Welcome to the Fall Classic. The World Series has arrived after an exciting run through the playoffs. The Kansas City Royals will face the New York Mets for the right to lift the Commissioner’s Trophy as the champion of Major League Baseball. The Kansas City Royals last won the World Series in 1985. The New York Mets last won the World Series in 1986. The championship drought for one of these teams is about to end after many, often painful, years.
So what has led us to this World Series? How have we navigated from the Wild Card games through the playoffs and finally to the World Series? The field has gone from 10 teams down to just 2 teams.
National League Wild Card
Chicago Cubs 4, Pittsburgh Pirates 0
The Pirates were once again a formidable team during the regular season, but they fell short in the Wild Card game. Behind their young bats and Jake Arrieta’s complete game shutout, the Cubs showed they were the superior team, at least for one day when it mattered the most.
American League Wild Card
Houston Astros 3, New York Yankees 0
The New York Yankees coasted into the Wild Card game, and not in a good way. They struggled down the stretch and benefitted from early season success to make it into the playoffs. Unfortunately, they met the Houston Astros who were hungry and playing much better baseball. Each passing inning, the energy inside Yankee Stadium seemed to wane just a little more until reality could no longer be denied. Dallas Keuchel and the Astros bullpen shut down the Yankees line up and Houston rode the power of Colby Rasmus and Carlos Gomez into the ALDS.
National League Divisional Series
New York Mets 3 games, Los Angeles Dodgers 2 games
The Mets and Dodgers alternated wins throughout the series. The turning point of the series was in Game 2 with the injury to Mets shortstop Ruben Tejada. The Mets ultimately lost Game 2, but Tejada’s injury rallied the team together. Tejada’s injury from Chase Utley’s “slide” could have derailed the Mets. Instead, behind their young pitching staff and Daniel Murphy the Mets would not quit. The Mets faced Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke in four of the five games and split those games. The Dodgers were beaten with their best pitchers on the mound by a team who refused to quit.
Chicago Cubs 3 games, St. Louis Cardinals 1 game
Game 1 showed how dominant the St. Louis Cardinals could be, and it brought back the memories of the Curse of the Billy Goat for Cubs fans. However, after Game 1, the Cubs took command of the series by winning the next three straight to eliminate the Cardinals. The Cubs did not run away with the series, winning the final three games by seven runs total, but St. Louis was never able to answer the Cubs offense. The Cardinals remained competitive but, after Game 1, it never felt like they had a chance.
American League Divisional Series
Toronto Blue Jays 3 games, Texas Rangers 2 games
The Texas Rangers jumped out to a two game lead, putting the Toronto Blue Jays on the brink of elimination. The Blue Jays, the presumptive favorite heading into the series, would not go quietly. Forcing a decisive Game 5 at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, the Blue Jays held a slim 3-2 lead heading into the 7th inning. In a bizarre moment, Rougned Odor scampered home to score the tying run after Russell Martin’s return throw to Blue Jays’ pitcher Aaron Sanchez hit the bat of Rangers’ outfielder Shin-Soo Choo, while Choo was still in the box. The Blue Jays responded in the bottom half of the 7th inning with a four run outburst, which included the now infamous Jose Bautista home run bat flip. This completed the comeback and Toronto was on to the ALCS.
Kansas City Royals 3 games, Houston Astros 2 games
The Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros went back and forth in the first four games of their ALDS. Neither team able to break the other team down and truly dominate a game. All this changed in Game 5, when the Royals’ experience and the Astros inexperience showed through. The Royals’ hitters finally broke down Houston’s pitching and were able to turn around a 2-0 deficit in the 2nd inning and turn it into a 7-2 victory. Simply put, the Royals used some of the knowledge and nerves from their 2014 World Series run to finally put away those pesky, overachieving Astros.
