging when suddenly our hero appeared. Running away from security like every streaker’s dreams. The cat bolted under and around security, up the outfield wall, and everywhere in between. The thunderous chants of “MVP, MVP, MVP” for our hero quickly turned to boos as security ushered the cat off the field. The cat was the real MVP as the Bronx Bombers lost again. 

Game #18- Detroit Tigers

Drinking a beer at a baseball game is a great way to enjoy America’s Pastime. Drinking several is expensive and can cause your mouth to run faster than your brain. A perfect example occurred in Detroit. Sitting behind the bullpens beyond the Leftfield wall we could enjoy the game and appreciate the pitching abilities of the relievers. A fellow fan clearly had too many and began heckling Boston’s Alex Verdugo. Nothing dirty or inappropriate. Then he went after Joe Jimenez as he warmed up because he was too drunk to realize Jimenez is a Tiger. His buddies finally took him home after he yelled, “Verdugo, you’ve got the butt of a teenage boy.” Sometimes even drunk frat guys know when to call it a night. 

Baseball is better with family. My brother-in-law met us in Detroit and took my camping gear home. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #19- Milwaukee Brewers

Miller Park, it will forever be Miller Park to me, feels like watching a baseball game in a greenhouse. The roof was open, but not the windows. It was not a particularly hot day, but do not tell this to the locals. The locals constantly complained about the heat as they cooked in the sun, it was in the mid 80s. They also complained about the walk up music. Casual racism about Dominican players walking to bat to Spanish music. “This music sucks. You know who would be better? Led Zeppelin”. Players can walk up to anything they want while you pay to see them play.

Game #20- Chicago White Sox

In Boston Kevin and I had stopped in an Irish Pub to grab food before the game. We were the only two people not in suits, with several people in tuxedos and formalwear. Fastford to Chicago. Kevin, Bernie, and I go to a place called The Game Room. We made an assumption based on the name. We were wrong. Kevin and I again found ourselves wildly underdressed and surrounded by suits in a classy place with a less than classy name. We all have special skills. 

Game #21- Colorado Rockies

Those poor Marlins. We once again watched their dismantling, this time by the Rockies. The only real highlight was once again watching Miami’s best pitcher take the mound. Sandy Leon, the backup catcher who had saved the bullpen by pitching in the blow out in Washington, came on to save the bullpen again. We watched the same position player pitch twice. 

Even the sprinklers could not dampen the electricity in the ballpark when Sandy Leon was on the mound. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #22- Los Angeles Dodgers

There was a landslide on Interstate 70 west of Denver. Routing around the landslide on another Interstate would have added hours. Hours we did not have to reach Dodger Stadium from Denver on time. We decided the fastest route was to take the detour through the back mountain roads of Colorado. We had to drive it immediately after the game because the time crunch did not allow for sleep and then drive in the daylight. I drove first. Bernie was supposed to stay awake with me. It was Kevin’s turn to sleep. A late night and ridiculously early morning start in Chicago meant Bernie soon fell asleep. I told Kevin I would wake him when I started the detour. I forget as I drove the darkest roads of my life. It was a New Moon with no street lights or paint on the road. Nothing but rock on one side and a black void on the other. Kevin eventually woke up and screamed “SLOW THE F#%* DOWN”. I was driving 12 MPH. Kevin could not go back to sleep after his mild heart attack. 

Game #23- Oakland Athletics

After a ground out to end the Top of the First, Matt Olson tossed the ball to Matt Chapman who showed off his throwing arm. I was watching the game while Bernie focused on his lunch and Kevin his phone. I saw the ball leave Chapman’s hand and I knew it was destined for the upper deck. We were the only one’s around. The ball was heading to our left and I immediately took off after it. I sprinted for the baseball as it came to rest in the next section over. I grabbed it and hoisted it high above my head, celebrating like a little kid. Finally, after a lifetime and a summer dedicated to baseball, I finally had the holy grail, a game used baseball direct from the field of play.

I finally have a game used baseball thanks to Matt Chapman’s throw from the field to the cheap seats. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #24- San Diego Padres

Petco Park is constantly named as one of the most beautiful ballparks in baseball. It is hard to argue against its beauty, but it would have taken a Perfect Game for Kevin to care. The Yankees were trying to implode and it was killing him. Instead of savoring one last game with our Marlins he sat watching the Yankees bullpen blow lead after lead on his phone. I captured the moment with a picture, which is one of my favorites of the entire trip. 

Kevin’s love for his Yankees was no match for the Padres. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #25- Toronto Blue Jays

The simplest of things make for the best memories. The Blue Jays and Angels were playing a Doubleheader and we did not have tickets to the first game. This required a trip to the Box Office where we received the only physical tickets of the trip. I did not expect a physical ticket, but the simple ticket brought a smile to my face. 

Game #26- Los Angeles Angels

The Baseball gods smiled upon us. We were meant to see the Blue Jays play in Buffalo on July 30th. However, while driving to Game 2 in Cincinnati, the Blue Jays announced their return to Toronto on…July 30th. The border was not open to American tourists until the middle of August. There was no way to see the Blue Jays play in Toronto. A global pandemic is why we did not see all 30 stadiums on this trip. However the baseball gods did rain out a Blue Jays vs Angels game in Dunedin earlier in the season. That game was made up on the day we were in Anaheim, August 10th. The teams took turns being the home team, thus we saw all 30 MLB teams as the home team during the trip. Close enough.

Game #27- Seattle Mariners

The people in front of us showed up wearing Mariners jerseys of players who had failed PED tests. One of them failed worse than his Robinson Cano jersey. Vape Bro decided to start puffing away in his seat and the usher quickly shut him down. Vape Bro started again and received both a no nonsense tongue lashing and an official written warning on a piece of red paper. Vape Bro was not happy with this reprimand. Fast forward about two hours and Vape Bro returns to his seat complaining. He apparently dropped his $100 vape on the stairs and it fell behind a fence. He asked the same usher from earlier to retrieve it for him. The usher said no. Vape Bro was despondent as we tried to not laugh in his face. 

 

The art work is on point in Seattle. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Game #28- San Francisco Giants

Kevin found one sing along he enjoyed. In San Francisco during a pitching change they played Party in the USA. The entire ballpark exploded into song. It was one of the most entertaining moments of the trip. Singing, dancing, happiness all around. We looked it up later that night, wondering if this was the West Coast version of Sweet Caroline. It is not. It seems to have been a completely random dance party, which only makes it better.

Game #29- Arizona Diamondbacks

After the Diamondbacks hit the final walk off of the road trip we began our overnight drive to Texas. Arizona was having Friday night fireworks, which kept most of the other fans in their seats, allowing us to make a quick get away. Almost as soon as we pulled out of the parking deck it began raining. A rainstorm in the desert, just as we expected. However as we drove east it began raining harder and harder. It was some of the hardest rain I can remember. The downpour continued uninterrupted from Phoenix to El Paso, where we met the rising run.

Game #30- Texas Rangers

We reached the metroplex of Dallas and Fort Worth a few hours before the 30th game began. Kevin and Bernie wanted to go to the hotel to rest, I knew if I did there was a very real possibility I would pass out. So I dropped myself off at the ballpark and walked around for a while. Jesse had set it up for me to get into the ballpark early through his connections with Rangers pitcher Brett Martin. While I waited I decided to grab something to eat. I was texting back and forth with Jesse when he asked what gate I was near. I sent him a selfie from the restaurant. A few moments later I hear, “Hey buddy!”. I look up and it is Jesse, John, and Jason. They flew in to surprise us for the final game. I had absolutely no idea they were coming. I was speechless. It was awesome. I am so glad I did not go to rest at the hotel. We did not get into the ballpark early due to the Texas Rangers Hall of Fame induction ceremony, but the surprise was even better. Kevin and Bernie got their own surprise when they showed up. 

Surprise visitors joined us in Texas for the final game. (The Winning Run/DJ)

Baseball and travel create memories. It took a year to plan the 30 in 30 road trip. Was it always easy? No. Were there moments when I questioned what we were doing? Yes. Would I do it again? In a heartbeat. 

DJ 

Predictions Sure To Go Wrong 8.0

We are getting a 162 game season after all. Despite the offseason drama, baseball is settling back into normalcy. The new CBA is in place and medical science is catching up with the pandemic, allowing baseball to continue uninterrupted. The offseason lockout meant the free agent and trade markets were condensed. This created a buzz around certain teams. Were these off season moves enough to bring them a World Series championship? Time will tell. 