National League Championship Series
New York Mets 4 games, Chicago Cubs 0 games
The Chicago Cubs did not lose the NLCS as much as the New York Mets won it. The Cubs never lead throughout the four game sweep. Daniel Murphy and the trio of Matt Harvey, Noah Syndergaard, and Jacob deGrom were magical, even when they did not have their best stuff. Jeurys Familia and Bartolo Colon were there to pick up the slack when the young arms needed a little help reaching the finish line. The Cubs simply lost to a better team, no Curse needed.
American League Championship Series
Kansas City Royals 4 games, Toronto Blue Jays 2 games
Games 1 and 2 showed the Royals were the better team. However, the Game 3 slugfest proved that the Blue Jays were not going to go down easy. Kansas City had batting practice in Game 4, winning 14-2 in Toronto. Toronto forced Game 6 with a 7-1 victory in Game 5. Back in Kansas City at Kauffman Stadium, the Blue Jays and Royals proved they were an even match. The margin of victory was Lorenzo Cain’s speed and Wade Davis’ tenacity. Cain scored from first on a single by Eric Hosmer in the bottom of the 8th inning, in part due to Jose Bautista not throwing to his cutoff man. The Royals took the lead and called on Wade Davis for a little more. Davis got two outs on eight pitches to end the Blue Jays’ 8th inning, waited through a 45 minute rain delay, then pitched the inning of his life. Davis got the final out with a fast runner on second and third by getting Josh Donaldson to ground out to third.
New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals
The 2015 World Series has the New York Mets playing against the Kansas City Royals. The National League champion New York Mets won the National League East division by 7 games, with a record of 90-72. Once in the playoffs, the Mets beat the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLDS and the Chicago Cubs in the NLCS. The American League champion Kansas City Royals won the American League Central division by 12 games, with a record of 95-67. The Royals beat the Houston Astros in the ALDS and the Toronto Blue Jays in the ALCS.
World Series Predictions Sure to Go Wrong
Before the beginning of every season The Winning Run predicts how each team will finish, which teams will make the playoffs, and who will win the World Series. Each year we are horribly wrong about almost everything. It is with this understanding that we give our predictions about the World Series between the Kansas City Royals and the New York Mets.
*A note about our predictions for MVP, we did not allow Daniel Murphy to be selected because everyone would pick him. Therefore, we each have our secondary MVP prediction listed and collectively we have predicted Daniel Murphy for MVP.
The Winning Run’s official 2015 World Series predictions:
Champion: Mets in 6 games.
MVP: Jacob deGrom
Champion: Mets in 5 games.
MVP: Lucas Duda (actually Daniel Murphy in disguise)
Champion: Royals in 6 games
MVP: Alcides Escobar
Champion: Royals in 7 games.
MVP: Eric Hosmer
Collectively, beyond Daniel Murphy for World Series MVP, we do not agree on much. We are split on which team will win. We believe the series will go six games. We predict that a baseball player for either the Mets or the Royals will win the MVP (this is the only prediction we feel we definitely got right). Our predictions are most likely wrong, as is our tradition, but we might get lucky this time. The 2014 World Series was fantastic, and the Royals are back for another try with a fairly young but experienced team. The Mets are playing beyond their years with a playoff pitching staff that has not been seen since the Atlanta Braves in the 1990’s. Regardless, whether we are right or wrong, we hope the 2015 World Series will be just as exciting as the 2014 edition of the Fall Classic.
Let me begin by apologizing to everyone for jinxing their favorite time. I have the ability to ruin a good thing in baseball when I suggest the individual or team will be successful. Don’t believe me, ask the people I play fantasy baseball with. In the last two years I have drafted Roy Halladay, Kris Medlen, Jurkson Profar, Mike Minor, Matt Kemp, Albert Pujols, ect. Understand now? So in keeping with this tradition I thought The Winning Run might offer up our own predictions for every team heading into this season. I am sure that we, myself and two contributors, either are completely wrong or just ruined the season for someone by believing in them. If this happens, we are sorry, but nevertheless here are our predictions.