American League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
Blue JaysPoutine Commandos *YankeesJaysRaysBlue Jays
RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesRays
YankeesEvil EmpireSoxYankeesRed SoxYankees
Red SoxThe Team With the Truest FansRaysRed SuxBlue JaysRed Sox
OriolesBean Town BrosOriolesOriolesOriolesOrioles
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Blue Jays will make a deep run in October. (Dan Hamilton- USA TODAY Sports)

Easily the toughest division in baseball. At least one of the Wild Card teams will come out of the American League East. Besides the Orioles, the other four teams all have a legitimate chance at the Postseason. Is there a more talented team than the Blue Jays? Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a legitimate MVP candidate for the next decade. Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio, and George Springer with the additions of Hyun Jin-Ryu, Matt Chapman, and Raimel Tapia add the firepower that could bring the World Series back to Canada. The American League East runs through Toronto. Only a fool would count out the Rays. Tampa Bay always finds a way to win on a budget. The Rays have Wander Franco under contract for the next decade. Can they attract talent at the Major League level, not just what they have stockpiled in the Minors? As always the expectations are sky high for the Yankees. The free spending days of George Steinbrenner are gone. Aaron Judge remains unsigned long term. He is the logical face of the franchise moving forward. Will Brian Cashman lock up Judge or face the wrath of the fanbase that is eager to make a serious run at a World Series? The other questions in the Bronx is can the pitching staff and Giancarlo Stanton stay healthy? The Red Sox added Trevor Story, moving him to Second Base as insurance if Xander Bogaerts leaves in free agency. Chris Sale is out with a stress fracture in his ribs. As great as Boston could be, they are in baseball’s toughest division. The expanded Postseason could help them reach October in a deep AL East, but we doubt it. Can the Orioles be eliminated before Opening Day? 

American League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
White SoxDaniel TigersSoxWhite SoxWhite SoxWhite Sox
TigersSpidersTwinsTigersTigersTigers
TwinsSouth SideTigersTwinsTwinsTwins
RoyalsMonarchsOf The GalaxyGuardiansGuardiansGuardians
GuardiansTwinkiesRoyalsRoyalsRoyalsRoyals

The White Sox did not mutiny against Tony La Russa last season. Perhaps the clash of old and new school was overblown. Chicago returns all of their stars including Jose Abreu and Tim Anderson. You can have all the style you want when you are winning, and the White Sox will do plenty of that. The Tigers have a chance to make a World Series push with Miguel Cabrera. The signing of Javy Baez and trading for Austin Meadows. The pieces are there. The question is can Detroit rise to its potential? The Twins look to bounce back from a last place finish. They added Carlos Correa and Chris Paddack, with the hopes of Byron Buxton staying healthy. Some pieces are in place, but climbing to the top of the Central is getting tougher. New name, but Cleveland will be a sad place to watch baseball in 2022. The Guardians have little to offer their fans beyond Jose Ramierez and Shane Bieber. This was not the beginning of the Guardians’ name Cleveland wanted. Kansas City has the old and the young. Zack Grienke is back and Salvador Perez never left. Bobby Witt Jr. is the next great Royal, it is assumed. Whit Merrifield continues to be quietly great. Things are turning around in Kansas City, but there is a long way to go.  

American League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
MarinersTrouts *AstrosAstrosAngelsAstros
AstrosTrashtrosHalosAngelsMarinersAngels
AngelsElephantsRangersMarinesAstrosMariners
RangersCaptain AhabsKrakenRangersRangersRangers
AthleticsDangersLas VegasAthleticsAthleticsA’s
Julio Rodríguez could help return the Seattle Mariners to the Postseason for the first time in decades. (Abbie Parr/Getty Images)

Have the Astros finally come to the end of their incredible, but controversial, run. George Springer, Carlos Correa, and Zack Greinke are gone. Only Jose Altuve remains. Justin Verlander is back and Kyle Tucker continues to impress. Despite the departures, Houston is still in the hunt for the AL West crown. The Angels are the most difficult team to win team MVP. If Mike Trout stays healthy, he and Shohei Ohtani could be first and second for the American League MVP. The biggest question in Anaheim is can these two talents propel the Angels to the Postseason. 90 wins was not enough for the second Wild Card last season. Despite Seattle’s disappointment and Kyle Seager’s retirement, the young team gained valuable experience. Top prospect Julio Rodriguez will begin the season in Seattle. The Mariners traded for Adam Frazier, Eugenio Suarez, and Jesse Winker. The reigning American League Cy Young winner, Robbie Ray, signed with Seattle. Put these newcomers together with the core already in place and the Postseason drought could finally end. Texas has a beautiful new ballpark and a brand new Double Play combination in Marcus Semien and Corey Seager. The Rangers are still missing almost everything else to be a contender. Texas will be better this season, but will not even contend in the division. The foundation has been laid. Ranger fans need patience, winning will come soon. The Athletics are barely a Major League team. Can you actually name a player left in Oakland? 

National League East

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
BravesBravos *ReigningPhilliesBravesBraves
PhilliesAmazinsPhilliesBravesMetsPhillies
MetsFishMetsMarlinsPhilliesMets
MarlinsPholliesMarlinsMetsMarlinsMarlins
NationalsGnatsNationalsNationalsNationalsNationals
The only thing harder than winning the World Series is repeating, will Ronald Acuna Jr. back can Atlanta return to the Fall Classic. (Kevin C. Cox/ Getty Images)

The Braves will try to repeat after losing Freddie Freeman to the Dodgers. Losing the face of the franchise usually kills any World Series hopes. However, the return of Ronald Acuna Jr, and the best infield in baseball of Ozzie Albies, Dansby Swanson, and Austin Riley should help Matt Olson settle in as Atlanta attempts to defend. The City of Brotherly Love is ready to win. The additions of Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos creates a high powered Phillies offense. They already have a good rotation. If all the pieces click, Philadelphia will be a serious contender. If they do not, it could be a long, ugly season. The Mets are gonna Mets. Despite having Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer as baseball’s best one two starting pitching punch, the summer boils down to the health of the two aces. Scherzer has a small tweak, while deGrom could miss several months. The season is already hanging in the balance. Derek Jeter is gone. It seems like he walked away after it became clear Miami was not trying to win. The Marlins have their annual roster of good, young players. Year after year Miami has future stars, and this year is no different. The question is will this group, including Sandy Alcantara, mesh together before they are all traded away. The Nationals are rebuilding. They sold off almost everything for prospects. The biggest question in Washington is can the Nationals rebuild fast enough to convince Juan Soto to stay long term. 

National League Central

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
BrewersLittle Red MachineMillerBrewersCardinalsBrewers
CardinalsEt Tu Brew Crew?CardsCardinalsBrewersCardinals
RedsBuccosReds?RedsCubsReds
CubsHarry Caray’sCubsCubsRedsCubs
PiratesThe only one I know is VottoRoster spotPiratesPiratesPirates

The National League Central is the weakest division in baseball. The Pirates, Cubs, and Reds are all rebuilding. The Cardinals are about to begin rebuilding. Only the Brewers are set up for success now and long term. Andrew McCutchen continues playing at a high level and adds more fire power to the Brewers lineup. Milwaukee has the best pitching staff from the rotation through the bullpen in baseball. If Christian Yelich bounces back there may not be a National League team that can stop the Brewers. Cardinals fans have one last season with Albert Pujols, Yadier Molina, and Adam Wainwright. It is more than a goodbye tour. St. Louis can contend for the National League Central crown and make a deep run in October. In baseball’s weakest division, the Reds can still contend. Cincinnati gutted itself. Eugenio Suarez, Jesse Winker, Sonny Gray, Tucker Barnhardt, and Amir Garrett are all gone. Spring Training for Joey Votto was full of new faces, like he was traded to a new team. He has been stuck on bad team after bad team, yet continues to build a possible Hall of Fame resume. The Cubs are at ground zero of their rebuild. The hope of keeping one or two of their championship pieces in Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, and Javy Baez is dead. They are all gone. The biggest draw on the northside of Chicago will be Wrigley Field. The Cubs are hoping it does not take 108 years to win their next World Series. Maybe the Pirates are rebuilding, but rebuilding means trying to win. 