The American League East
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox (1st Wild Card)
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
The Rays, Red Sox, Yankees, and Orioles could finish in any order 1 through 4. The Blue Jays are the clear favorite to finish fifth in the East. The Rays have the youth to stay healthy which the Yankees lack and the pitching which the Orioles lack. Repeating as World Series Champions is a difficult task. Nearly all the breaks when Boston’s way last year. It is time for the Rays to harness their young talent and win the American League East.
The American League Central
Cleveland Indians (2nd Wild Card)
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
The Tigers may well be the best team in baseball. Miguel Cabrera and the rest of the offense will put up plenty of offense while the pitching staff led by Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer could make short work of the opposition. The Twins and White Sox are both in full rebuilding mode and are fighting to stay out of the basement. The Indians are putting it together and could win the division if it was not for the Tigers and their dominance. The Royals will remain in the hunt for the post season well into September, however the youth which will make the Royals winners for years to come will fall just short this year.
The American League West
Los Angels Angels of Anaheim
Moneyball has reinvented itself and Oakland will find new ways to continue winning. Their pitching will carry them while they will over power the rest of the West by doing all the little things. The Angels will be healthier and have better pitching, but the pitching still is not quite there, and the offense relies too much on power, so when the bats go quiet the Angels will lose ground. The Rangers have had too many injuries this Spring to dig put of an early hole. Texas should be back in the race next year. Robinson Cano is now the man and he will be enjoying an extra month of vacation as the Mariners will be out of the hunt by mid summer. The Astros will be a major threat. Not now, in the future. 2014 is about not losing 100+ games again.
The National League East
Washington Nationals (1st Wild Card)
New York Mets
The Atlanta Braves will get more production from B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla, things could not have gone worse for these two in 2013. A rebound by two of the regular line up and the signing of Ervin Santana should pick up what was lost when Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy went down for the season. Washington Nationals have the tools but should fall just short. Injuries remain a constant worry for Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg. Both the offense and defense are among the best in baseball, but they still have not bridged the gap to the elite even with signing Doug Fister. The Mets will pass the Phillies as New York is building towards the future while Philadelphia is still dreaming that it is 2008. The Marlins will be better, but they need more time before the can get out of the basement.
The National League Central
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals will once again be the class of the National League Central. The Cardinal way should have an easier time winning the division this season, as they are among the best in all of baseball. The Reds lost Shin Shoo Choo and Bronson Arroyo but they will have a full season of Billy Hamilton tearing up the base paths. The Pirates, like the Red Sox, had nearly every bounce go their way last season. Pittsburgh should see I slight step back this season, but not like in their two decade absence from the playoffs. The Cubs and Brewers are both a mess. Neither is in a quick rebuilding cycle and both should be out of the race fairly quickly. Look for a fight to stay out of the basement of the Central.
The National League West
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants (2nd Wild Card)
San Diego Padres
The Dodgers, and their highest payroll in Major League Baseball, should keep the momentum of 2013 going as they should have the West won easily in time to align their rotation for the playoffs. The Giants should stay with the Dodgers for a while this year, but ultimately their season comes down to how healthy Matt Cain, Tim Lincecum, Tim Hudson, and company can stay. If healthy San Francisco could do some damage. The Diamondbacks cannot keep pace with the Dodgers and Giants and will be a strong 3rd place team all season that could dictate who does and does not make the playoffs. The Rockies and Padres are full of young talent. Colorado has Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki to lead their revival. San Diego is still seasoning their young talent at the Major League level. Look for San Diego to be the best last place team in baseball.
Once the playoffs go through their paces the Cardinals will play the Athletic’s in the World Series. Oakland will win the World Series over the Cardinals 4 games to 2 as the Cardinals finally tire out due to late post season runs the last several seasons and the Athletic’s and their intangibles finally win a World Series in the Moneyball era.
Love our picks? Hate our picks? Regardless this is what we think will happen in 2014. If we are correct in our picks it will be by luck, because anyone who knows baseball knows it is never predictable. We have had Opening Day now lets get going and see how the season works out.
D, J, and B