National League West

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
DodgersMcDoubles *DodgersDodgersDodgersDodgers
GiantsBiggunsPadresGiantsPadresPadres
PadresL7 WeeniesGiantsPadresGiantsGiants
RockiesJohn DenversDiamondsRockiesRockiesRockies
DiamondbacksWhy bother showing upSadnessDiamondbacksDiamondbacksDiamondbacks
Will the San Diego Padres rise to their talents or fall under the pressure again? (Jeff Curry/ Getty Images)

The Dodgers are the George Steinbrenner Yankees without the outspoken owner. They are willing to spend big money to win. They have been one of the best teams over the last several seasons before signing Freddie Freeman. They replaced Kenley Jansen with Craig Kimbrel. Los Angeles is an early World Series favorite for sure. San Diego is easily the team with the most talent in the National League. Fernando Tatis Jr. should be in the MVP conversation every year. Manny Machado is a veteran but has plenty of great years ahead of him. Last season the Padres wilted under the pressure. Can they play with the best teams this season or will they wilt again? Carlos Rodon adds more firepower to the Giants rotation that outpaced the Dodgers in the Regular Season in 2021. Buster Posey’s retirement and Kris Bryant’s departure in free agency hurts, but San Francisco remains dangerous. The New York and now California rivalry is as hot as ever. Kris Bryant should sell tickets. The Rockies are hoping his draw lasts all season, as there is little hope for October in Colorado this season. Rocktober is the shortest month of the year, but it will not happen this year. The puzzling moves by the Rockies Front Office continue. If only Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story still played at Coors Field. Improving is relative in Arizona. If the Diamondbacks can avoid 100 losses in 2022 the season should be considered a success. They locked up Ketel Marte long term, but the Diamondbacks need much more to even reach .500. 

Postseason

The Postseason is the Wild West. The expanded Wild Card means a team can play average all season and then get hot in the last month of the Regular Season. They then carry that hot streak through October to the World Series parade. The beauty of October baseball is its unpredictability. Chaos reigns supreme. 

Can Shohei Ohtani help the Angels make the Postseason? (Wally Skalij/ Los Angeles Times)

American League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
AL Wild Card 1YankeesDaniel TigersChisoxWhite SoxWhite SoxRays
Blue JaysTrashtrosBoSoxTigersTigersAngels
AL Wild Card 2RaysSteve Irwin Hates This TeamJaysRaysYankeesTigers
AstrosEvil EmpireTwinsYankessMarinersAstros

National League Wild Card

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
NL Wild Card 1BravesLittle Red MachineCardsBrewersCardinalsBraves
CardinalsEt Tu Brew CrewPadresPadresGiantsPadres
NL Wild Card 2PhilliesBiggunsBrewersGiantsMetsCardinals
GiantsL7 WeeniesPhilliesBravesPadresPhillies

American League Divisional Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
ALDS 1Blue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesJaysRaysBlue Jays
MarinersTrashtrosJaysRaysTigersRays
ALDS 2RaysTroutsAstrosWhite SoxAngelsWhite Sox
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamChisoxAstrosYankeesAstros

National League Divisional Series

NLDS 1DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
BrewersBravosDodgersDodgersDodgersDodgers
BravesBiggunsBrewersGiantsPadresCardinals
NLDS 2DodgersMcDoublesBravesPhilliesBravesBrewers
GiantsEt Tu Brew CrewCardsBrewersCardinalsBraves

American League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
ALCSBlue JaysPoutine CommandosYankeesRaysRaysWhite Sox
White SoxSteve Irwin Hates This TeamAstrosWhite SoxAngelsRays

National League Championship Series

DerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
NLCSBrewersBravosBravesDodgersDodgersDodgers
GiantsMcDoublesDodgersPhilliesCardinalsBraves

World Series

World SeriesDerekJesseJohnKevinBernieThe Winning Run
Blue JaysBravosYankessDodgersDodgersWhite Sox
BrewersSteve Irwin Hates This TeamBravesRaysAngelsDodgers
ChampionBlue JaysBravosYankees in 7Dodgers in 6AngelsWhite Sox
Tim Anderson and the White Sox don’t care what you think, they are here to win. (Ron Vesely/MLB Photos via Getty Images)

Congratulations to your 2022 World Series champions, the Chicago White Sox. We are for sure wrong with these predictions. Sure we nailed the Braves winning the 2021 World Series, but that was luck. Time will tell if our luck holds out in 2022. 

Happy Baseball. 

DJ, JJ, JB, BL, and KB